Militancy: The Punjab Connection

The recent attacks in Bhakkar and Bahawalpur have pointed to a worrying trend, those areas where the state is the weakest. Mostly in the areas on east bank of the indus and under developed..militants(many formerly linked with Kashmir) are strengthening themselves in Punjabs underbelly.

By Aoun Abbas Sahi

NWFP governor, Owais Ghani, during a visit to Lahore on September 22, revealed that the jihadi organisations in the Northern Areas were in the process of extending their network into the Punjab. “These organisations are preparing the people of southern Punjab for suicide attacks in the name of jihad, which is a dangerous carry over from the troubled FATA region.”

     The Frontier governor's warning that militant groups operating in his province have established firm links with similar groups operating in the Punjab, especially in southern Punjab, may come as a surprise to many, but actually these groups have always had strong links with each other.

      **The southern Punjab has always been a choice recruiting base for many militant organisations. It has hosted some of Pakistan's most radical militant Islamist groups, namely Jaish-i-Mohammad, Lashkar-i-Jhangvi, Sipah-i-Sahaba, Lashkar-i-Tayyaba, Harkat-ul-Ansar, Hizbul Tahrir, Harkat-ul-Mujahideen, Tehrik-i-Jafria and Sipah-i-Mohammad. These southern Punjab-based groups, in fact, introduced terrorism to this country in the early 1980s, in the guise of sectarianism. Later, they raised the spectre of suicide attacks. In March 2002, two 'fidayeen' (the term introduced by the Lashkar-i-Jhangvi for suicide bombers) bombed the International Protestant Church in Islamabad. It was believed to be the first suicide attack by a jihadi outfit in Pakistan.**

    These organisations are believed to have instigated a number of local suicide bombers. On February 23, 2007, three suicide bombers, Adeel, Mohammad Akhtar and Maqsood, died when their explosives went off accidentally in Chichawatni, Sahiwal district. Police believed that they were going to carry out a suicide bombing during the qul of slain police inspector Rana Mohammad Saeed, which senior police officials were scheduled to attend. Adeel and Akhtar were students of a local madrassa, the Madrassa Aziz-ul-Aloom, and Maqsood belonged to the banned Lashkar-i-Jhangvi. In December 2007, two suspected suicide bombers died in Bahawalnagar city when they prematurely detonated their explosives near the residence of the PML-Q's Ejaz-ul-Haq.

       Security agencies suspect that the recent Marriott attack may be linked to southern Punjab-based militant organisations. Reportedly, law enforcement personnel investigating the blast, visited Central Jail Bahawalpur to question prisoners who had been involved in terrorist activities. Security officials have also directed police in southern Punjab to arrest more than 250 active members of militant organisations after the Marriot blast.

     Madrassas have always been accused of having links with militant organisations. While they number around 20,000 in Pakistan, 13,000 are registered with the ITMD (Ittehad Tanzeemat Madaris Deenia) federal board, which liases between the madrassas and the government. 

      Two million students currently attend these religious seminaries, and the alumni network is about five million strong. The overwhelming majority of these madrassas - around 12,000 registered madrassas - belong to the Deobandi school of thought. All militant organisations in Pakistan sans the Lashkar-e-Tayabba, are headed by people belonging to the Deobandi school. A majority of these were established after 1980 during the Zia years. In Taunsa Sharif, a small tehsil of Dera Ghazi Khan District, there are more than 70 registered Deobandi madrassas. The situation in other districts of southern Punjab is no different.

      According to a report on Pakistan by the US Institute of Peace (USIP) in 2007, while most madrassa students come from low-income families, children from higher-income families are also found in madrassas. A small percentage of all madrassa students and alumni, not just within Pakistan but also from its diaspora communities, are said to be directly or indirectly linked to various militant organisations. For example, some of the UK-born 7/7 suicide bombers attended a Pakistani madrassa in Faisalabad in the Punjab shortly before carrying out their attacks last year.

