NA-246 bi-elections: Apr. 23 : Karachi Areas Azizabad, F.B. Area , F.C. Area

[SID_NY]

Re: NA-246 bi-elections: Apr. 23 : Karachi Areas Azizabad, F.B. Area , F.C. Area

@Qabil

I said 600 to 700 people, not thousands.

In the hindsight, 50000 votes was a huge overestimate. But after what I have observed during last couple of weeks, and especially yesterday, I can say that PTI can actually feel proud of what they have achieved.

Ya you are right , y ou said 600-700 i just checked again and apologies for misquote. But that reminds me of the conversation we’d so lets take a look at it again.

@Qabil

I talked to a couple of people in detail. One of them a sixty something man who was there with his wife. They were from Karimabad, part of NA-246. The man was himself a Punjabi and his wife was Urdu speaking. He told that until a few years ago, his wife and other family members were very active MQM supporters but after a few bad experiences they now have turned against it. He said that the general consensus for MQM is far from good due to obvious reasons. And the vast majority of MQM haters now favor PTI as they see it as the only reasonable replacement available to them. As a free and fair election is expected this time, he estimated that PTI could pull off above 50000 votes while it would be impossible for MQM to reach, let alone cross 100000 votes without their usual tactics. And if PTI somehow manages to convince JI to withdraw in its favor then even a victory will not remain improbable.

**I agreed with him, so did the other people sitting besides and listening to us **because his analysis matched our observations. Many of my friends and relatives live in that constituency, and I know for sure that more than half of them will vote for PTI.

@SID_NY

Very interesting. So you are claiming that PTI will get 50K+ votes this time. I dont have any doubt that it’ll be a fair election as compared to all previous once albeit few minor here n there.

I personally think PTI should be highly thankful if they get 30K votes which is very tough. Now remember its a very large constituency covering very densely populated areas.

So yes, you can take a look at results now and let me know if my analysis was wrong?!!

Now thats called knowing the ground reality without being on ground

Should i take a bow now?