That will be restoring the Quaid’s Pakistan. [Edited] According to this article the present army of Pakistan has to be disbanded.
If this happens, joint Pakistan and Bangladesh will emerge as strongest one Muslim country which India will never want. India will be extremely happy in disintegration of Muslims who are divided and weakest in the subcontinent which favors more Indian Hindus than Muslims in Pakistan.
QUORA QUESTION: WHAT WOULD INDIA DO IF PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH MERGED?
If Bangladesh rejoins Pakistan, then the biggest province of the united entity will be Bengal, which doesn’t have an enmity. The resulting government would have a lot of voices from outside of Punjab and that will be good for India. It would also be far less controlled by the military as the Bengalis, Sindhis and the Baluchis don’t favor the military as much. Anything that reduces the voice of their military will be a huge bonus.
**The East Bengalis care more about economic development than military power and thus they can redirect Pakistan’s energies to more productive things. Such a nation would be less of a threat to India or its northeast.
**
Even if the resulting entity turns out to be aggressive, it would not be any worse than the past. Pakistan [when it had Bangladesh] fought 3 major wars with India and could not do anything to threaten India’s northeast. Since those wars, India has gone great strides to both improve her military advantage as well as drastically curb northeast extremism.
A distracted Pakistan with a lot of internal diversity to manage will be far more engrossed internally to be really of much trouble.
Re: QUORA QUESTION: WHAT WOULD INDIA DO IF PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH MERGED?
India will promptly deploy Arjuna to ensure the Jp Morgans Goldman Sachs les and withdraw their support for this merger. The deal will gain no market support, and the inversion will fail.
Re: QUORA QUESTION: WHAT WOULD INDIA DO IF PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH MERGED?
Yeah like anti-army Bangladesh is the economic wonder of the world...
Bangladesh itself is confused between military and political leadership...who to select? who can focus on matters of national interest??? And not Indian or others interest...
Re: QUORA QUESTION: WHAT WOULD INDIA DO IF PAKISTAN AND BANGLADESH MERGED?
Economically, isn’t Bangladesh the former East Pakistan doing much better than Pakistan?
**A Pakistani’s perspective: Why Bangladesh is doing better than Pakistan - The Express Tribune
**
KARACHI:
From a western perspective, it makes eminent economic sense to outsource garment manufacturing to countries with 1/20th of its minimum wage rates. The cost reduces dramatically and profits go through the roof. Last year, the West spent $200 billion on sourcing cheap garments from the developing world. The same were retailed for $1.0 trillion back home. This forms the very basis for global apparel trade.
Bangladesh earned $21 billion of revenues last year by exporting garments to the West. We earned $2.6 billion. This brought 90% of Bangladesh’s foreign exchange earnings. The industry currently employs 13 million people. That’s almost 10% of its population and 20% of its labour force. What’s even more impressive is Bangladesh’s continuous growth. In 2002, Pakistan and Bangladesh had identical export earnings from garments at $2.5 billion each. A 2011 Deloitte-Touche study predicts that Bangladesh’s garment industry shall rise to $40 billion by 2018. Few doubt this number. Even industrial disasters – such as Rana Plaza’s collapse last year that killed more than 1,200 workers or the fire at Tazreen shirt factory a year before that killed 112 – appear but small bumps on its road to growth.
The Bangladeshi garment workers drive hard wage bargains too. Often they ransack factories and go on strikes. They have a strong case. A trouser exported at $7.50 is retailed for $50. It contains $0.3 of labour component. Doubling the wages would hardly dent the profits of the western retailers; so goes their argument. The owners can pass these extra cents to the western buyers. Historically, this argument has always won. Since 2005, when their minimum wages stood at $18 per month, they have fought long and hard and won raises every two years. After last year’s successful standoff, their wages stand at $65 per month. Surprisingly, even these hikes have not stymied growth; the export numbers have kept increasing. This only tells how abysmally low and inconsequential the wages had been to begin with.
