Re: My Election prediction
My assessment was before BeNazir protruded her head to become a ‘pot shot’ for terrorist … and then PPP start blaming PMLQ and Musharraf for her death (it is just like anyone blaming Zardari for the death of Salman Taseer) and then PPP joining hands with PMLN against PMLQ. So obviously result of election came quite different … even then PPP on wave of BeNazir death got only 2 million votes more than PMLQ and PMLN with support of JI and PTI voters got 1.5 million votes less than PMLQ. Even in Punjab, though PMLQ did not get most seats they got most votes and that also after many of their candidates contested as Independent.
Just imagine, if terrorist kill Nawaz Shareef and PMLN starts blaming PTI for that killing, calling PTI as Qatil party, and they continue their propaganda for ~ 2 months before election, with such vigour and media help that people start believing that PTI must have killed Nawaz Shareef, and then PMLN join hands with PPP and PMLQ to contest election against PTI, then what would happen? … I doubt in such situation PTI would get many seats.
So don’t blame my assessment but blame change in situation after my assessment. It is same today, as I believe PTI may get more seats after Imran accident then before Imran accident. If (khuda-na-Khwasta) Imran had died and blame would have gone on PMLN, than PMLN would have got wiped out in election … at least PMLQ still got 8.2 million votes and number of seats.
Even then I am not saying that my assessment is divine and has to be accurate, as it is only assessment, results could be entirely different even if new situation do not arise … though in politics new situations and alliances can happen in hours and there is still 3 days to go before election.