India-China conflict expected this century

Contest of the century. The highly respected British magazine The Economist featured a front-page article in their 21 August issue about the possibility of a major war between China and India. India believes China is trying to strategically encircle it. To the west, Pakistan; to the north, Tibet; to the east, Burma. To the south, China is busy cultivating Sri Lanka.


**As China and India rise in tandem, their relationship will shape world politics. Shame they do not get on better **

http://economist.com/node/16846256

China’s longer-term contest is with that other recovering economic behemoth: India. These two Asian giants, which until 1800 used to make up half the world economy, are not, like Japan and Germany, mere nation states. In terms of size and population, each is a continent—and for all the glittering growth rates, a poor one.

Autocrats in Beijing are contemptuous of India for its messy, indecisive democracy. But they must see it as a serious long-term rival—especially if it continues to tilt towards America. As recently as the early 1990s, India was as rich, in terms of national income per head. China then hurtled so far ahead that it seemed India could never catch up. But India’s long-term prospects now look stronger. While China is about to see its working-age population shrink , India is enjoying the sort of bulge in manpower which brought sustained booms elsewhere in Asia. It is no longer inconceivable that its growth could outpace China’s for a considerable time. It has the advantage of democracy—at least as a pressure valve for discontent. And India’s army is, in numbers, second only to China’s and America’s: it has 100,000 soldiers in disputed Arunachal Pradesh (twice as many as America will soon have in Iraq). And because India does not threaten the West, it has powerful friends both on its own merits and as a counterweight to China.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

India, Israel and America have a very cozy little arrangement. Personally, I don't care for either China or India. I hate both and there's nothing I'd like to see more than India Vs China...

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

Yet another indian with his head in the sand, dreaming golden dreams for india which in reality is a cockroach infested, urine smelling, wretched poor country with dozens of separatist movements. Its a shame really that pakisan and china are not concentrating on supporting these separatists (thanks to a corrupt govt in pak), otherwise it will not take a lot of time to disintegrate india and make asia a peaceful place

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

Umm … Sorry to correct you but the article is written by a British in a British Magazine, which you would have found out even after a cursory glance of the post.

:rotfl: :rotfl:

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

The indian cockroaches have penetrated deep the american and uk society and im not surprised that some dickhead is singing india's tunes. Nevertheless, I was referring to the poster of the news. Moreover, the fact still remains that india is the biggest terrorist in south asia and the worst neighbor in the world for all its neighbors.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

China and India should understand that they are geographical reality; any war between them will be disastrous for both of them.

Better if both countries understand this, or they can fight with each other like Europeans did.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

You can add Russia in your equation as well. But Pakistan was more successful in foreign relation than India before 90s, India didn’t had any foreign policy pre-90s

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

You can add Russia in your equation as well. But Pakistan was more successful in foreign relation than India before 90s, India didn’t had any foreign policy pre-90s

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

China has indeed come a long way since the days of the disastrous "cultural revolution." I am heartened by the progress it has made of late but I would like China to embrace multi-party democracy as well.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

I would'nt take the report too seriously if china and india fought a war it would destroy both nations because there would be so much pride and ego at stake no one would back down resulting in many dead and economy disrupted.

The report is not taking bigger picture into account it is china that is being encircled by america and its allies korea, taiwan, japan on one side, then you have american bases in central asia and india itself on other side.

America wants china to be checked so it has no ambitions to expand outside.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

Lets hope to see another 1962 then. The results should be the same.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

As long as India is controlled by Congress or communists, it will self destruct itself. And that is what is happening in India. Naxalite violence in the eastern India, Strong Kashmir voices in north are pointing to that fact. In the long term, naxalite violence would be the deathknell for India. It would be slowly fragmented and absored into the chinese ambit of influence. Naxalites are the advance column of the chinese.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

I hope Maosists come to power in India ASAP. Then we can be as ruthless with secessionists. Gloves will be off . ;)

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

it could happen. Who thought nepal would become maoist state?

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

Go China go !!!

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

I pray that the chinese do succeed in breaking this monster country India.... always up to some mischief, always back stabbing its neighbors.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

China must be ruing the day they attacked India in 1962 - for they lost a friend.

In a new conflict between these two countries, the USA & the western countries would back India to the hilt, Russia would remain neutral.

The economies of both would be destroyed. In the end, USA would re-emerge as the undisputed sole Superpower..

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

*India by far comes nowhere near China at least for now. *

Sure enough ----- There has always been boorishness in the media on both sides, perhaps just for the rating purposes or to stay competitive by showing their super patriotism to the general public.

Clearly and understandably publics on both sides seem to be in step with these media embellishments ----- consider this ----- the first unambiguous break step that needs to be taken by both countries is to ward off scarcity of trust between each other and I am almost certain that it is not going to be tranquil in a sense that there absolutely be some on both sides who wouldn’t want this effort to substantiate an air of trust between two countries to be successful, in addition to the opposition and defiance these hardcore fundamentalist elements might try to create commotion on both sides yet, two must suppress these tumultuous elements in order to achieve long term peace and harmony within the region, moreover I do understand that this change might take years or even decades to achieve nevertheless the two countries must not only ingrain this change in both societies but also adapt to it religiously...

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

1) What they teach you in schools is very different from reality, Your govt. suppressed the Henderson Brooks Report in India but furtunately it was partially leaked to the British press.. Who started the conflict in 62, you may not like the answer.

2) Thats why US needs India, to serve as a counter weight to China.. otherwise India never showed on US radars for at least ~50 years.

3) India playing in US hands will lead to a conflict, sole purpose of US is to weaken China at the expense of India without directly getting involved, Its US war by proxy and a policy of containment.

Re: India-China conflict expected this century

While these two countries might be competing economic giants in the future I do not see a military war happening. Neither of them can afford it.

I am disappointed to read comments by Pakistanis who want this war to happen. Where is your humanity? War is good for nobody.

China is ahead of India at the moment but both are big enough to seriously damage each other. No war. India may have the upper hand as far as global alliance goes but that doesn't mean the western countries will attack China.

Useless analysis imo. Both need to get along and learn from each other.