Election 2013

Re: Election 2013

My prediction for Sind is the next Sind government will be formed by MQM+PMLF+PMLN headed by MQM. The next Sind CM will be from MQM. It can be a good thing for Sind as MQM will do their utmost to perform there. They will work hard on restoring peace in Sind and will their utmost to develop infra structure in rural Sind. May be this will be the best Sind government as far as people are concerned in Sind..
Let's hope whatever happens the people are the ultimate beneficiary..

Re: Election 2013

It seems as if in NA 126 it would be Liaqat Baloch (supported by PMLN) versus Imran Khan.

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http://e.dunya.com.pk/news/2013/March/2013-03-30/ISL/detail_img/258443_16809034.jpg

Re: Election 2013

I agree that some development works have been done in Punjab, but then again a lot of development was carried out under Pervaiz Illahi as well (and that was on the grass root level with the help of local body system). If PMLN is so popular and favorably placed in Punjab, I have one question, why are they running after 'electables'?

Some development work that has been carried out in Lahore (read Punjab) is after the threat PMLN felt (after October 2011). Shouldn't some credit be given to Imran Khan for that? He was not in opposition but still acted as one. During the past two years we have seen a new kind of politics, PTI is there as a counter weight to the other two parties. Regardless of the results of the next elections I personally think that rise of PTI has had a positive impact on our politics.

Re: Election 2013

I rarely post here presently and I am in no mood of arguments. I am in touch with some important people from both the parties who are evaluating the ground situation on daily basis.. and these are important people in both the parties. I am telling you what I can sense on the ground here.. The mood in PTI camp is totally like they have conceded defeat.. and PMLN camp is upbeat and very confident at the moment. Everyone in Punjab who is even a little bit familiar with ground realities will confirm my analysis that wind is blowing totally in favor of PMLN at the moment and it's almost a one sided ride for them.. it seems..

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^ there is one factor that everyone seems to forget. the new voters and youth factor. It will affect all urban cities specially. Nobody is sure about it. Equation is simple. Higher the turn out, greater the chances of new voters voting for PTI and tougher fight with PML-N.

I have always maintained. PTI can NEVER defeat PML-N on constituency based politics.. It has to be a surge or movement factor :)

Re: Election 2013

Interesting, in NA 118 Lahore PPP is strong as their guy has done a lot of development works there.

The Spokesman Pakistan - Clash of the titans in Lahore

MOHAMMED RIZWAN

LAHORE: The city of Lahore, famous for its epic electoral battles, may witness another one in this election when PTI President and former PML-N comrade Javed Hashmi may lock horns with PML-N chief Nawaz Sharif from NA 120. Though the PTI parliamentary board has not finalized the ticket but going by the submission of nomination papers, it looks, barring any change at the last moment, that PTI has decided to challenge Sharif at what is literally his home turf. NA 120 is formerly NA 95 that includes Gwalmandi, the old neighbourhood of the Sharifs before they moved to Model Town in the late 70s. Sharif, ever since his early days in politics, knows the area and the people of this constituency like the back of his hand.

Challenging the Sharifs from this constituency takes a lot of political guts, which the political observers feel only Kaptaan and Hashmi have in the PTI. While PPP looks jaded, tentative and devoid of any inspiration whatsoever and, on top of this, carrying a very unenviable incumbency factor, the real battle for Lahore will be fought between the defenders PML-N and challengers PTI. The PTI parliamentary board which has been in session for the last 72 hours without a break, has decided to throw whatever they have at the Sharifs in Lahore.
**
In NA 118 (Shahdra considered first constituency of Lahore) an interesting three-way tie is developing with PPP fielding Asif Hashmi, a popular candidate due to massive development works he carried out in the area in the last five years, who will be up against Hammad Azhar, son of former Punjab governor Mian Azhar who is very strong in the constituency.** No one from PML-N has submitted papers from this constituency, maybe because the party would be waiting to see who will come forward from PTI as Javed Hashmi also submitted his papers as a covering candidate. NA 119 is held by Hamza Shahbaz and he will again be running from PML-N. PTI has given the go ahead to Waqar Ahmed while PPP will be fielding Malik Sohail.

At the moment, the PML-N looks to have a clear advantage as this seat is traditionally considered as one from the Sharif family. NA 120 is where the pulse of the Lahore battle lies. Nawaz Sharif will be up against Javed Hashmi with Yasmin Rashid as his covering candidate. PPP has picked a political novice Zubair Kardar, perhaps to facilitate a one- on-one between Hashmi and Nawaz. NA 121 is currently held by Mian Marghoob and as there is little chance he would get the ticket again, PML-N has left it open while PPP sticks with Aurangzeb Burki. Mian Javed, a former town Nazim, will carry the PTI flag. NA 122 is held by Ayaz Sadiq of PML-N and will be contested by him again while PTI may field either Hamid Khan or Aleem Khan for this one and PPP has fielded a rookie, Khwaja Amir Hasan. In NA 123, a seat won by Javed Hashmi in 2008 from PML-N ticket, Shahbaz Sharif may run from this seat.

