Pakistan Turns to IMF

Source: CNN.Com

Pakistan turns to IMF for financial helpStory Highlights
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) – Pakistan sought help from the International Monetary Fund on Wednesday to avoid defaulting on billions of dollars in loans and skirt a financial crisis brought on by high fuel prices, dwindling foreign investment and soaring militant violence.

A man counts coins at his roadside stall in Karachi, Pakistan, on Wednesday.

Pakistani officials had previously said turning to the IMF would be a last resort.

Aid from the agency often comes with conditions such as cutting public spending that can affect programs for the poor, making it a politically tough choice for governments.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, managing director of the fund, said in a statement that an IMF mission will begin discussions with Pakistani authorities in the next few days “on a program aimed at strengthening economic stability and enhancing confidence in the financial system. The amount of (IMF) financing under a stand-by arrangement has yet to be determined.”

He said Pakistan has requested discussions with the IMF “to meet the balance of payments difficulties the country is experiencing as a result of high food and fuel prices and the global financial crisis.”

Iceland, Hungary, Serbia and Ukraine have also turned to the IMF for financing to ease the current crisis.

Created in 1944 to rebuild the world financial system after World War II, the IMF initially helped developed nations lend to one another. By the 1990s, it had evolved into a rescue fund for troubled emerging economies – but gave them little say on the terms of their loans.

Pakistani economists say up to $5 billion is needed to avoid defaulting on sovereign debt due for repayment next year, but that $8 billion more may be need overall.

The country has also asked for loans from wealthy nations and multilateral agencies such as the World Bank. Analysts say the country will probably get that help also because of its front-line status in the war on terror.

Any default would further shatter local and international confidence in the government and the economy at a time of intense fighting against al Qaeda and Taliban militants near the Afghan border.

High oil prices and dwindling investment from overseas have triggered a balance of payments crisis that is undermining the Pakistani rupee. The country is also battered by high inflation and chronic power shortages.

The total amount of foreign currency in Pakistani banks has fallen by more than half since last year and currently stands at $7.75 billion.

Leading Pakistani economist Qaiser Bengali said the government had no choice but to ask the IMF for help. He said the agency should condition any assistance on spending cuts in defense and the civil service – two areas he said were currently overfunded – and spare programs that boost the economy.

“We are like a factory that spends more than its revenues on the head office and on security guards and there is no money left for spare parts and raw materials,” he said of Pakistan. “That kind of factory is certain to shut down.”

Through much of its history, Pakistan has struggled with chronic economic instability and has several times turned to the IMF for assistance, but the current crisis comes at a particularly dangerous time.

Militants sheltering in Pakistan’s northeast near Afghanistan are blamed for escalating violence on both sides of the border. Osama bin Laden and other top al Qaeda leaders are thought to be hiding in the frontier region.

Last month, a suicide bomber struck the Marriott Hotel in Islamabad, killing 54 and leading the U.N. and some foreign embassies to withdraw families of foreign staff.

Late Wednesday, a special session of parliament passed a resolution calling for an urgent review of the government’s national security strategy, saying dialogue should be the “highest priority” means of eliminating the militant threat facing the U.S.-allied nation.

In the latest violence, Taliban militants bombed a convoy of Pakistani troops and opened fire on the survivors, sparking a battle that killed five security officers and seven attackers, police said.

Taliban spokesman Muslim Khan said 15 troops and five militants died in fighting Tuesday in the Swat Valley, a former tourist destination where troops have been battling Islamic extremists for a year.

Meanwhile Wednesday, at least 10 militants were killed and several others wounded when fighter jets pounded their positions in the Bajur tribal region, where the military has staged an offensive against insurgents, said Jamil Khan, a government official.

Government restrictions that ban foreigners and most journalists from the restive frontier region make it difficult to independently verify casualty figures from Swat or Bajur

Official IMF Statement

Statement by IMF Managing Director Strauss-Kahn on Pakistan
Press Release No. 08/254
October 22, 2008
Mr. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), issued the following statement today on Pakistan:

"The Pakistani authorities have requested discussions with the IMF on an economic program supported by financial assistance from the Fund to meet the balance of payments difficulties the country is experiencing as a result of high food and fuel prices and the global financial crisis. A Fund mission will begin discussions with the authorities in the next few days on a program aimed at strengthening economic stability and enhancing confidence in the financial system. The amount of Fund financing under a Stand-By Arrangement has yet to be determined. Financing could be made within framework of the Fund’s Emergency Financing Mechanism.


My personal opinion - no doubt the country is in a terrible place right now.
We definatley need help – but I think we need a sturdier government to make this work.

I dont want to see this money falling through the holes.

How do you guys think this money should be allocated?

wow!! if this is true then Tareen's option 1 and option 2 evaporated into thin air faster than it takes time to say "Last option - IMF"

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

iam sad to read whole situation

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

the point of this thread isn't to discuss would be could be..

if the money goes to the country -- how would you like to see it allocated.

