Based on schedules for group phase, I think following teams will advance to Super Eight:
Group A: 1. South Africa (SA) 2. Australia (AU: Since SA will win against Australia)
Group B: 1. Sri Lanka (SL) 2. India (IN: since SL will have more moment after playing Bermuda in first game than India who will play BD in first game)
Group C: 1. New Zealand (NZ) 2. England (EN: KEN or CAN may upset ENG)
Group D: 1. West Indies (WI) 2. Pakistan (PK: WI may win first game against PAK)
Super Eight:
27/3 D2 (PK) vs. A1 (SA) 28/3 A2 (AU) vs. B1 (SL)
29/3 D2 (PK) vs. C1 (NZ) 30/3 D1 (WI) vs. C2 (EN)
31/3 A1 (SA) vs. B2 (IN) 01/4 D2 (PK) vs. B1 (SL)
02/4 B2 (IN) vs. C1 (NZ) 03/4 D1 (WI) vs. A2 (AU)
04/4 C2 (EN) vs. B1 (SL) 07/4 B2 (IN) vs. A2 (AU)
08/4 A1 (SA) vs. C2 (EN) 09/4 D1 (WI) vs. C1 (NZ)
10/4 D2 (PK) vs. A2 (AU) 11/4 C2 (EN) vs. B2 (IN)
12/4 B1 (SL) vs. C1 (NZ) 13/4 A1 (SA) vs. D1 (WI)
14/4 A2 (AU) vs. C1 (NZ) 15/4 B2 (IN) vs. D1 (WI)
16/4 A1 (SA) vs. B1 (SL) 17/4 A2 (AU) vs. C2 (EN)
18/4 D1 (WI) vs. B1 (SL) 19/4 D2 (PK) vs. B2 (IN)
20/4 A1 (SA) vs. C1 (NZ) 21/4 D2 (PK) vs. C2 (EN)
Highlighted is winner, while underlined mean if Pakistan is a full strength squad with Afridi, Akhtar, Asif and Gul in the side then PAK win else underlined team may win.
Number of wins for each team: (in second case/first case)
AU: 05/05
EN: 00/00
IN: 03/04
NZ: 01/02
PK: 01/05
SA: 05/06
SL: 04/05
WI: 01/01
Thus semi finalists will be:
- SA 2. AU/PK 3. SL/AU 4. IN/SL
Its mean if Pakistan was full strength side and performed then: - SA 2. PK 3. AU 4. SL Else
- SA 2. AU 3. SL 4. IN
Semi finals:
In first case:
24/4 Team 2 (PK) vs. Team 3 (AU)
25/4 Team 1 (SA) vs. Team 4 (SL)
In case 2.
24/4 Team 2 (AU) vs. Team 3 (SL)
25/4 Team 1 (SA) vs. Team 4 (IN)
FINAL:
Case 1. PK vs. SA
Case 2. AU vs. SA
