Who Will Win Maharashtra? - India Elections

Who Will Win Maharashtra? One of the most important states of India, Maharashtra is going to have their assembly elections on Oct.13, 2009

This is a very important election in India
Where there is confusion, the voter looks for clarity. The really big question is about Raj Thackeray. Will his MNS eat into Sena-BJP votes the way it did in the Lok Sabha elections? The answer to this will decide whether the combine will win or lose. My personal hunch is that the Raj vs Uddhav battle is not happening this time; it will happen only after the election. Uddhav has pitched this battle as Bal Thackeray vs Raj and the rest, and in this battle it is not certain that Raj will have the upper hand.

On balance, this election is the Sena-BJP’s to lose. Unlike the MNS, it is a serious contender for power, and has a strong anti-incumbency vote to harvest. If it doesn’t goof up somewhere, it has a clear chance this time.

‘Regional Pride’ is focus in this years elections.

Maharashtra election: In the name of regional pride : Have You Heard

[If you thought the dramatic colour and fierceness of belief of the “Marathi pride’ and “anti-outsider” sentiment was limited to the Thackerays and the common man was more restrained about this feeling, then re-consider your opinion. Travel through the predominantly urban areas of Mumbai and Thane and you would find quite a few staunch supporters – ranging across social and economic hues – of the Thackeray brand of politics.

A group of young women in Sewri in Mumbai enthusiastically greet a Maharashtra Navnirman Sena or MNS candidate who is on a door-to-door campaign. “Are you from here?” we ask.

“Of course we are. We are all pure Marathis. None of us have come from outside. Why would you even ask such a question? We are not one of those who grab a share from others’ rights. These people from outside come and take away our jobs and start believing they can control our city. MNS will throw them out,” one of them says. Others agree emphatically.

In Mahim assembly constituency in Dadar (west) in Mumbai, we come across a middle aged voter, who claims to be “in actual touch with the powers to be in Delhi) read Sonia Gandhi”. But five minutes into the conversation with him and you realize he is hardly the ‘moderate brand of politics’ that his supposed friends in Delhi stand for.

“Everyone who comes from outside to take away our jobs and ruin our city should just be driven out…whoever speaks against us is punished, either by us or by nature. Death is the final penalty for challenging the Marathi manoos,” he says, giving us an eerie feeling with his examples of those who “questioned the Marathi and were punished”, ranging from Mahatma Gandhi to Sunil Dutt and YSR Reddy.

Says a voter in Dharavi in Mumbai, “We won’t vote for the MNS because they believe in goondaism. But we agree that outsiders should just stay out of our state.”

In Thane, a former senior Shiv Sena leader who later defected to the MNS but subsequently left that too, refuses to speak to us in Hindi or Marathi. “You can ask your question in whichever language you please to. I will answer only in Marathi because of my principles,” he tells us.

While these are just sporadic examples, the depth of this sentiment and extent of hatred against outsiders in unmistakable. Such people might not necessarily translate into MNS voters, or perhaps even Shiv Sena voters this time, but by wearing “Marathi chauvinism” on their sleeves, they definitely make for a potential and sustainable votebank for those into a negative brand of politics.

This is also a dangerous trend for a state, which has the potential to develop and grow further, precisely because of its multicultural social structure.](“Gateway of India Bye bye Mumbai | This is one of the snaps I… | Flickr”)

Re: Who Will Win Maharashtra? - India Elections

Marathi manoos is the dark horse

Marathi manoos is the dark horse: India Today - Latest Breaking News from India, World, Business, Cricket, Sports, Bollywood.

As the battle for Maharashtra gains momentum, Raj Thackeray is emerging as the dark horse that either of the two main alliances will have to get astride to ride home to victory.
The leader of the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) has built a strong base for himself in cities like Mumbai, Thane, Nashik and Pune. His anti-north Indian pitch has struck a silent chord with the Marathi youth here, who have to constantly compete with “outsiders” for jobs, education, health benefits and so on.

Raj’s rhetoric has had a particularly strong appeal in a year when life has been difficult and many have lost jobs because of recession.

It is expected to pay rich dividends on October 13, when the state goes to the polls.
“It is easy to tap religious sentiments,” said an MNS leader. “At some level or the other, we all feel aggrieved about something. All Raj has done is to give people a punching bag. And they love him for that.” Mumbai, where the influx of non-Maharashtrians is maximum, seems to have the most takers for Raj’s aggressive posturing.

“Even educated Maharashtrians have started abusing north Indian taxi drivers. Everyone has bought into his regional pitch,” said a Shiv Sena leader.

Re: Who Will Win Maharashtra? - India Elections

NCP + Cong

Re: Who Will Win Maharashtra? - India Elections

^^

I second that.

But if the BJP coalition wins this election, it will set right a lot of things in the party. BJP will be a party that is winnable.

I wonder what China is saying about elections in Arunachal Pradesh .....

In Maharashtra there are so many election issues

Deluge of 2005, the rising atrocities on Dalits, the 26/11 terror attack, the delays and cost escalations in infrastructure projects, attack on North Indians, Anti Hindi sentiments, erratic changes in education policies, power cuts, farmers’ suicides, inflation, and drought.

I disagree we cannot hope for win for BJP just to get itself in proper order

All exit polls predict an edge for CONG NCP (although i dont have faith in exit polls)

It will be a hung assembly. Again buying of MLA's.

We have to see how many seats MNS gets.

Sonia Gandhi will be delighted if Congress wins Maharashtra.

Re: Who Will Win Maharashtra? - India Elections

^^

Why just Sonia Gandhi..Even I will be delighted if Congress wins Maharashtra :)

I am not hoping for the BJP to win. I just made a statement....