Re: Tribal areas
When I said swamped by American troops, I meant from the air. You're right, the US will not put their troops on the ground. But then like they did in Afghanistan in 2001, they will rely on their planes and helicopters, which means blowing up anyone who moves and then declaring they were a "terrorist". Not just the helicopter gunships, but the bigger planes and bombs. Think about it. Tajiks/Uzbeks/OtherTurkic/Persian soldiers start approaching a tribal village. The villagers fire to defend themselves, knowing the rape and looting Norther Alliance soldiers engaged in during the war versus the Taliban. The Afghans scream to the americans. The Americans define the village to be a militant fortress and call for fighter bombers to come and flatten it.
Now you may alledge that Pakistan or the US is doing this today in the tribal area. But even those allegations come infrequently, one every coupld of months. Now as the Tajiks/Uzbek/Turkic/Persian troops go through the tribal area trying to take over each and every village, this scene will be repeated a thousand times over.
I personally think Pakistan does have a major problem with tribal areas not acting in Pakistan's interests or more importantly, as per Pakistan's wishes. But I also think that the tribal areas have a valid legal right to act the way they are acting.
I therefore feel that the tribal areas should be offered a choice between renegotiating the terms of their merger with Pakistan and coming under full control from Islamabad and Peshawar, or being renounced by Pakistan and left to the mercy of Kabul and Kabul's puppet masters.
The Tajiks and Uzbeks and miscellaneous turkish/persian ethnic groups that dominate what little power Kabul has today would be far less kind to the tribal areas than Pakistan would be if allowed full control.
On the other hand, fully integrating the tribal areas into Pakistan, and more specifically, into the NWFP, would ensure that they remained as part of an overwhelmingly pakhtun administrative region, shelter them from Kabul and Kabul's puppet masters, and allow the Pakistan army to bloodlessly secure the region and enforce Pakistan's policy of peaceful co-existence with Kabul.
At the end of the day, Pakistan recognises Karzai as the sole leader of Afghanistan, recognised his government as the legitimate government of Afghanistan, and recognises his Afghan National Army as the sole legitimate armed body in Afghanistan. Pakistan must not allow any territory that it is responsible for, including the tribal area, to be used to undermine a leader, government, and armed force that it recognises in such a way.