Election Predictions

Re: Election Predictions

Bhuttos nationalization policy pushed punjab away from PPP and punjabis started supporting muslim leagues.

Re: Election Predictions

it would be 88 then when benazir became pm

Re: Election Predictions

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan

the 2008 electoral results in Punjab remind one of the 1988 elections where the PPP won 53 seats compared to the PML’s 45 general seats from Punjab, and the eventual government formation was decided by results in other provinces and the performance of the regional parties ANP and MQM.

The party has had a steady decline since…

Re: Election Predictions

Don't worry. As long as military and government machinery is same, the coming government face more sad time. :)

Re: Election Predictions

I think DHONG of blaming military and establishment is getting boring and old now. Full 5 years were given to incompetent PPP and there was no interference, it's a different thing that you have been using a different excuse (Judiciary) this time but people won't fall for these tactics. Result of 5 year democratic rule has immense damage to reputation of democracy, hardly anyone wants democracy now thanks to PPP.

Re: Election Predictions

Its not a democratic govt
this govt should be renamed as Looter GOVT

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Real looters are waiting .:ik:
Still they are living on grabing of Chanda ,Sadqa , Fitra , Zakat ,Khairat ,Charm e Qurbani and estab support through Malik Riaz .

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Hor bunny .ki haal aye

Re: Election Predictions

True. The initial power surge Bhutto enjoyed due to his slogan of being an 'awami leader', behind the slogan of roti, kapra and makaan won him many votes all across the country, bringing PPP out as the second most popular party in the country in 1970. However, he lost favor once people realized he was a classic wadera, and in 1977, he had to resort to rigging in order to maintain that winning streak.
In 1988, Benazir benefited from the fact that she was a lady, and the fact that her father had been hanged. But she lost that support because of her continuation of the same feudal policies...not discounting the fact that she married Zardari.
At this stage, I think PPP has lost that steam. 2008 elections had some sympathy vote from Pakistan, but they are gradually losing South Punjab as well.

Re: Election Predictions

^ people's party till 2008 was considered to be the party of the poor, hence their seats from south Punjab, rural areas of central Punjab. Even in cities like Lahore the popes have been voting PPP. Pmln was thought to be an elite party of industrialists, hence it's base was generally urban middle class. However during the past 5 years people have amply seen what the party of the poor has done.

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These are bad days of Lota politics of Imran Khan because
Super and Permanent Lotay joining PML-N & PPP now . http://dawncompk.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/party-flags_360.jpg?w=360

**Two months to go until the election and already more than a dozen politicians have switched loyalties in order to beef up their portfolios. There are also instances of disgruntled members having left their parties and aiming to contest as independents. The switching activity, although foreseeable at the time, has also surprised many in the country’s political circles.
**Super type Lotay are leaving PTI and lower grade lotay who are not electable are moving to PTI after loosing hope to get a ticket from bigger parties

Do you remember the ‘Sonami’ now

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan’s PTI

what will happen now? will imran khan be able to retain his seat??

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

Considering the ground situation today I think PTI can be the second biggest party in the next elections with seats ranging between 40-80 (depending upon how they launch their election campaign), PPP 50-60, and PMLN would be the leader with over 100 seats.

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

I think PTI is not in any pre poll alliance with any political party....right?

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

There are 272 general seats in the National assembly. I now understand PMLN's worries. Even if we give PTI 50 seats in the next elections. This is the situation that we could see in the National assembly.

In the previous elections PPP and PMLN had a free run, in these elections JI would be in from KP and the Baloch Nationalists could also participate hence reducing the share of mainstream parties in the provinces. The next parliament would be hung, and a test of Nawaz Sharif as he does not have good repute of running coalition governments.
[TABLE="width: 319"]

Parties
seats

PMLN
76

PTI
50

PPP
60

FATA
12

MQM
25

ANP
10

PMLQ
8

JUI
6

JI
5

Balochistan parties plus independents
20

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

No, but I hope they can reach some sort of agreement with Jamaat e Islami, as they have some following in KP as well as in Karachi.

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

I am very sorry to say , Not more than ten in present circumstances , I knew his every supporter is a cricket fan and it is a game of politics . A captain can not win any cup without a good eleven . This game is quite different , Cruel and tricky . I don't hope any success for PTI and this election .
It can be a real Tsunami for PTI , You will see the effects after election .

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

^ we will see even under current circumstances 40-50 seats kahin nahin gayin. He will get quite a few seats from KP, some from south Punjab, Mianwali and Attock, and then urban Punjab would be a bonus. Karachi would be something to watch as well.

Re: Super and Permanent Lotay Joining Imran Khan's PTI

If I reduce PTI to 35, and PPP to 50 then PMLN goes to over 100. They will then need the help of FATA (there could be some PTI members being selected from there too), JI, JUI, ANP, Baloch Nationalists and independents to form the government having a simple majority. Some of these parties might or might not want to join, but if PTI manages more than 50 then the whole equation will be disturbed.

Re: Election Predictions

In short for PMLN the next elections depends upon PTI’s performance hence Shahbaz Sharif is promising “Naya Pakistan” after the elections. :smack: