The leading actors and actresses have been broken down. Percentages are pretty high on at least nine of the ten predicted to be announced next Tuesday morning. With ten more available acting slots, there are reasonably 18 performances in the running to grab them. Good luck to all of them since it has practically been decided who the winners will be already.
THE LOCKSThat would be Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds) and Mo’Nique (Precious). Now hold on, I’m not making my full-on Oscar predictions yet. These are just the nominations. Wouldn’t that be a shock though? Either one of the two performances dominating nearly every possible voting group award NOT getting a nomination? Someone would definitely be throwing a television down the stairs on that one.
If you read up on the breakdown of the leads, then you know there are five voting bodies we are considering - the Broadcast Film Critics Association, the Golden Globes, the Chicago Film Critics Association, the Screen Actors Guild and the BAFTAs. In the Lead categories, there were 33 performances since 2001 that got nominations from all five groups. In the Supporting categories, there have been 15. 17 if you count the fact that Jennifer Connelly (A Beautiful Mind) and Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener) was nominated as the lead by the SAGs and BAFTAs, respectively. All 50 performances were nominated for an Oscar. Based on that stat alone, we can fill five of the ten Supporting slots with Waltz and Mo’Nique as well as Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones), **Vera Farmiga **(Up In The Air) and **Anna Kendrick **(Up In The Air).
Continue reading The Movieman’s Oscar Nomination Predictions: Supporting Actor/Actress