Re: Results and their consequences
Well … here is what I predicted the results on 16th Feb, 2 days before election, and here is where I went wrong 
[Surprisingly, post was for you and it seems that you did not see it :)]
http://www.paklinks.com/gs/showthread.php?t=277015&page=3
Post 62: It was prediction for whole parliament of 342 seats. That includes 272 elected seats, 10 seats for minorities and 60 seats for women.
Where I was quite accurate:
PPP = 110 seats
They got 87 + (possible Minority = 4 plus Women = 21) = 112 seats
MQM (A) = 21 seats (to 25 seats)
They got 19 + (possible Minority = 1 plus Women = 4) = 25 seats
ANP = 12 seats
They got 10 + (possible minority = 0 plus women 2) = 12 seats.
Where I went wrong:
PML(Q + F + J + Z) + NA + PPP(Patriots) = 125 seats
They got 38 + 4 + 10 + (?) + (possible minority = 2 plus women = 10) = 64 + (?) seats
where (?) is for PPP (Patriots, most contested as independent)
PML(N) = 20 seats
They got 66 + (possible minority 2 plus women 15) = 83 seats
MMA = 15 seats
They got 3 seats
Ind = 34 seats
They got = 27 seats
Note: I predicted combined PML result of 125 plus 20 = 145 seats. They got 147 seats
I do not think that it was such a bad prediction except that PML voters voted different ‘PML factions’ as I predicted, and MMA did worse than I expected 