       Dr Rasool Baksh Rais, professor of political science at the department of social sciences, LUMS, says, "While it is true that these madrassas are the main source of education in the backward areas of southern Punjab, they do serve as a major source of recruitment for fresh militants." He says that it is incorrect to consider all Taliban as Pushtoons. "Even the Taliban who are active in Afghanistan include people from different areas of Pakistan, especially the Punjab. Additionally, they have people back in the Punjab who not only arrange funds for them but also send them new recruits." According to him, the non-tax paying traders and contractors of cities like Lahore, Gujranwala and Faisalabad are the main source of funding for militant organisations and madrassas.

       **According to an influential and well-informed person in Bahawalpur who does not wish to be identified, militant groups have flourished in southern Punjab since the Zia regime, organising themselves in the name of the Afghan jihad. "They went underground after 9/11 but that does not mean they were not functioning." He says that everybody knows that Maulana Masood Azhar, head of the Jaish-i-Mohammad, is constructing a huge fortress-type madrassa and mosque in the middle of Bahawalpur city, which could be a Lal Masjid in the making.**

      Muhammad Ibrahim (not his real name), a 25-year-old ex-jihadi from Bahawalpur who fought in Afghanistan with the Taliban before 9/11, tells Newsline that the Lashkar-i-Tayyaba and Jaish-i-Muhammad are very active in the Seraiki belt. "They have a very coordinated underground network in this region," he says. "Their activities are at a peak during Ramazan and they solicit Zakat money openly. I know that at least 250 jihadis, who have fought in Afghanistan, belong to Ahmadpur Sharqia, a tehsil headquarter in Bahawalpur district. The majority are in regular contact with militant outfits and are recruiting for them." He reveals that many young people from his area are still going to the tribal areas to fight against the Pakistan Army. 

     According to Ibrahim, these militant organisations have gradually started to intimidate people in the area. "They are forcing people to follow their version of Islam or get ready to face the consequences. Recently, owners of many video and CD shops in the Seraiki belt have received threats from militant organisations to close down their shops and stop selling immoral items," he informs Newsline. He believes that the September 26 bomb attack on a train in Bahawalpur, in which six people were killed, could be the start of terrorist activity by these militant groups in the Punjab. 

      On September 24, some unidentified militants reportedly wrote a letter to the principal of Nishtar Medical College, Multan demanding that he abolish the co-education system in the college or be prepared to face the consequences. A week before the incident, two bearded young men came to a mosque in Jahanian, in district Khanewal, during Namaz-e-Fajr and introduced themselves as friends of Osama bin Laden and Mullah Omar. They asked the people present in the mosque to get ready to offer their wealth and sacrifice their lives for Islam, as this was a testing time for all Muslims in Pakistan and Afghanistan. After that, they disappeared on their motorcycles.

      Ahmed Rashid, an authority on Pakistani militant groups, maintains that the Punjab-based terrorist outfits and groups have, for long, had close links with the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. "They have fought with them in Afghanistan. Terrorist attacks on Islamabad and cities of the Punjab are managed by the urban-based local terrorists and not by the tribal terrorists," says Rashid. In his view such groups have taken over the majority of the madrassas in southern Punjab and Sindh. "Even the genuine madrassas are now controlled by their people."

      According to him, the militants are gaining strength with every passing day. "The Musharraf regime used to say that they are streamlining the madrassas but we saw a huge expansion during its tenure as well." 

      He admits, though, that the major terrorists groups such as Harkat-ul-Ansar, Jaish-i-Muhammad and Lashkar-i-Tayyaba have split. However, their militant hard core has joined hands with Al-Qaeda, the Taliban and the Pakistani Taliban. All these groups have once again started to develop a well-knit network, with coordination being handled from FATA . As a consequence of this nexus, the militants are reacting to the army operation in Bajaur by striking back in the big cities of Punjab, such as Islamabad through bomb blasts." Rashid says this phenomenon confirms the presence of a strong network of terrorist organisations in the Punjab and other urban areas of Pakistan.

Yes there is no doubt that Southern Punjab has been the source of militancy. However there is a huge difference between FATA and Southern Punjab.

Law enforcement agencies go into Southern Punjab, they can take out the culprits. There is no Mehsud attacking Pak army in Southern Punjab in order to protect criminals and suiciders.

The situation in FATA is bad due to FATA tribals. They have created safe houses on "large scale" where militants from not only Punjab, but from every Jihadi-sewer can come and get food and shelter.

Today if Mehsud and Bajoris lay down the arms, Pak law enforcement agencies will get the Punjabi militants out in a jiffy.

Nip evil in the bud, if fuel and supply for militants is not blocked we will have war going on perpetually forever.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

^ Well democrazy is there so why don't the people's representatives act?

Or maybe "the people" are in favor of the militants?

Let me turn the table, why did Musharraf not do squat in 8 years?


Of course there are people in their favor but that shouldn't mean operation shouldn't be carried out against them.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

But but you want to go against the “views of the people” ? :frowning: :eek:

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

[quote]
Let me turn the table, why did Musharraf not do squat in 8 years?
[/quote]

Maybe he didn't do much as he should have but then the major view here is that he was an evil and senile dictator?

Isn't this democrazy better than even the PML-Q democrazy?

Is imran khan right to want mahathir [a stout economist but A DICTATOR in his rule?].

I didn’t say they are in majority. Who do you think is supporting militants in FATA? Are those supporteres not human beings/people? Is there no operation going on against those people?

I don't recall a single operation in southern Punjab, do you recall such? Anyway, though it is a democracy but it is more like an orphan right now, it is first round after 8 years of military rule. Hopefully they will take right steps to eradicate the problems.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

How would you contain the suicide bombers from roaming free all over Punjab in that case? Right now the army has largely confined the terrorists to NWFP though now they have started to "roam around" in lahore / islamabad etc.. Plus, majority of the army comes from there and and unstable punjab creates nightmares for the military when it is also adjacent to india. India would do a khalistan payback.

PS the problem in southern punjab goes further back than musharraf unless you also filtered out the sectarianism that originated from there. I can't believe many people who don't believe pakistan wasn't unstable in the nineties. Forget karachi [majority of site ain't from there] but sectarianism was as bad as is the suicide bombers today in creating panic and losses.

I agree, operation in southern Punjab is not an easy one as Taliban don't openly claim to hold any area or so far they haven't distributed threatening letters to CD/video shops etc. but all funding can be blocked, masajid/madaris need be bugged to trace anyone giving sermons/training in favor of Taliban.

I agree, the problem didn't originate post 9/11 and we had sectarian problem all over Pakistan. When Musharraf declared the parties as "terrorists" he only "banned" them, banning such an outfit doesn't do anything unless a witch-hunt is carried out and its people are arrested and prosecuted.

I agree its only in FATA where your getting people tryingto take active control over areas. The people of Waziristan, Swat and Bajaur have much more in common with the Taliban culturally and ideologically than people of Punjab. In some of the areas of FATA people lived exactly like they did in Afghanistan under the Taliban except people could listen to music,beards were not compulsory and there is some educational institutions.

The people of Punjab belong to a number of different sects - Deobandi, Barelvi and Shia - barelvis probably being the most common. It would be impossible for the militants to take over these areas like they are doing in FATA and NWFP - the terrain does not suit them, the people might show more resistance due to cultural and ideological reasons, it has no border with Afghanistan and it is not being attacked by the Army.

The border with Afghanistanis an important point as many people are already pointing fingers at the American and Indian presence and the very high possibility they may even be supporting the breakdown.

The militants overall cannot hold an area in FATA or NWFP for long openly. They have always moved back whenever the army has responded, and moved forward again after a while. Even within NWFP the militants have shown little interest in non-pashtun regions such as Chitral and Hazara. Last year Kohistanis from kalam told the so-called Taliban to leave their areas. Are the militants only interested in destabilising the Pashtun belt?

In Waziristan people are now saying there is no one but the locals and they are angry that the government is helping the American against their fellow muslims across the border and even more angry they took action in Waziristan and innocent people being killed in the crossfire.
Some of the suicide bombings may even be revenge attacks by Waziri tribesmen.

