It always starts with an incident and blows up in war.
I, for one, am reading with increasing apprehension about the clouds of war getting deeper and darker over the skies of sub-continent. The attack on Indian Parliament may be the precursor of a bigger and worst tragedy. No one denies the deep and historic troubles between the two countries, however, now it seems, a third (or a fourth) war is becoming increasingly likely.
The only silver lining in the horizon, and its a very small silver lining indeed, is that we are all hoping that the United States will prevent India from any mis-adventure. The fact that both Pakistan and India are nuclear powers is also a factor that should weigh in with both the countries and the world powers.
The situation is uncomfortable. Not only for Pakistanis but also for Indians. War is never nice. It brings misery and destruction and heart-ache. Its nothing but trouble.
The catalyst of the present crisis is Pak government’s refusal to ban the two militant islamic groups. Pak govt wants India to provide evidence of their involvement. While logically the stance of Pak govt is correct, from a practical point of view, anyone who has lived in Pakistan, and has seen the flyers these two organizations distribute outside mosques, know that they flaunt their ability to carry out military strikes inside India. Its not a secret. Admirable as this may be, in the present geo-political situation this is hardly a credible position. The tide has turned against cross-border military strikes. Even Hamas suspended their atatcks on Israel, today. This is just not a viable option any more. Its stupid.
The intelligent thing for Pak government will be to ban these two militant organizations and work with the Indian government to ensure that acts of violence are not spread all over India or Pakistan. A destabilized India is in no one’s interest, just as a destabilized Pakistan is in no one’s interest. We all know, that weak governments, anywhere, need a distraction for their people, and war is the most common solution.
Despite all my reservations about Indian government and the suspicion that they may have stage-managed this incident themselves (just like the plane - Ganga - hijacking 30 years ago), this is not the time to engage in legalistic babbling. Its time to act, and to act statesmanlike. War is no good at this time.
This is my personal opinion.