Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

Under Mushs watch, what started in FATA and his badly planned badly intentioned operation in FATA has now had devastating consequences for the province and possibly beyond.

Ex-Pakistani Official Says Policy on Taliban Is Failing

SHERPAO, Pakistan — In the walled courtyard of the modest whitewashed mosque, a suicide bomber worked his way into in the middle of a packed congregation and unleashed his explosives during prayers last month, killing 53 villagers and wounding 143 others.

The target of the attack, the former interior minister, Aftab Khan Sherpao (pronounced Share-POW), whose ancestral village sits at the foothills of the tribal region where the Taliban and their partners in Al Qaeda roam largely unfettered, was left unscathed.

But the second attack in eight months on Mr. Sherpao, 64, who was until recently his nation’s most senior law enforcement official, left him more frustrated and more outspoken about the failure of the government to respond aggressively to the rapidly spreading Taliban insurgency that is seeking to destabilize Pakistan.

The weakness of the Pakistani police and the army response to determined and religiously motivated Taliban fighters was allowing the insurgency to get stronger day by day, he said.

“The police are scared,” Mr. Sherpao said. “They don’t want to get involved.” The Frontier Corps, a paramilitary force that could help in tracking down leads on suicide bombers, was “too stressed, fighting all over,” he said. The Pakistan Army has forces in the tribal areas where the militants have built their sanctuaries but the soldiers have remained in their headquarters. “They are not moving around,” he said. “That’s their strategy.”

Last Sunday, another attack near his village illustrated the gravity of the quickly deteriorating situation, compounded by the fact that the militants were able to get away with their attacks unpunished, he said.

Mr. Sherpao said he was awakened by a telephone caller who said that a senior official of the Intelligence Bureau, one of Pakistan’s most powerful intelligence agencies, had just been assassinated as he walked to the mosque in his village near Charsadda, where Mr. Sherpao had been the target of a suicide bomber last April.

“The Taliban came in two vehicles,” Mr. Sherpao said. “They said to the intelligence officer, ‘Are you so and so?’ When he said ‘Yes,’ they shot him dead.”

The failure to investigate aggressively, Mr. Sherpao said, had emboldened the insurgents who interpret the government’s inaction as an inability to or an unwillingness to investigate.

A report released this month by the Pak Institute for Peace Studies, a nongovernmental research center based in Lahore, said suicide bombings in Pakistan had soared to 60 last year from 6 in 2006.

**A document from the Interior Ministry last July warned the government of President Pervez Musharraf that the Taliban were spreading so fast that “swift and decisive action,” was needed to prevent the insurgency from engulfing the rest of the country. **

Six months later, the picture was “very bleak,” Mr. Sherpao said. “It has increased, with no checks anywhere,” he said of the insurgency.

**The recommendations in the Interior Ministry document for pushing back the militants — including enhancing local law enforcement and mobilizing public opinion — had not been followed, he said. **

Mr. Sherpao, who comes from the Pashtun ethnic group that dominates the North-West Frontier Province and is the same ethnic group of the Taliban he wants to defeat, appeared depressed and uncertain that the government could prevail.

**In the North-West Frontier Province, there was a risk of “total Talibanization,” he said. **

Military and police actions were not the only factors necessary to turn around the situation, he said, adding that moderate political forces need to join hands.

“You need focused efforts and a clear perception of what you want to do,” he said. “Unless you involve the political parties, civil society, religious leaders, this is not going to make any headway.”

The Taliban, he said, were able to outmaneuver the government because they were well financed, were skilled at propaganda, and were even paying political candidates opposed to them in the tribal areas to keep them from participating in elections.

This grim assessment by Mr. Sherpao, who is one of Pakistan’s best-known politicians, comes as senior officials in Washington have said they are increasingly concerned about the growing efforts by the Taliban and Al Qaeda to destabilize the government.

The Bush administration has discussed in recent weeks sending more military trainers to assist the Pakistan Army in counterinsurgency tactics. The administration is also debating whether to strengthen covert operations by the Central Intelligence Agency.

The leader of United States Central Command, Adm. William J. Fallon, met the new chief of the Pakistan Army, Gen. Ashfaq Kayani, during a visit to Islamabad last week to discuss proposals by the administration.

Pakistan’s Talibanization In most cases, Mr. Sherpao said, the police have had a boilerplate approach to solving the suicide bombings. They have blamed them on Baitullah Mehsud, the leader of a new association of Taliban militia in the tribal areas, who has been cited by Washington as having links to Al Qaeda, and left it at that, **Mr. Sherpao said. “Not one suicide bombing has been resolved,” he said. “They just link it to Baitullah Mehsud, and that’s all.” **

The director of the C.I.A., Gen. Michael V. Hayden, said last week that he believed terror networks directed by Mr. Mehsud were responsible for the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, the opposition leader and former prime minister of Pakistan.

In a measure of the fast moving strength of the jihadists, Mr. Sherpao said the militants’ bases were no longer confined to North and South Waziristan, two districts inside the tribal area that have long been considered training grounds for suicide bombers.

The militants were now spread across the entire tribal region, including the district of Mohmand, which abuts the village of Sherpao and is close to Peshawar, the capital of the North-West Frontier Province, he said.

Three months ago, Mohmand was free of the Taliban, Mr. Sherpao said. Now, he said, the district was being used as a base to strike at the area around his village, and the bigger town of Charsadda where Mr. Sherpao survived a suicide bomb attack at a political rally last April.

In Swat, a scenic area outside of the tribal areas to the north, the Pakistan Army has been fighting the Taliban the last several months. The insurgents had displayed tactical skill, Mr. Sherpao said, by refusing to fight as a group, and instead had blended into the civilian population.