It is about time the people of FATA stopped letting criminals into their area full stop. They should stop providing safe havens where criminals all over Pakistan can run too. The Tribals only have themselves to blame for that sadly.

The main lesson is that the governments of sindh, balochistan, punjab could form a resistance to militants and learn from the mistakes of NWFP before its too late. For now the militants can only suicide bomb within Punjab. Its very hard for the law enforcement agencies to stop all suicide attackers but there has to be much stricter security around important installations.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

As has been mentioned violence in punjab preceded the violence in FATA..it was another gift of a dictator like FATA's problems are one from Musharraf.

The present violence in Punjab has connections with FATA but is driven by different groups (Kashmiri ones former ISI backed babies) and inspired by Lal Masjid. In fact the bulk of attacks in Punjab have been by locals...

The events in FATA have not occurred in isolation, west of the border they are backed by money from drug trade and from the east they get volunteers and funding from punjab.

As they say if you want to get rid of mosquitoes you need to drain the swamp.

Bingo! Let us not forget the anti-Shia violence in Punjab that has been going for decades now. I am not from the Shia community, but we have recognize the problems of rel;igious militancy.

Furthermore, lets re run the chronology of the situation in FATA.

  • Pakistan supported the Taliban in probably the most unprecedented scale, where ISI was running the framework/intl relations of the country.
  • 9/11: Pakistan turns its back on the Taliban. Angering the regime/Taliban is toppled by US + Allies.
  • Segments of Pakistani military+recruits from FATA/Punjab/Other parts of Pakistan pour into Afghanistan. They are killed/captured/injured.
  • With Afghanistan lost to Allied (US,UK) control, the Talibs+militants regroup in FATA where an base camps had existed since the Soviet invasion and were at times used for the Kashmir insurgency. These bases were fully established under the watchful eye of the Pak. Military.
  • Segments of Pakistan continues to support the militants and considers them an 'assets' future takeover of Afghanistan after the US leaves.

Also, it is a MYTH to believe that the trbes in FATA are welcoming the militants with open arms. Sure the Taliban, due to their ethnic and religious affinities are tolerated, it would be completely false to think that the tribes andmore importantly the tribal leaders would want their power structure to be destabilized. In fact most of the leaders in Mohmand Agency continue to be against the militant takeover of the area. They agreed to house the militant for Afghanistan operations not to create skirmishes in FATA.

There has been a lot hate thrown at FATA and many lies based on fabricated reports thrown about on this forum. This just to set the record straight.

Religious militancy is one thing but taking control over areas and bringing them under your own rule and subjecting the people to your own rule is another. Religious militants in Punjab have not declared Shariah law in Bhakkar or Bahawalpur.

Religious militancy in south asia is not decades old its centuries old. Excessive violence in the name of religion has been quite common for many centuries.

Its easy blaming dictators for whats going on but the democratically elected people would have behaved no differently. I dont think the PPP, MQM, ANP, PML-Q would have dared going against USA policy. Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan try to talk the talk but can they walk the walk?

The democratically elected government in pakistan and NWFP have made no improvement what-so-ever. Some would argue its got much worse - actually disagree as suicide bombings are less in number than this time last year.

Zia ul Haq can be blamed for the spread of guns but it was individuals who brought them willingly because weapons and violence are glamourised within every society of Pakistan.

As for the whole Taliban in pakistan issue - it would have only been less of a problem if the borders were not so open.

It is individuals who follow blindly what others say and lead them down a dark alley. being gullible is not a crime or a bad thing but it can get you into alot of trouble. Sadly there are far more people in NWFP gullible to whichever Mad Mullah stands up than within the Punjab. Its not that they are wrong - its just that those who they have made the enemy are much stronger than they can ever imagine. Sad fact is that some of these Mad Mullahs actually speak the truth - what right do the Americans have being in Afghanistan? Its just that they are not the ones controlling the media so they find their case a bit harder to put across.

They are not planning attacks on the USA from Multan or Lahore. This is the problem - it is the USA and its policies. The USA believes it can bomb the taliban or anyone else into submission. If the USA wants change the the only way it will get that is stop interfering negatively in other countries or start interfering positively ie giving people more facilities. Even then I dont think the USA will ever be viewed by Muslims as a friendly country. But the Americans have set their sights on NWFP and thats what matters. Where they will end up next its easy to predict - another region of pakistan or another muslim country

The problem with draining the swamp is that it leads all the way to Washington and Al-qaeda believe they are going to drain that swamp. Washington believes the swamp exists on the Afghan-Pakistan border and it believes by bombing the area they will subjugate the people to their own will.

In Swat many of the locals - probably not even 1/3 welcomed the Taliban and without resistance caved in. The Kohistanis rejected the Taliban and the Taliban did not annoy them again.

It is not Islamabad who blames the FATA but Washington and whatever Washington says is obeyed. Islamabad wants to keep the Taliban in power in Afghanistan to keep India in check.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

Mr. thejoke, frankly speaking the emergence of ideological, political, pan-Islamist, and militant Islamist movements is intimately linked to the quest of an Islamic identity distinct from the dominent Hindu one in South Asian Muslims. Rather you can divide it into 4 phases

-the Islamic phenomenon in India (i.e. Hidustan---east of Indus) at theological level...this was before 19th Century.

-the ideological interpretation of Islam which unfolded into a variety of pan-Islamist, political-Islamist, and militant Islamist ideologies like Deoband (in Deoband Hindustan), Jummaath-i-Islami, Tanzeem-i-Islami, Ahrar, Khaksar, etc. During this phase, the South Asiam Muslim identity manifested geopolitically in the form of Pakistan (just imagine how the link with Islam is, Pakistan means "land of the faithful" and Islamabad means "abode of Islam", and the birth of Muslim nation is ascribed to when Mohammad bin Qasim stepped foot in Sindh). This happened during late 19th and first half of 20th century.

  • During the Afghan War and even before that the pan-Islam was transformed into the military doctrine of jehad by none other than General Zia-u-Haq, Gen Akhtar Abdur Rahman, General Hamid Gul, Gen Assad Durrani, Maj Gen Zaheerul Islam Abbasi, Lt Gen Javed Nasir, Lt Gen Aziz Khan, Gen Mahmoud Ahmad (the general who wired $100000 to 9/11 terrorists via Umar Saeed Shiekh ....a Jishi--Mohammad Jehadi and ISI agent who has been convicted to be involved in the killing of Daniel Pearl). During this phase, the South Asian Muslim identity sought geopolitical expansion through jehadist network and Islamist ideologies by trying to annex Kasmir and Afghanistan and assimilating such peripheral communities as Pashtuns/Afghans and Kashmiris. Cold War and later Afghan war provided opportunity to such ambitious policies.

Zial-ul-Haq has once said to Salig Harrison that Pakistan has won itself the right to install an Islamic govt in Kabul that would bring Central Asian Muslim communities into the fold of Islam and that he wanted to extend Pakistan's influence to Central Asia etc. The "strategic depth" policy was presented to him none other than Gen Hamid Gul an inhabitant of Sarghoda Punjab.

But how other regional and global powers could tolerate such voilent expansion of the South Asian Islam. The region is ultra-strategic and other powers could not tolerate it on top of the fact that Pakistan was doing it not on the basis of any political, economic, military, or diplomatic strength but mere by creating, harbouring, and promoting jehadist networks. Pakistani generals had done this before e.g. when they launched "Operation Gibraltor" in 1965, they thought war would be limited to Kashmir and would not expand to the rest of the region; in 1971, Yahay Khan had said "kill 3 millions of them and the rest would eat out of our hands" and that "i have decided to shoot my way through the Bay of Bangal". The same miscalculation was done by Musharaf in 1999 during Kargal War. The same micalculation was done by Pakistani generals when they embarked on the ambitious conquest of Kashmir and Afghanistan (1990s) i.e. other powers would not respond.

