Re: My Election prediction
PPP seats in Punjab (as well as Sindh) are mostly at constituencies where people vote to Zamindars (Vaderas) and not to party. These Zamindars (Vaderas) would win their seats regardless. I believe, number of these Zamindars are contesting election on PPP tickets (and quite a few are also contesting election on PMLQ tickets).
Many poor on BeNazir Income Support would also vote for PPP (they are around 7 million families all over Pakistan). In Punjab, all who suffered at the hand of Taliban or believe that they could suffer at the hands of Taliban, most would vote PPP. All anti-Taliban elements, regardless of they believe they could suffer at the hands of Taliban or not, most of them would also be voting PPP.
Well, all what I wrote is my assessment. But I could be wrong. 