Re: PM Nawaz Sharif: Musharraf to be tried under Article 6 for treason
The 60 million dollar question: how will the army react? - thenews.com.pk
DUBAI/ISLAMABAD: The 60 million dollar question being asked in Pakistan and abroad after the momentous Musharraf treason trial decision by PM Nawaz Sharif is how the armed forces will react.
There were no clear-cut answers or official response from the spokespersons and the ISPR on this question but after talking to a number of in service and retired top officers, The News has been able to gather some idea of what thinking could be going going on, although it is too early to expect a fully considered and articulated response. According to highly placed sources it can be disclosed that an ill-advised or an over-confident retired General Pervez Musharraf was quietly offered a safe exit by top army generals, with a tacit nod of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, to avoid the loaded freight train that has now arrived at his Chak Shahzad farmhouse in shape of the Article 6 treason case. While none of the two sides would confirm it, General Kayani and Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif have been discussing the civil-military relations in a larger context in their long private sessions in recent weeks and General Musharraf was one of these subjects.
“Both the sides are annoyed that an arrogant and hotheaded Musharraf thinks that he can avoid his trial and punishment by involving other top generals and the institution of the Army itself. He refused to take the offer of a safe exit and said he would undergo the trial,” according to these sources. This has put him in a grave danger as he has lost a lot of support in the top echelons of the Army because of his attitude but still the general reaction is to wait and see how things proceed and whether in this whole process the politicians try to humiliate the institution of the armed forces as a whole instead of focusing on the person of Musharraf alone. While his lawyer, an equally arrogant Ahmad Raza Kasuri insisted throughout the evening on almost all TV channels that more than 500 persons, including generals, judges and politicians, will have to be tried along with Musharraf, opening up a full blown Pandora’s Box, many other senior lawyers including Aitzaz Ahsan, Athar Minnallah, Justice Wajihuddin, Babar Sattar and others do not agree and say it all depends on how the government would like to proceed.But a senior retired general who was an important figure in the Musharraf setup for years said the reaction, if any, would mostly be confined to the senior cadres of the Army. This general said: “An effort would be made to convince the government and the media to avoid humiliation and character assassination of the Army. If the legal process is slow and sluggish and no one appears to be in a hurry to push Musharraf to the slaughter house, the Army’s reaction would be muted.”
Another former general said if concerns in Pindi increased, external pressures would also be orchestrated in line with these concerns thus placing the political leadership under some pressure to go slow and be fair. But he did not foresee any wild or rash reaction. The general reaction in the top Army circles is that the boys will first figure out how many possible casualties of the Musharraf trial will emerge. “Before the Army formulates its strategy and response, they want to know whether Nawaz Sharif wants to try Musharraf only or is also mulling over including other generals. Army would only respond after getting ‘concrete material’ in black and white from the government,” knowledgeable sources told Usman Manzoor in Islamabad.
These Pindi sources said, “There were two options before the government; either to initiate the high treason case or not; and now that they have decided to initiate it, we are looking for concrete material from the government so that we can formulate our response”.The sources said that Army’s reaction would come once the federal government released the ‘material’ in its possession. A key general of Musharraf’s prime time, however said in Dubai: “You may like to consider another angle. Although, taking away of PIA, CAA, FSF, MET etc from the Ministry of Defence and placing them under the PM is not directly related to the Musharraf trial, yet it may be seen as an effort to start trimming the Ministry of Defence. “I hope you have noted the haste involved in the decision taken on a Sunday. Interestingly Nargis Sethi was also asked to take over as Secretary of Defence on a closed holiday. Such knee jerk reactions smack of mala fide.” The general pointed out the implications of these decisions as most of the air bases are jointly used by PAF and Army aviation. Things will stay calm if the politicians play with a straight bat and not try to hit four and sixes on no balls, he said.
Top ranking lawyers have their own interpretations and analysis of the situation and how the Army may react in this situation.PPP Senator Aitzaz Ahsan repeatedly said on TV that while the trial would be proceeding, his main opponent, Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry would have retired and a new Chief Justice would have taken over. Another lawyer said the rancour and personal animosity, if any, would disappear when CJ Chaudhry would retire and the trial if conducted in a purely judicial and routine manner, which might not generate any impression that the institution of the Army was being targeted because of personal or political reasons, would help sooth nerves inside the institution. Many lawyers and even retired generals feel that the conduct of General (R) Pervez Musharraf himself will also determine how the trial goes and how the Army reacts.Musharraf will try to drag every person who was working under his command on November 3, 2007 by showing them as collaborators in the act. He believes if all his immediate subordinates are dragged in politicians will be scared and leave him alone.
But the unanimous support of the Parliament to start his trial on Monday did not indicate that this would happen.This may not happen also because on July 31, 2009 the Supreme Court held Musharraf solely responsible for the acts of November 3, 2007. It will now be for Musharraf to prove that others were equally responsible and that might be an impossible legal task. Musharraf is perhaps banking upon the operative part of the Proclamation of emergency which reads, ‘AND WHEREAS the situation has been reviewed in meetings with the prime minister, governors of all the four provinces, and with Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee, Chiefs of the Armed Forces, Vice-Chief of Army Staff and Corps Commanders of the Pakistan Army; NOW, THEREFORE, in pursuance of the deliberations and decisions of the said meetings, I, General Pervez Musharraf, Chief of the Army Staff, proclaim Emergency throughout Pakistan.’ He is perhaps turning a blind eye to the judgment of Supreme Court, which rejected this argument and held him solely responsible for abrogating the Constitution. After all, the buck stopped at his door.