The same miscalculation was done by them when they gave sanctuaries to Al-Qaueda and Taleban in FATA putting the old policy of Zial-ul-Haq "to keep Afghan pot boiling with proper temprature" into play. They expceted that a low-level insurgency would continue in Afghanistan for decades enabling Pakistan to grab Western military and economic aid and maintain a foothold in Afghanistan through Islamist proxies. But voilence has its own dyanmics as well. How could they expect Pakistan to be the dominent player in Afghanistan in the region determining the geopolitical and military tempo of events on their own.

Cutting the long story short, the geopolitical expansion of south asian Muslim identity that sought expansion through Islamist ideology and military doctrine of Jehad has come to a dead-end wherein it would have to make a retreat. It would have to shelve its expansionist desire through voilence in order to live in peace. That is the writings on the wall.

As for FATA or Pashtun areas in general and Jehad, it is fact that there were no Baitullah Mahsud, Naik Mohammad, Abdullah Mahsud, or Maulana Fazlullah, before 2001. In time of need ISI and pakistani military creates such characters and call shots behind such sand-bags. Remember during Kashmir Jehad from 1988-2002, many such jehadist character emerged on the Kashmir scene as well.

You need to update your knowledge on Lashkar-i-Taiba, Lashkar-i-Jhangvi, Jaish-i-Mohammad, Harkatul Mujahideen, Harkatul Ansar, Jummath-ul-Fuqra (Richard Reid the shoe bomber was associated to this network), Fidayin Islam, etc. The existence of these outfits much preceded even the birth of Afghan Taleban. You should make a search for "Zaheerul Islam Abbasi", Qari Saifullah Akhtar, Colonal Imam, Khalid Khawaja, Brigidier Ijaz Shah, Umar Saeed Shiekh, etc.

It is not that simple my dear. What explaination would you give of Jehadist phenomenon in Kashmir between 1988 and 2002? Were Kashmiris then gullible? I read a BBC article authored by Ilyas Khan, which said when ISI some months before agaist started jehadist inflitration via Neelum Valley, the inhabitants of that valley along the border with Indian Kashmir had approached the army people and begged them not to make their lives miserable again.

The basic thing is when an institution is in full control of the things and other people are helpless, you can create any Jehadi character.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

As for Kohistanis asking, you might have heard that people of Bunair, Dir, Swat, Shabqadar, Mardan, etc. have formed their own lashkars(emergency army) and have decided neither to let Taleban nor security forces (army) to enter their areas because they consider both to be the two faces of the same coin.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

The following articles will reveal who were actually involved in assasination of or assasination attempts on Musharaf, Benazir Bhutto, Prime Miniter Gilani, and lately on Asfandyar Wali Khan…and that who was involved in the destruction of Marriot Hotel. This shows how is extremist and miltant dugged deep in Pakistan’s political, security, and religious-educational structures.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/HJ14Df02.html

Pakistan foils coup plot
By Syed Saleem Shahzad

KARACHI - A plot to stage a coup against Pakistan’s President General Pervez Musharraf soon after his recent return from the US has been uncovered, resulting in the arrest of more than 40 people.

Most of those arrested are middle-ranking Pakistani Air Force officers, while civilian arrests include a son of a serving brigadier in the army. All of those arrested are Islamists, contacts in Rawalpindi, where the military is based, divulged to Asia Times Online.

The conspiracy was discovered through the naivety of an air force
officer who this month used a cell phone to activate a high-tech rocket aimed at the president’s residence in Rawalpindi. The rocket was recovered, and its activating mechanism revealed the officer’s telephone number. His arrest led to the other arrests.

Other rockets were then recovered from various high security zones, including the headquarters of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) in Islamabad.

According to Asia Times Online sources, more arrests can be expected, both military and civilian.

Several assassination attempts have been made on Musharraf since he took power in a bloodless coup in 1999, and in all attempts there was a connection with the armed forces, especially the air force. However, this time it appears that beyond the attack on the president, a coup against his administration was also planned.

This plot takes place amid major developments. While in the US, Musharraf, in a meeting with President George W Bush, once again pledged his commitment to the US-led “war on terror”. He drew world attention to his belief that the real threat were the Taliban in Afghanistan, and not al-Qaeda. He subsequently agreed to terms with Washington for a massive joint operation against the Taliban.