PML-N’s Pervez Malik holds this seat at the moment but rumours are he is being kicked upstairs – to the senate. PTI’s Hamid Meraj, who hails from the powerful Arain clan of Baghbanpura, will contest this seat. NA 124 will be contested by Allama Iqbal’s grandson Waleed Iqbal on PTI ticket whereas PPP is fielding the wife of Aitzaz Ahsan, Bushra Aitzaz, for this constituency. PML-N has not announced its candidate for this seat yet but it is believed it will be a close tie. NA 125 comprises Cantonment and Defence and is held by PML-N stalwart Khwaja Saad Rafiq. He will be challenged by Aleem Khan, a business and real estate tycoon who is expected to give Saad a run for his money. PPP is banking upon Naveed Chaudhry for this constituency. All eyes, however, will be on NA 126 contested by Imran Khan. So far PML-N has not announced its candidate here but Khwaja Ahmed Hassan is expected to carry the PML-N flag here. PPP may field Waqar Warraich which means that it will be very much a one-on-one between Khan and Hassan. This is a posh, urbane locality of Lahore that includes Gulberg, Garden Town and Muslim Town. In 127, Humayun Akhtar is expected to be PML-N’s candidate while PTI will be fielding Shafqat Mehmood with PPP going for Khurram Latif Khosa, the lawyer son of former governor Latif Khosa. NA 128 will be a straight fight between Afzal Khokhar of PML-N and Zaheer Abbas Khokhar of PTI. In 129 Rana Mubasher of PML-N will be up against incumbent Tariq Shabbir of PPP and Mansha Sindhu of PTI. Sindhu is considered a strong clan-based candidate from here. NA 130 is held by Samina Ghurki but now clan head Arshad Ghurki might contest the election against Ijaz Dayal. The Dayal-Ghurki rivalry in this constituency is decades old and again it is expected that the contest will be between PML-N and the PPP and PTI might have to take a backseat here.

Re: Election 2013

how PML-N Thinks they will win the elections](http://www.siasat.pk/forum/showthread.php?171733-How-PMLN-thinks-they-will-win-upcoming-Elections-Talat-Hussain-s-Analysis)

Re: Election 2013

I'll just talk about this point.

This peace in the province is not due to wonderful policing of PMLN but due to its appeasement and support of terrorists in the province. PMLN has not beaten extremists rather it has joined them. This is why extremists have agreed to not do their activities in the province which may create trouble for PMLN.

Peace in the province has been achieved AT THE EXPENSE of terrorism in other provinces. **And this terrorism is going to hit home sooner or later. Just because extremists have decided to provide relief to PMLN government at this moment, it doesn't mean that everything is under control and will remain so in future.**

Also, if for some reason PMLN government goes, the extremists might hit the province with the same force with which they are hitting everywhere else.


We can compare the situation with the time when Pakistan was supporting Taliban. At that time Taliban were not doing any attacks in Pakistan because they were busy occupying Afghanistan. But once Afghanistan had come under their full control, they wouldn't have left Pakistan alone. They definitely would have returned to Pakistan and try to impose the same system EVEN IF Pakistan government had continued to support them.


So the question is: PEACE AT WHAT PRICE?
PMLN achieved peace because it surrendered to terrorism. KP and Karachi have not achieved peace because their representatives have refused to surrender.
So what it means is that the fight for Pakistan's future, survival and its soul is being fought in KP and Karachi, while PMLN has already capitulated Punjab in front of Pakistan's enemies.

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Crime Statistics in Punjab are not so rosy, around 20000 people have been killed in Punjab during the past three years. Agreed TTP is not targeting Punjab but it has nothing to do with good governance. The province is reaping the benefits of goverment’s surrender to TTP and alliance with ASWJ.

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NA 89 Jhang would be an interesting seat to keep an eye on, ASWJ chief Ahmed Ludhianvi would be contesting from there.

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This article of Ansar Abbasi was not published by Jang.

http://www.saach.tv/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/today-comment2-580x1480.jpg

Re: Election 2013

Do you have a choice? Meera of course :smiley:

Re: Election 2013

One major news from Sindh in my opinion is that nationalist parties are taking part in elections for the first time.
These parties have always had size able support in the province and now their participation does not bode well for PPP. It may lose both in Karachi and other parts of the province.

Vote bank: Karachi votes may split as nationalist parties enter fray – The Express Tribune

… Sindhi nationalists are also taking part in parliamentary politics for the first time. The Sindh Taraqi Pasand (STP) party, Sindh United Party (SUP) and the Qaumi Awami Tehreek (QAT) are contesting from different parts of the province, including Karachi.
The trio is part of the 10-party alliance in Sindh. The alliance is planning to contest their joint candidate in one constituency and is planning on announcing their final candidates on April 11 after their two-day meeting.

Re: Election 2013

Anyone who thinks that it's going to be a one-sided game in Punjab is in for a great shock. I have't spoken to any important personalities in both the parties, yet I had interaction with many people who are the real kingmakers — the voters. Noon League is upbeat because it's riding high thanks to its media maneuvering. Everything now starts from television screens. Once you succeed in creating an impression that you are the next big thing, everything salable on shelves automaticallly start jumping into your shopping cart.

Noon League has set its book of ethics afire to get into the corridors of power while PTI sticks to its code of conduct come rain or shine. It's clearly janoon vs jahalat. Period!

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Its Junoon vs Paisa Lets see who wins

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Paisa ? You mean money through Chanda , Fitra , Sadqa ,Khairat , Zakat and Charm e Qurbani
Great to see .

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No that paisa which your leaders like Bhutto,Zardari,Gillani and Raja Rental looted and send to their swiss accounts and that junoon which you saw in the 23 march tsunami

Re: Election 2013

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                   LAHORE: Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam – Fazlur Rehman (JUI-F) Chief, Maulana Fazlur Rehman Saturday claimed  ...

JUI-F Rally: Mobile services to be frozen around Minar-e-Pakistan

Re: Election 2013

There's a lot of disconnect between the rulers and the general public. As far as Lahore is concerned it has more to it other than ferozpur road, multan road and canal. Move from these areas into residential colonies and things start changing. The decision would be made by the middle class which has been routed by the PPP, while PMLN preferred to keep quiet instead of raising pressure on the government to take corrective action. I'll repeat again, if the voting ratio increases we could see anything in the next elections.