The bitter feud between Awami League and BNP/JI and their recurring power swaps are well known; but not so their reasons which remain baffling. More importantly, between the two quarrelsome ladies, the one not holding onto power gets to make the routine strike calls. These are twice a week when it’s merely posturing; even more when genuinely aggrieved. It is to the factories credit that they always blunt the destructive impacts of these strikes.
Dhaka, surrounded on three sides by rivers has mostly expanded northwards into the Ghazipur or in the southeast across ****alakhshiya tiver into Narayanganj. Most factories are located in these two districts, 30 to 50 kilometres away from the city. On strike days, the senior staff living in Dhaka starts off at dawn. It’s when the baton charging and brick-throwing party goons paid to force the strike, lie asleep. Turning up at this hour is rewarded with a company breakfast and an hour long nap at their desks. By 8am, the workers who are mostly females, start arriving on foot from nearby villages. The goons only threaten motorised transport.
It is an astonishing sight when thousands of female workers throng at the factory gates. Quickly they swap their attendance cards with proximity chips that will automatically calculate their wages. Within minutes the factory floors start humming with sewing machines; one more day when capitalism triumphs over politics of confrontation.
The breakdown
Out of the $200 billion West spent on sourcing cheap garments, China holds $80 billion share while the next two contenders Turkey and Bangladesh hold $30 and $21 billion apiece while India, Vietnam, Indonesia, Philippines, Sri Lanka and Pakistan jointly account for another $50 billion. China’s wage rates have crossed $1/hour and are climbing. Consequently, manufacturing garments at this wage rate is untenable. Its $80-billion slice is up for grabs.
The only countries that can pitch a matching labour capacity are India, Bangladesh and Pakistan. They have millions of uneducated, unskilled and out of work labour force. Surprisingly, this industry thrives on them. With mundane tasks like pressing, folding or packing taking days to master and more skilled task like operating sewing machines a few weeks; the uneducated and unskilled workforce becomes productive quickly.
Not so for the Indians, their labour laws have always had a socialist bent and have favoured unionised labour. To circumvent labour unions Indian garment factories keep their sizes small; making them less attractive for garment manufacturing. This leaves Bangladesh and Pakistan the only places that can absorb the giant capacity China is shedding.
Reasons for our downfall
This $80 billion export boom would not touch us. Our security situation has kept most western visitors out of our country. Without their prolonged stay and intense interactions with our factories to develop fashion products each season, there is very little hope that we would touch anything beyond a couple of billion dollars. Security remains the single most important factor for stalling our apparel industry. Tragically, on all other factors of production we hold a clear competitive advantage over Bangladesh.
With our inability to fix security, stop wanton killings and kidnappings for ransom for westerners and stemming the tide of religious militancy, most Chinese spoils would continue going to Bangladesh. Apparently, nothing will stop its march. Ever escalating wages, horrific industrial accidents and politics of confrontation notwithstanding; Bangladesh shall keep growing its share of the global apparel market for decades more.
the writer is an entrepreneur who has worked in Bangladesh’s garment sector
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
Economically, isn't Bangladesh the former East Pakistan doing much better
Yes the major reason of this so-called "economic success" is Bangalies are not taking part in any kind of war in their neighborhood nor does they are exploding here and there and top of that, they don't have electricity crisis...
I asked for economic wonder, Just Like dirty and poor Singapore....thats an economic / wonder success story...
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
Are you proposing the third world countries should outbid each other to the bottom to get garment contracts?
Apparently yes!
It would ultimately benefit the west! And they'll become dictators/masters to/of these eastern economies.
As of now all it is stating that which tailor shop is charging less and how west shop!
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
Yes the major reason of this so-called "economic success" is Bangalies are not taking part in any kind of war in their neighborhood nor does they are exploding here and there and top of that, they don't have electricity crisis...
I asked for economic wonder, Just Like dirty and poor Singapore....thats an economic / wonder success story...