Still in the US, Musharraf also claimed that former ISI officials were supporting the Taliban and he sent instructions to the director general of the ISI to check on top officials, including retired Lieutenant General Hamid Gul and retired Colonel Ameer Sultan (known as Colonel Imam). Gul is a former director general of the ISI and Ameer is considered as the founding father of the Taliban movement. He was Pakistan’s consul-general in Herat in western Afghanistan when the Taliban emerged in the mid-1990s.

Musharraf also instructed that a list be compiled of all retired officers who had been involved in any significant intelligence operations and who were suspected of still being sympathetic towards the Taliban.

At the same time, he began to backtrack from an agreement Islamabad had made with the Pakistani Taliban in the Waziristan tribal areas for the release of al-Qaeda-linked people detained in Pakistan. Instead, more were arrested, including Shah Mehboob, a brother of former jihad veteran and member of parliament, Shah Abdul Aziz. Also arrested was a British-born suspected member of al-Qaeda, known as Abdullah.

"This is just one glimpse of upcoming events as a result of Musharraf’s pro-American policies, which are in contrast to the thinking pattern of Pakistan’s state institutions," said retired squadron leader Khalid Khawaja, a former ISI official who went to Afghanistan after his forced retirement and fought alongside Osama bin Laden against Soviet Russia in the 1980s. (Khawaja features on Musharraf’s list mentioned above.)

“Musharraf always blamed the madrassas [Islamic seminaries] for extremism, but all plots against him or his government go back to the armed forces. But he still does not realize why this happens,” Khawaja maintained.

“He says retired ISI officials are involved in supporting the Taliban. I say there is no difference between retired and serving ones. All of them have the same approach, mindset and conviction. The retired ones act freely, while the serving ones have some job constraints, but both think in the same way. The present move of a coup against Musharraf is the writing on the wall that if he continues with pro-American policies, he will continue to face problems like that,” Khawaja said.

“These governments, whether it is Indian or Pakistani, compel their forces to work for their strategic requirements, and when a particular operation is over, they talk about peace and wash their hands of everything they have done in the past. For instance, the Kargil operation [the Pakistani incursion into Indian-administered Kashmir in 1999]. Pakistan initially called it an action by the ‘mujahideen’. Six months later, they started awarding medals to their army officers for their performance in Kargil. What does it prove? It proves that governments are personally involved in everything, whether it is the Kargil operation or the Kashmiri resistance, and then they blame the mujahideen or whatever.”

Khawaja said that whatever officials did during their service in the ISI, it was on state instructions, and if the state tried to punish these same officials, the result would be the type of events that are happening now.

It is all too apparent that Pakistan’s head and tail are moving in opposite directions: while Musharraf is fully behind the “war on terror”, the strategic institutions are reluctant to follow Islamabad’s instructions.

This is not something new, but over the years Musharraf and hardliners within the army have been able to live with one another. Had a hardline ruler been in Musharraf’s place, Western countries would have tightened the noose around Pakistan and its security institutions would not have been able to manipulate their support of the Taliban. Because of Musharraf, Western countries are not prepared to be tough on Pakistan, which allows the hardliners to continue their activities.

Musharraf is acutely aware of the undercurrents in the army, which historically draws its inspiration from Islam, and more recently from the attacks on the US of September 11, 2001, when anti-US sentiment also took root. Musharraf exploited this by convincing the West of his usefulness in keeping the army - “full of extremism” - under control, something that a democratically elected government could not do, he argued

This cozy arrangement, or uneasy truce, between Musharraf and hardline Islamists in the ranks is breaking down as the US is demanding that Musharraf do something about the resurgent Taliban. He has responded, as outlined above, by cracking down on Taliban supporters and sympathizers. These people, both in uniform and out, have in turn given their reponse: they are not prepared to throw away all the gains that have been made in Afghanistan.

