This is not a debate on oil, but it was one of Mandelas allegations. The same allegations existed and still exist today regarding “the war in Afghanistan is over oil”. If you had been following the discussions in the Pak forum you would have found the following articles:
An agreement has been signed in the Turkmen capital, Ashgabat, paving the way for construction of a gas pipeline from the Central Asian republic through Afghanistan to Pakistan.
The project has been around for some years
The building of the trans-Afghanistan pipeline has been under discussion for some years but plans have been held up by Afghanistan’s unstable political situation.
This follows a summit meeting bringing together the presidents of the three countries last May when the project received formal go-ahead.
The pipeline would represent the first major foreign investment in Afghanistan in many years.
Alternate route
With improved regional security after the fall of the Taleban about a year ago, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan and Pakistan have decided to push ahead with plans for the ambitious 1,500-kilometre-long gas pipeline.
Pakistan will be the terminus for the pipeline
The leaders of the three countries have now signed a framework agreement defining the legal aspects of setting up a consortium to build and operate the pipeline.
The trans-Afghanistan pipeline would export Turkmen gas via Afghanistan to Pakistani ports, from where it could reach world markets.
India is the largest potential buyer and the Afghan President, Hamid Karzai, said Delhi was welcome to join the project.
Turkmenistan has some of the world’s greatest reserves of natural gas, but still relies on tightly controlled Russian pipelines to export it.
Ashgabat has long been desperate to find an alternative export route.
Wary investors
Afghanistan would profit by receiving millions of dollars in transit fees and construction of the pipeline would provide thousands of desperately needed jobs.
It is also hoped such a project would boost regional economic ties and pave the way for further foreign investment.
The chief difficulty will be actually finding the money to build the pipeline.
The Asian Development Bank is carrying out a study for the project.
But investors will be very cautious about putting serious money into Afghanistan when the central government in Kabul still has only limited influence in the regions the pipeline would cross.
Notice any involvement at all from US oil companies?
Even in the US, one high powered rifle bullet shut down the Alaskan pipeline for days:
http://www.solcomhouse.com/pipeline.htm
And, there have been at least three disruptions to Pakistan’s existing piplelines due to tribal disputes:
Rockets hit gas pipeline
January 22, 2003
ROCKETS fired by unknown assailants have ruptured a gas pipeline in Pakistan, threatening supplies to the capital Islamabad, officials said.
One official said at least three rockets were fired, hitting the main pipeline near Dera Bugti, in Baluchistan province.
“Paramilitary officials and engineers from Sui Northern Gas Pipeline (SNGPL) are trying to repair the damage,” a security official said.
An engineer from SNGPL said the damage could disrupt gas supplies to Islamabad, the nearby city of Rawalpindi and Peshawar.
“We are trying to control the damage,” Saifuddin Bugti added.
The 5215km Sui pipeline network is a major supplier of domestic gas.
One official linked the attack to problems with local tribal people over electricity supplies, which were stopped a few days ago due to non-payment of bills.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,5874338%255E401,00.html
Until peace fully returns to Afghanistan, there can be no pipeline. All of the deals contemplated so far involve no Western companies.