I think we all spend to much energy bashing the government.. I'm tired of it.
We all know they are a bunch of idiots.. lets move the discussion please

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

40% for the horses, etc.

30% for the dogs, hounds, etc.

10% to the people who look after those things

10% for the raindy day fund

10% on piece of road or something or school or something to make it look like it was spent.

The money ALWAYS goes to the country, that is the purpose of IMF. Thats why we've piled up all that debt... since early 1980s I've been hearing about the power/energy issue, here we are today. That is just one issue, across the board, all governments, their MNAs/senators, etc. are guilty of *treason *(for looting the country, plundering its resources, putting us back 40, 50 years, ruining two generation of would be great pakistanis) and they should be dealt with as such.

You do that in some other country and watch what they will do to you.

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

[quote]
I think we all spend to much energy bashing the government.. I'm tired of it.
We all know they are a bunch of idiots.. lets move the discussion please
[/quote]

Thats like saying I lost all of the tires on my car but lets just drive anyway...

No, I am tired of offering the other cheek on silver platter. I am tired of Pakistanis looking the other way while their government screws the crap out of their country. I am tired of "moving on" and let the looters, criminals and hyenas have their way with the "mother" land.

Somebody, here, today needs to pay. Some heads need to be cut off, some public executions with announcements of their deeds needs to be done. Some examples need to be set that the loot-maar ends now, today. Who is going to pay for setting Pakistan back 40 years? The clock STOPs and we need some accountability, responsibility, credibility shoved back into the government and its people for that matter.

So true, but dont take tension soon there will be another NRO and Justice Dogar again put a stamp on it !

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

I dont want to see this money falling through the holes.

Well...most of the money goes back to the donors of IMF...so the system is designed... :)

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

probably this IMF will be attached very harsh condition with it. and again we end up the current lot will get away with this loan on their personal ventures. we will be left with Pakistan at current crises worst + IMF loan on top of it. end up with more debt.

flight of capital happen during last year or so, war on terror was always there before, there were suicide attacks too, but that didnt cry too much to get negetive attention and money kept comming in Pakistan,
but this lot came in declared they need loans, sending the investors away at first point,
pack their own NRO funds abroad

how we can expact investment and industy boom if we portray negetive about Pakistan. it will have double or tripple effect. thats what we are having now.

I am sure if they have tried to keep image healthy even with war on terror going on, money would have stayed in Pakistan. but the current situation Pakistani own people withdrawing money and keeping at home and converting it to dollors instead, sending the local currency into chaos.

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

Amour, won't some of the money recieved from the IMF go twrds paying off the older loans.
Correct me if I'm wrong but wont this be like a refinance.

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

If IMF lend me $6b at an interest rate of 6% per annum ($360m)...I will try to turn that $6b into 12b at least within an year...that makes sense...you pay back the borrowed money with interest back...

But if you only want to borrow for other destinations like paying bills, salaries or on non-productive programs...that makes little sense...you will never come out of debts in that kind of attitude... :D

to add to Amour's post about damaging the image. There are also rumors that the govt. will cease all foreign money bank accounts so that is also making people withdraw any little bit of foreign cash left in the country. My uncle just withdrew all of this cash from his account in Pakistan.

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

^^ what would that do?

other then create a more hostile situation in the country

I totally agree with you JL, but nobody in Pakistan really cares. They all complain but nobody wants to do anything about the issues. Actually Pakistanis every where are the same, we all complain but don't do anything constructive about the issues. Agreed that some heads need to be cut off but who will do that? Everybody is in it together.

What a sad day that India sent a probe to moon and Pakistan asked for money from IMF otherwise declare bankruptcy, sad really sad

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/23/world/asia/23pakistan.html?ref=world

yes but it is something that was done before as well, so hopefully there was a lesson there.

Re: Pakistan Turns to IMF

Getting Loan from IMF is like digging another well to get soil to fill previous well ...simple is that. We will keep on digging wells if we keep on going back to IMF and we will always end up short on soil for 1 well

I think that is the most fair judgement of the difference in government between India and Pakistan since the start of the 1990s.

IMF decides how this money will be allocated, not our government.

You have any idea how IMF loans work?

And when somebody comes to help the country (like pulling Pakistan out of IMF programs, 2004), people yearn for the democracy that will put us right back in IMF's hands.

Jaahil qaum.

Sadly, Pakistan lacks options. No allied nation trusts AAZ with a single dollar. Rightly so.

Pakistan has 2 basic problems concurrently.

1) WoT has caused both capital flight and drop in FDI. This is damaging the economy, dropping confidence etc.

2) High commodity prices have caused runaway inflation. Wiping out the lower middle class and causing a surge in poverty.

Pakistan needs to make a choice, stay in the WoT and get nothing in return except death, or leave the coalition-face sanctions-but hopefully gain stability.

It cant control 2, it can have some impact on 1. We are sanctioned often by the US, and although it would hurt, it may just shock start the leadership into taking responsible decisions. Sad truth is that until Afghanistan is stable, we will not be stable UNLESS we pull out and disassociate ourselves with the failed US policy.