Can Pakisan be Governed? NYtimes analysis

Very interesting question put up by James Traub analysing the conditions prevailing in the country, from both inside and outside. Historically no one has been able to rule the country with people’s consent for more than 3 years. Those who crossed 3 years was only due to the full force of power and ended up in a very dramatized course of actions.

This govt has just spent one year only and we already have seen people marching in the capital, strikes and a very strong social unrest. So, are the people getting used to putting up someone in govt and then start pulling their legs after every few months? Will there be a time when a democratic govt may be able to complete its term with the consent of people, not by using all administrative force.

Ofcourse the fault comes on those who come in power as well. The funniest stuff here is when Mr. Zardari claims that he “saved the country”, not only once but twice :slight_smile:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/05/magazine/05zardari-t.html?_r=1&ref=world

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** Can Pakistan Be Governed? **

Kate Brooks/Grazia Neri, for The New York Times

Historical Imperative?

President Asif Ali Zardari came into office after the death of his wife, Benazir Bhutto, who served twice as prime minister and inherited leadership of her political party from her father, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto

      By JAMES TRAUB

Published: March 31, 2009
TO ENTER the office where Asif Ali Zardari, the president of Pakistan, conducts his business, you head down a long corridor toward two wax statues of exceptionally tall soldiers, each in a long, white tunic with a glittering column of buttons. On closer inspection, these turn out to be actual humans who have been trained in the arts of immobility. The office they guard, though large, is not especially opulent or stupefying by the standards of such places. President Zardari met me just inside the doorway, then seated himself facing a widescreen TV displaying an image of fish swimming in a deep blue sea. His party spokesman, Farhatullah Babar, and his presidential spokesman, Farahnaz Ispahani, sat facing him, almost as rigid as the soldiers. Zardari is famous for straying off message and saying odd things or jumbling facts and figures. He is also famous for blaming his aides when things go wrong — and things have been going wrong quite a lot lately. Zardari’s aides didn’t want him to talk to me. Now they were tensely waiting for a mishap.
S
Damaged Control

Lawyers rallied outside the High Court in Lahore, Pakistan, on March 14 in an effort to get the government to reinstate judges sacked by the previous administration. President Zardari and Nawaz Sharif, leader of the main opposition party, had long been at loggerheads over this issue.

The president himself, natty in a navy suit, his black hair brilliantined to a sheen, was the very picture of ease. Zardari beamed when we talked about New York, where he often lived between 2004, when he was released from prison after eight years, and late 2007, when he returned to Pakistan not long after his wife, Benazir Bhutto, was assassinated by terrorists. For all that painful recent history, Zardari is a suave and charming man with a sly grin, and he gives the impression of thoroughly enjoying what must be among the world’s least desirable jobs. Zardari had just been through the most dangerous weeks of his six months in office. He dissolved the government in Punjab, Pakistan’s dominant state, and called out the police to stop the country’s lawyers and leading opposition party from holding a “long march” to demand the reinstatement of Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, who had been sacked, along with most of the high judiciary, by Zardari’s predecessor, Gen. Pervez Musharraf. Zardari defused the situation only by allowing Chaudhry’s return to office and giving in to other demands that he had previously and repeatedly rejected.
Yet, despite this spectacular reversal, the president was not in a remotely penitent state of mind over his handling of the protests against him. “Whoever killed my wife was seeking the Balkanization of Pakistan,” he told me. “There is a view that I saved Pakistan then” — by calling for calm at a perilous moment — “and there is a view that by making this decision I saved Pakistan again.” There had been, he said, a very real threat of a terrorist attack on the marchers on their way to Islamabad. That is why his government invoked a statute dating back to the British raj in order to authorize the police to arrest protesters and prevent the march from forming. I pointed out that Benazir Bhutto faced a far more specific threat and was outraged when General Musharraf kept her from speaking on the pretext of protecting her. The president didn’t miss a beat. “And therefore,” he rejoined, “we moved to the other side”: that is, he reversed his order to the police, and permitted the protesters’ march, just before giving in to their demands altogether.
Zardari has a special talent for maneuvering himself out of the tight spots he gets himself into. But the Pakistani people have grown weary of his artful dodging. Zardari’s poll numbers are dreadful. More important, he has given little sustained attention to the country’s overwhelming problems — including, of course, the Islamist extremism that, for the Obama administration, has made Pakistan quite possibly the most important, and worrisome, country in the world. Zardari has bought himself more time, but for Pakistan itself, the clock is ticking louder and louder.
When I arrived in Islamabad on March 10, the long march was set to begin in two days and had come to feel like a storm gathering force at sea — one that might peter out before it hit land or turn into a Category 4 hurricane. In a country where democracy feels as flimsy as a wooden shack, the foreboding was very real. “Our condition is much more fragile than it was in the 1990s,” Samina Ahmed, the International Crisis Group’s longtime Pakistan analyst, told me. (The I.C.G. is a sponsor of the Global Center for the Responsibility to Protect, where I am the policy director.) The Taliban and other extremists had, she estimated, placed half the country beyond the control of security forces. The government had recently ceded control over the Swat Valley, 100 miles from the nation’s capital, to the extremists.
Pakistan feels as if it’s falling apart. Last fall the country barely avoided bankruptcy. The tribal areas, which border on Afghanistan, remain a vast Taliban sanctuary and redoubt. The giant province of Baluchistan, though far more accessible, is racked by a Baluchi separatist rebellion, while American officials view Quetta, Baluchistan’s capital, as Taliban HQ. American policy has arguably made the situation even worse, for the Predator-drone attacks along the border, though effective, drive the Taliban eastward, deeper into Pakistan. And the strategy has been only reinforcing hostility to the United States among ordinary Pakistanis.
Pakistan has made itself the supreme conundrum of American foreign policy. During the campaign, Obama often said that the heart of the terrorist threat was not Iraq but Afghanistan and Pakistan, and once in office he had senior policy makers undertake an array of reviews designed to coordinate policy in the region. They seem to have narrowed the target area even further, to the Pakistani frontier. “For the American people,” Obama announced on March 27, “this border region has become the most dangerous place in the world.” Some officials see Pakistan as a volcano that, should it blow, would send an inconceivable amount of poisonous ash raining down on the world around it. David Kilcullen, a key adviser to Gen. David Petraeus, the Centcom commander, recently asserted that “within one to six months we could see the collapse of the Pakistani state,” a calamity that, given the country’s size, strategic location and nuclear stockpile, would “dwarf” all other current crises.
And amid all that, Pakistan’s president appeared to be playing with fire. Zardari was setting his security forces on peaceful demonstrators, just as his authoritarian predecessor, General Musharraf, did — against members of Zardari’s own political party — several years earlier. The government crackdown, designed to prevent the marchers from reaching the capital, began on March 11. The police swept through the homes of opposition-party leaders, lawmakers, activists, “miscreants” and ordinary party workers. Many leading officials were already underground, but hundreds of arrests were made. By the 12th, the first day of the march, much of the country was glued to the television, where swarms of heavily armed policemen could be seen knocking down protesters and dragging them off to the paddy wagons. Nawaz Sharif, the leader of the main opposition party, saw the protests as the “prelude to a revolution,” while Rehman Malik, a key Zardari adviser, accused Sharif of “sedition.”
The posturing and hyperbole would have been comical if the stakes weren’t so high. Although in Pakistan, it’s true, the stakes always feel high.
FOR THE LAST TWO YEARS, Pakistan has been living through a dangerous and thrilling era of popular agitation and spasmodic crackdown. In March 2007, General Musharraf made the colossal miscalculation of insisting that Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry, whose activism on the bench had threatened the military’s invulnerability to legal prosecution, step down. In decades past, judges quietly acceded under such duress, and Musharraf may be excused for calculating that Chaudhry, an unassuming figure, would do likewise. Instead, the chief justice stood up to the president, who then fired him, creating a national hero of resistance. Tens of thousands of people lined the roads and cheered as Chaudhry barnstormed across the country — an astonishing sign of Pakistanis’ craving, after years of repression, for democracy and the liberal principles established in Pakistan’s Constitution.

Re: Can Pakisan be Governed? NYtimes analysis

Pakistan is a total disaster

Jinnah would have never proposed Pakistan if he had known how it would have turned out

I am happy to be a Pakistani and really thankful to Jinnah who created Pakistan.

Atleast my name is not used to scare people at night...and atleast I don't have to deal with hate mentality on daily basis...

Yes Pakistan is a disaster for Indians like you who have lesser people in India now to slaughter and cut their hands...

...And be thankful to our tolerant behaviour...as you are still posting in our forum...can you go to a US or an Indian forum and say that US/India is a total disaster...

And don"t worry about us...I can assure you inspite of all our problems today we have a great future....much better than your homeland India..

Please take of yourself and start worrying about yourself...with all this hate mentality I am sure you will sooner or later get in to big trouble...

Re: Can Pakisan be Governed? NYtimes analysis

The worry all of us share for our beloved country is the biggest proof of how much we care about it. You dont have to be a genius to figure out the level and number of conspiracies going on among us and in our backyard. The current circumstances prove that ISI was not wrong to worry about Afghanistan it doesnt mean they adopted the correct approach to neutralise it as well. Dont fool yourself for one minute by thinking that if there were no Taliban no Al-Qaida US will not be in Afghanistan and we be not in this mess. US would have been in Afghanistan one way or the other just like they are in Iraq one way or the other. I guess the first step in dealing with a problem is to realise that there is a problem and its very clear we do realise. Second step is the implementation of strategies to tackle it and thats where we are lacking at the moment. Make no mistake we will get it right and the rest of the world better hope and pray that we get it right most of all India. Anyone with half an ounce of common sense should see that a destabilised Pakistan will pose a very existential threat to India and if God forbid there is no Pakistan who will have Indians to blame for, for an exponentially increased amount of armed militancy in India.

Re: Can Pakisan be Governed? NYtimes analysis

These questions are being raised because the West does not want Pakistan to be governed. USA has been controlling Pakistan through generals for decades and now probably realized that this cannot go on. The people are waking up. The generals have lost respect and China is emerging as a threat to western exploitative capitalism. USA needs a presence in the region and I sincerely hope things go well for us.

Re: Can Pakisan be Governed? NYtimes analysis

Agar Allah nay chaha zamana wo bhee aayee ga
Jahan tuk waqt jayee ga esaay agaay hee payee ga

We live in hope........