None of the big parties will like the results… 
This table is from Insaf website, the survey has not been published yet but the organization seems to send advance copies to the various political parties before hand.
Restored attachments:
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
These surveys were accurate in the past?
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
This survey is from International Republican Institute, this is the one before the 2008 elections, and it was very spot on.
AFP cites IRI Pakistan Survey | International Republican Institute (IRI)
AFP CITES IRI PAKISTAN SURVEY
February 11, 2008
Bhutto party leads Pakistan election race: surveys
Agence France-Presse
ISLAMABAD – Slain Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto’s party is the most popular in the country, two surveys said Monday, with one week to go until crucial general elections.
President Pervez Musharraf and his political backers lose out in the polls by separate US-based groups, with more than two-thirds of Pakistanis calling for the former army general to quit.
Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party is “benefiting from both a wave of sympathy as well as a backlash against the government” following her murder in December, the International Republican Institute said in its survey.
Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party is “benefiting from both a wave of sympathy as well as a backlash against the government” following her murder in December, the International Republican Institute said in its survey.
Musharraf’s allies, the former ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Q, were chosen by only 14 percent, said the survey released on Monday.
The survey found that the “vast majority” – 75 percent – of Pakistanis wanted Musharraf out of office. His approval rating was at a new low of 15 percent, the survey said.
Pakistanis also blamed the government for Bhutto’s death at an election rally in the garrison city of Rawalpindi, with 62 percent holding it responsible, it added.
Only 16 believing the government’s line that Al-Qaeda-linked militants were responsible.
“This indicates a collapse in the government’s credibility among its citizens,” the survey said.
A separate survey released over the weekend by the US-based TerrorFree Tomorrow organisation gave similar results.
The poll found that 36.7 percent of people said they would vote for the PPP while 25.3 percent chose Sharif’s grouping.
Only 12 percent said they would vote for PML-Q.
Seventy percent said they thought Musharraf should resign, the poll added.
The poll further said that sympathy for Al-Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden had dropped sharply, with only 24 percent of Pakistanis approving of him against 46 percent in a similar poll in August.
The IRI said it polled 3,485 men and women between January 19-29. Terror Free Tomorrow said it surveyed 1,157 people over the same period.
Bhutto’s husband will campaign in Pakistan’s political heartland this week, an aide said, leading a rally in the major industrial town of Faisalabad in Punjab province on Thursday.
Punjab plays a kingmaking role in Pakistani politics, as the bulk of the seats in parliament are from the populous province, where more than half the Islamic republic’s 160-million people live.
“Asif Ali Zardari will convey Bhutto’s message to the people of the largest province, which is vital for us,” close aide Zulfiqar Mirza told AFP. “He will explain that Bhutto’s mission was to fight for the rights of the people.”
“Asif Ali Zardari will convey Bhutto’s message to the people of the largest province, which is vital for us,” close aide Zulfiqar Mirza told AFP. “He will explain that Bhutto’s mission was to fight for the rights of the people.”
“Punjab is a major province, it is the heart of Pakistan, it is our power base because it has always lent support to the PPP,” Mirza said.
Campaigning has so far been sparse in Pakistan due to government warnings of attacks on rallies. A suicide bombing at a meeting of a small opposition party in northwest Pakistan on Saturday killed at least 25 people.
But on the same day Zardari held a rally in southern Pakistan that was attended by around 100,000 people.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Hope PTI will get maximum seats from those 31% of votes…:k:
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Still some time to go before the elections but its for sure PTI will get a few seats from KP, and in Punjab there will be a real contest between PMLN and PTI. PPP might get a few seats from Southern Belt (mainly Multan) otherwise the rest of South Punjab is also pretty open.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
One thing that I am not really sure in this survey is the Sindh factor as its showing PTI number 2 instead of MQM.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Why not MQM base is only limited to karachi..............
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
^ MQM also wins seats from Hyderabad, Sukkur, etc.
Actually, this survey does get dubious when it calls PTI no. 2 in Sindh. But hey, if this survey makes your day then do go along with it. No point arguing.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Wet dream
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Sindh does not seem to be going in PTI's favour so overwhelmingly as the survey shows. But going by the groundswell (not this survey), I can clearly see PTI government in KPK after the upcoming elections.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
In Punjab and KP the survey seems to be spot on as of today, in Balochistan if some nationalist parties join the fray the situation might change there. In Sindh PTI may pick up a few seats in Karachi.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
In Sindh's case, the survey may not be wrong but the sample taken (people asked questions) may not be representative of the population. It's likely because if it is an international survey then people conducting it will not have much sense how to take sample, or it could be that Pak people appointed by that international survey team were biased towards PTI and deliberately picked selective sample to get their favorite result.
This might explain the anomaly.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
You have opened a contra thread like one opened against Imran Khan about being sympathizer of Jews by PML(N) idiots. This thread is just showing marketing stunt for PTI.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
many more surveys will keep on coming in the period prior to the elections, and the results might change as the elections approach. All that can be discussed here.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Why not MQM base is only limited to karachi..............
If that is true (urban - rural divide is more than karachi), then PTI will have to win in interior sindh and how will it accomplish that in PPP"s rural aka feudal stronghold where you have to ask the wadera's permission to $hit?
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
PTI: 35% in Balochistan:hmmm:
PTI has good chances in Balochistan...but still lots of work needs to be done...
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Exactly...its not an easy task,Alot needs to be done to win the hearts and minds of people ..difficult journey ahead
First and foremost we need to give them respect, listen to their grievances and provide them equal opportunities,which they have been deprived for years
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
Balochistan needs an out of the box solution. Something as mindblowing as our absurdity.
Re: IRI survey on political parties of Pakistan
This is the IRI survey conducted in August 2009 (page 44 onward):
[TABLE=“width: 398”]
PMLN
PPP
PMLQ
PTI
MQM
National
57
22
3
6
Punjab
82
6
2
KP
47
15
1
22
Sindh
12
63
4
10