Pakistan’s Group - What teams need to do to make the semis
What teams need to do to make the semis
**What the three teams in Group E need to do to qualify for the ICC World Twenty20 2010 semi-finals**
*With England already through to the semi-finals from Group E, the three remaining teams are now in must-win scenarios. But only New Zealand needn't bother about other results. Pakistan and South Africa will need to win their match, and also have the other match go how they want it to go. Here are the permutations for how other teams can make it.*
Pakistan (points 0, net run-rate -0.215)
They need to beat South Africa, and then hope that England beat New Zealand later in the day. If both the matches go down Pakistan’s desired route, they will be level on two points along with New Zealand and South Africa, and they will also have the best net run-rate of the three.
South Africa (points 2, net run-rate -0.650)
They can’t sneak in based on net run-rate, because they are the worst among the three right now. They will need to beat Pakistan and then hope that England beat New Zealand. If New Zealand win, South Africa will most likely be out, unless they beat Pakistan by a mammoth margin, and New Zealand win very narrowly.
New Zealand (points 2, net run-rate -0.3)
Simplest equation: win and go through, lose and go home. What happens in the other match doesn’t much matter to them. If South Africa win the first match, they will have gone to four points, and New Zealand will have to win to come level on points, and then their better net run-rate should carry them through. If Pakistan win, New Zealand know they can’t afford to lose because that loss will leave them level with Pakistan at two points, but Pakistan will have a better net run-rate.
http://www.cricinfo.com/world-twenty20-2010/content/current/story/459064.html