Re: Surveys on political parties of Pakistan
I am not discounting the fact that PTIs popularity graph has taken a hit in recent months. However, that is not because of the reasons you cited above. It is because of some miscues on part of PTI, and some media manipulation.
All events that have taken place over the past 2-3 years have made it clear to the general public that PTI is not backed by the establishment. Pasha did not bring in each of the hundreds of thousands of attendees to PTIs Lahore jalsa, and neither did he do so for the Karachi jalsa.
The long march to Waziristan was a success. It accomplished its goal of bringing to light the issue of innocent civilians being targeted by drones. Whether the rally had 500 people, or 5000 is irrelevant. It made its mark.
PTI does not need to make good relations with status quo parties. That would mean shooting itself in the foot. Only a corrupt party will make an alliance with a corrupt party. That is why PPP, PML-N, PML-Q, MQM, ANP etc have all been buddies at one time or another.
Regarding PTIs actual position, I dont think that the exact situation is clear to any of the status quo parties. PPP/PMLQ/PMLN/MQM have heavily benefited in the past from 40 million fake votes that were stuffed in the voters list. Those votes are out now, and new, genuine 40 million voters have been added. Dont discount their importance. PTI may or may not win, but no alliance will be on firm grounds.