And had the Dogra Maharaja not sent his soldiers out to butcher 200,000+ Muslims in Jammu, and invited soldiers from Mahajara of Patiala's army (who were technically Indian soliders, as Patiala had already joined India by that point) to join in the genocidal fun, then maybe the Pathans wouldn't have invaded.
Being a Kashmiri, I think India & the Dogra government played a far bigger role in instigating this "bullcrap" than Pakistan.
Could you give the source of the figure you're stating there.
1)According to your figure of '200,000', 20+% of all people killed in the Partition of India would be muslims from Jammu.
2) Total population of Jammu in 1947 was around 1-1.5million, and around 50% of the population of Jammu was hindu, that would mean that around 500,000-700,000 muslims lived in Jammu, so killing 200,000+ of them would make 30% of the population dead (lower est), and 40% of the population dead (upper est).
3) The uprising only occured in the Poonch district, its total population was around 200,000.
4) The Dogra douchebag asked for the Patiala douchebag's help in September 1947 after Pakistan started supplying the rebels in Poonch who were rebelling against the Dogras tax rules (later the rebelion became one of independance) with supplies and weapons, and ye they were part of India, so India does seem suspicious here.
5) Muslims of Poonch are the same as the muslims of the Potohar region of Pakistan Punjab, so it can be seen why they changed their movement to one of accession to Pakistan.
6) Pathans were also douchebags, they looted and killed muslims too.
7) Pathans had the chance to take Srinagar, but were too busy looting.
8) Rebels declared Azad Kashmir independant on 24th october, Maharajah scared of a succesful revolution signed accession treaty with a special clause requiring plebiscite later on.
9) Indian troops moved in...
10) Nehru asks Jinnah to pull out Pathans before plebiscite can occur, Jinnah says he doesn't have control over them, and that Indian troops should be pulled out first. Nehru saying that accession treaty was signed and that Indian troops had a right to be there.
If you forget about the wishes of the people etc, and just look at it from the pov of the rulers (no matter how despised they were), it was still a princely state and not a democracy, the dogra douche asked for help from the Patiala dude, so logically it was his right and decision to ask for help to protect the sovereignty of his land. Pakistan behaved opportunistically, as it realised that the sanctions it had imposed on Kashmir were angering the Maharajah and that their chances of him joining Pakistan were diminishing because of the sanctions. Pakistan wasn't exactly looking out for the people of Kashmir.
All that said, had Kashmir joined Pakistan in 1947, it probably would have been a lot better than it is now.