In an interview in the family compound, Mr. Sherpao’s son, Sikander, 31, who is a member of the provincial assembly of the North-West Frontier Province, said the Taliban had expanded easily in the Mohmand district adjacent to their village because there were was no resistance from the authorities there. The Taliban then proceeded to give the local population a sense of quick justice that was denied them by the weak government.

**“About four months ago, the Taliban said they were going to arrest the thieves and the gamblers in Mohmand,” said Sikander Sherpao, who holds a business degree from Drake University in Des Moines, and was injured in the suicide attack at the mosque. “When you let them do that, the Taliban feel they have a free hand.” **

At the same time, he said, the Taliban had attracted local criminals into their ranks. “I know a lot of car thieves who are now Taliban emirs,” he said.

**The Taliban were financing their activities with profits from the duty-free car trade with Afghanistan, and by raiding trailers carrying supplies by road for the United States military in Afghanistan, he said.

Taliban warlords could soon dominate as the North-West Frontier Province disintegrated into chaos, Sikander Sherpao said. “Doomsday scenarios are being discussed, especially the way things have gone in the last three to four months,” he said. **

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Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

Very scarey scenario indeed. Are things really that bad that he feels the whole area is being Talibanised? He is openly blaming the army and the government whom he accuses of not doing anything but sit in their HQ. This article raises a lot of questions I guess ones that will be answered over time.

  1. Is Sherpao right in being fearful about whats going on? Is his viewpoint a correct estimation of what is going on or is it over-dramatised sensationalised exaggerated viewpoints? Ideally I would like to believe the latter but goings on in FATA such as Bajaur, North and South waziristan are not positive - these are the 3 most media publicised Talibanised areas. Although some action in Waziristan over the last few weeks has given the Gov credit to claim many militants being killed and many areas cleared - a story heard previously before many times bt then the militants reassert themselves. Khurram agency saw shia-sunni fighting - itsnot the first time and it has happened pre-2001. Khyber agency - the deobandi-barelvi wars were new to this region and the recent kohat tunnel saga is a bold attempt by the militants to cut off Pesahwar from Kohat - 2 cities with lare military populations and within this same hill range you have a PAF Base at badaber off the Peshawar-Kohat road and a SSG centre in Cherat.

There are reports of the Taliban sway spreading in Charsadda, the villages around the city in Pesahwar district, Bannu. The only so far more peaceful areas are Sawabi, Mardan and Hazara division - although there has been some "minor" incidents within sawabi, mardan. I am not sure exactly whats going on in D I Khan but ir borders Bannu/Lakki Marwat to the north and Waziristan to its west.

2 Were the militants testing the waters or hoping that they would take control over this tunnel?

The militants find it very difficult to hold onto anything thery have captured ie the major areas of swat, the kohat tunnel and even parts of waziristan which tey had taken over. If Gov reports are to be believed then good chunks of waziristan have been freed up.
Are the militants able to take over NWFP itself - somehow I would rather believe they do not have enough "staff" and any attempt would be retaliated by the army who if wont succeed then America will. If the militants take over NWFP then it will be an autonomous independent area and I am sure nuclear power would be dismantled.

  1. where to next? The government must stop sleeping as the militants are going to be planning their next moves. the government must do something now as the risk of the whole tribal belt coming under militant control is something that could appear likely.
    What the government has done over the last few weeks is probably not enough and there will need to be more - the army needs to become more involved as the FC and police cant deal with this alone.
    I dont think democracy will lessen any problems. Pakistan needs a good honest strong just government which deals with such things fairly. i would even advcate a police state if it solved these problems.

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

is it all upto the govt though zakk? "mobilizing public opinion", surely that is a sphere where people, NGOs and private media can easily play an effective role, and not be seen in a partisan way?

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

drop the war on terror

fight the war for law and order

:)

& all will be well

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

1 of the biggest problem in pakistan is that law and order can be easily bribed and the guilty are hardly ever prosecuted.

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization


That becomes seed of brainwashing anyone can use.

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

You left out this part of the report.
"*What was the most important factor in the rise of Baitullah Mehsud? According to a former adviser to the government on Tribal Areas, Brigadier (Retd) Mehmood Shah, it was the conciliatory policies imposed on Islamabad by the clerical MMA government of the NWFP. “Peace agreements” were signed with Mr Mehsud because President Musharraf was under pressure to obtain the cooperation of the NWFP government, but within weeks tribal elders and dignitaries known to support the government began to be gunned down till there was no one left in the Tribal Areas to speak for Pakistan. *"

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

What page is this para on?

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

Here is a link with the full report.
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008\01\29\story_29-1-2008_pg3_1

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

The article you mentioned is on DailyTimes, while Zakk posted article from NYtimes.

Am I missing a link somewhere?

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

Daily times article quotes the NYT article verbatim. A link to NYT site will not be useful since it requires paid subscription.

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

I am not a paying member of NY Times but I can still get to the referenced article just fine. May be some parts of the site require paid subscription, but this article didn't.

Re: Sherpao: NWFP facing total Talibanization

I agree rav, but whats been happening is those people have been sticking their heads out against whats been happening only to find the carpet has been pulled under them and the gov has struck another deal with the militants. The end result like in waziristan many people who are anti talibanisation end up getting killed. The govt does't want to go beyond a certain point with these groups because many of them were closely linked to the agencies and also they are hoping to one day use them again as a reserve in kashmir and afghanistan. On the other hand you have Musharraf who is living in a world of his own totally detached from whats going on in the ground. Ccase in point that Sherpao has given this interview to the NYT, a definite sign of how exasperated he is with Musharrafs ostrich approach.