STRATFOR :pakistan: Rockets, Coup Rumors and Musharraf
October 13, 2006 23 30 GMT

Summary

Pakistani authorities announced Oct. 13 the arrest of eight militants with ties to al Qaeda, being held in connection with attempted rocket attacks in and near Pakistan’s capital, Islamabad. The incident comes amid growing talk of discontent within the military with President Gen. Pervez Musharraf, and amid criticism from senior military intelligence officials – signaling that Musharraf’s support within the military could be waning. Though Musharraf is not faced with the prospect of losing power any time soon, opposition parties will try to take advantage of this situation, possibly creating political instability in Pakistan.

STRATFOR :pakistan: Rockets, Coup Rumors and Musharraf
October 13, 2006 23 30 GMT

Summary

Police and intelligence agents apprehended eight al Qaeda-linked Pakistani militants in raids on undisclosed locations in Pakistan, seizing weapons, ammunition and explosives, Pakistani Interior Minister Aftab Ahmed Khan Sherpao told reporters Oct. 13. The same day, Asia Times Online reported that a coup plot against Musharraf had been uncovered soon after the Pakistani president’s return from the United States. According to the article, more than 40 people have been arrested, most of them mid-ranking air force officers. Officials uncovered the conspirators when an air force officer used a cell phone to activate a rocket aimed at the president’s residence in Rawalpindi. The rocket was recovered, and its activating mechanism, also a cell phone, revealed the officer’s telephone number.

Although the reported coup attempt (which would require the involvement of senior army officials) is unlikely, it is possible that air force officials may have been arrested, some of whom might have been junior officers. Moreover, the rockets, which were all found, probably were more of a warning than anything else. Even so,these developments indicate Musharraf might be slowly losing support from his core constituency in the military establishment – especially given the criticism of Musharraf from former heads of the country’s premier spy agency, the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). Musharraf’s political opponents will try to take advantage of this situation, which could lead to instability in the South Asian country.

Musharraf’s recent statements show he is under a lot of strain. In comments during a dinner gathering with journalists, the day before the seventh anniversary of the coup in which he took power, he said that if moderates do not prevail over extremists in upcoming elections, then Pakistan as envisioned by its founder will be no more.

These remarks come as senior ex-ISI officials continue to express displeasure at Musharraf’s accusations that former officials of the intelligence directorate continue to support the Taliban. In an Oct. 10 appearance on GEO TV’s program Capital Talk, former ISI Director-General and retired Lt. Gen. Hameed Gul described Musharraf’s statement as “shameful,” and said it would have “harmful results” for the president, the country’s intelligence services and the military. Another former ISI director-general, retired Lt. Gen. Asad Durrani, said Afghan government allegations the ISI was supporting the Taliban could only be halted if Pakistan honestly told Kabul that it was “not in a position to control the Taliban from its borders.” And former ISI official and retired air force squadron leader Khalid Khawaja said Musharraf had “endorsed” foreign allegations by giving such a statement. (Khawaja is well known for his ties to the murky al Qaeda-Taliban network.)

The recent story about mid-ranking air force officers is only the latest in a series of interesting accounts of links between Pakistani air force officials and al Qaeda. Musharraf himself acknowledged that noncommissioned air force personnel took part in plots to kill him in 2003. Moreover, former al Qaeda military commander Abu Zubaydah told interrogators that one of his high-ranking contacts in the Pakistani military was former air force chief Mushaf Ali Mir. Shortly thereafter, Mir died in air accident. Stratfor also has learned that many former midlevel ISI officials with the rank of major and colonel have familial ties with Islamist militants who are veterans of the 1979-89 war against the Soviet army in Afghanistan.

Word of links between the ISI and Islamist militants has generated a great deal of controversy – to the extent that there was a media leak of report prepared by a think tank affiliated with the British Ministry of Defense calling for the ISI’s dissolution. Clearly, the pressure is rising on Musharraf regarding the ISI controversy, but most significant is that he is being criticized from within. This is something his civilian political opponents will be looking to exploit. Should this situation lead to political unrest, his fellow generals may not be very keen to continue supporting him.

Re: Militancy: The Punjab Connection

oh my God fanatics in punjab, lets go bomb em :rolleyes: