Re: What next for Pakistan?
Undoubtedly one of Musharrafs greatest achievement in his 7ish years in office is the resurrection of the political career of BB and the PPP. Back in early 1997, even the most die hard PPPliya could not defend their leader, and many of them had written her off in totality.
To be fair Musharraf has been consistent throughout his time in office, he has always stuck to a politics of deals at any opportunity.
In the beginning he needed a constituency so he struck a deal with the chattering middle classes and ngo’s. Once that ran out he struck a deal with George Bush, followed by deals in quick succession with the MQM, MMA and now is trying to strike one with the PPP.
Besides being a consistent wheeler dealer; he has two more traits which has been consistent with..the first is he has left every political partner disappointed in the gap between his promises and actual actions and the second is: he will often break any deal in any form depending on his position of strength (oath not to indulge in politics, promise to give up the uniform and so on). This has worked quite well but it has exhausted his credibility from which he enjoyed something BB and NS have not..simply put he was not considered two faced nor was he genuianely hated by the people..that has rapidly changed.
Benazir on campaign to improve standing: NYT
By Khalid Hasan
WASHINGTON: Benazir Bhutto, reports the New York Times from New Delhi and Kabul, has “embarked on an international campaign to revive her political standing” as the Musharraf regime struggles to deal with its difficulties.
A dispatch from correspondents Somini Sengupta and Carlotta Gall headlined ‘As Musharraf’s Woes Grow, Enter an Old Rival, Again,’ notes that in recent weeks, the PPP leader has stepped up her criticism of the who operate in the remote regions of the country, in an attempt to marginalise Islamist political parties from an opposition party alliance that has emerged in anticipation of this year’s elections. “Seeking to assure Washington that she would be a staunch ally, she has suggested that as an elected leader, she would be more credible in selling anti-terrorism efforts to the public than General Musharraf, who has been criticised by Washington for a mixed record in combating the Taliban and within Pakistan’s borders. She has even brought her campaign here, to the capital of her nation’s archrival: India,” the dispatch notes.
Ms Bhutto is quoted as having said in late March at a dinner in New Delhi, “I don’t think our present regime has been able to dissociate my country’s name with terrorism, and I believe a popular democratic government can.” She is also said to have hired a lobbying firm in Washington to help sell that same message. In March, she wrote an opinion piece for The Washington Post directed at the Washington establishment. In February, she spoke to the conservative American Enterprise Institute. The report says, “Ms Bhutto has lived in self-imposed exile as a result of a long litany of corruption charges that still hound her. Today she divides her time between London and Dubai, and appears ever more intent on preparing the ground for a return to Pakistan, though many obstacles remain.”
According to the NYT correspondent, “For now at least, it seems unlikely that the Bush administration will heed Ms Bhutto’s argument. The White House remains committed to General Musharraf, even through the latest protests against his administration — protests that began ostensibly against his suspension of the chief justice, but have since come to represent growing frustration against military rule.” She quotes “analysts” in Washington and Islamabad as pointing out that the White House remains “sceptical “of Ms Bhutto’s capacity, questioning her authority over Pakistan’s military and intelligence services and troubled by charges that she and her husband illegally gained millions of dollars in deals with people who did business with the government when she was in power. The report notes that Bhutto successfully fought two money-laundering cases in Pakistan, though she continues to face charges in a separate case in a court in Switzerland.
The NYT report quotes Craig Cohen of a major US think tank as saying, “I’m not sure if there’s any amount of charm or orchestration on Benazir’s part that will change this. Something major would have to happen in Pakistan for the Bush administration to give up on Musharraf.”
He adds that there is little reason to believe that having Benazir Bhutto at the helm would fundamentally alter the hold of the military and the intelligence services. “Even after free elections, the military will still call the shots on national security issues,” he points out. “Firing the manager only gets you so far.” It is also uncertain, the report observes, how the Democrats in Washington will respond to General Musharraf in the coming months.
However, one hint of that came last month when four members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, including its chairman, Jr, wrote to the Pakistani military leader, warning that without the return of the two key opposition leaders, Benazir Bhutto and , “it will be difficult for the international community to regard the 2007 elections as a true expression of democracy.”
The report notes that on occasion, General Musharraf has said that Benazir Bhutto could return, if she were willing to face corruption charges. “In a step that added to speculation that a deal on her return might be in the works, the government said on Wednesday that it was abolishing the federal division that had been investigating the foreign assets and offshore bank accounts of some politicians, including her. The report quotes the president as saying in a TV interview in February, “There are no back-channel talks. The parties, which are here, will take part in the elections. But those who are abroad would remain there. This is the reality, and there is no deal, no change.”
The NYT report points out that Ms Bhutto’s latest approach has been “as notable for what she has chosen to say as for what she has left unsaid”. Her criticism of General Musharraf in recent weeks has been “appreciably mild”. “Her hunger to return to political life could not have been more obvious at a dinner here last month. She wooed that audience with paeans to democracy and promises of peace. Let there be a summit meeting, she proposed, of Indian and Pakistani leaders on August 15, the anniversary of their bloody births, for an accord that brings ‘permanent stability and prosperity. I believe Indo-Pakistan relations can be creatively reinvented’.” The report notes that at the New Delhi dinner referred to earlier, Benazir Bhutto was introduced as a woman born into a family of martyrs, “now all set for a democratic homecoming”.