War on terror has been created by Pakistanis themselves no one has to be blamed. Strategic assets created by Munafiqul-Haq in 80's have now become liability for Pakistan. The sooner Pak army get rid of them the better for Pakistan.
When Bengali got liberation from Pakistan, it was devastated and destroyed by Pak army. Though the progress has not been as good as Singapore or Japan since 1971, but it is still much better than Pakistan's, which proves that Bengali were sufferings at the hands of Punjab dominated establishment since 1947 and rightly they asked for separation.
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
War on terror has been created by Pakistanis themselves no one has to be blamed. Strategic assets created by Munafiqul-Haq in 80's have now become liability for Pakistan. The sooner Pak army get rid of them the better for Pakistan.
When Bengali got liberation from Pakistan, it was devastated and destroyed by Pak army. Though the progress has not been as good as Singapore or Japan since 1971, but it is still much better than Pakistan's, which proves that Bengali were sufferings at the hands of Punjab dominated establishment since 1947 and rightly they asked for separation.
A word of urdu would describe Pakistan's role in WoT..." Kaash" kay we had choice, the military dictator of that time laid in front of American Demands, had there been a democratic govt installed at that time, doesnt matter or Benazir led of NS led, things might be different...
While writing these lines i saw statement of Bilawal Bhutto where he is calling for Punjabistan in public and his party in parliament fully supporting the budget....i see where you are coming from...so i rest my case...
Iam sure Bilaw is all set to loose whatever remaining support he may have in Punjab and then i guess like his grand father he can again call for "idher hum udher tum"...
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
A word of urdu would describe Pakistan's role in WoT..." Kaash" kay we had choice, the military dictator of that time laid in front of American Demands, had there been a democratic govt installed at that time, doesnt matter or Benazir led of NS led, things might be different...
While writing these lines i saw statement of Bilawal Bhutto where he is calling for Punjabistan in public and his party in parliament fully supporting the budget....i see where you are coming from...so i rest my case...
Iam sure Bilaw is all set to loose whatever remaining support he may have in Punjab and then i guess like his grand father he can again call for "idher hum udher tum"...
Let me take you back in 1977. When Munafiqul Haq kicked the legal elected government your leaders were at the forefront in supporting that action. I assume if you were born then, you were also part of his illegal act.
I never supported Bilawal to be leader of PPP, read my posts about him. You guys made Bangladesh not ZAB.
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
Let me take you back in 1977. When Munafiqul Haq kicked the legal elected government your leaders were at the forefront in supporting that action. I assume if you were born then, you were also part of his illegal act.
I never supported Bilawal to be leader of PPP, read my posts about him. You guys made Bangladesh not ZAB.
Two things here
1 never support zia or his gutter politics
2 Bangladesh was made in 1971 and not in 1977
Main reasons of formation of B'Desh
1 - Marshal Laws of Ayoub and Yehya
2 - Extra ordinary influence of Bhutto over Yehya Khan and letting the winning party form govt when they clearly won the 1970 elections...
On top of that, once Pakistam was defeated and B' Desh was formed...how Bhutto was elected leader!!! His party stood 2nd in 1970 elections and geography of country was changed... how come election held in joint Pakistan were good for divided Pakistan...
Now coming to Bhutto tenure:
Was good till he was commited to party policy and party workers were considered in decision making...lost it when all land lords and sardars and sajada nasheen joined him and got him hanged and today same can be seen with BBZ, NS and IK...
There is lesson in history, that is, no one learn from history..
Re: Quora Question: What would India do if Pakistan and Bangladesh merged?
It was under bhutto that afghan jehad started and he also started "islamization" to keep kursi, so I would say jury is up in the air.
As far as elections, I don't think bhutto would have "lost" either by hook or by crook. Remember, this is the guy who regularly used to "nazar band" opposition leaders and summarily dismissed KP govt along with balochistan.