Musharraf a safer bet/Musharraf departure better for Pakistan (merged)

Mashallah. The reality is dawning on people. Only great President Musharaf can ensure stability in Pakistan at this important juncture in its history.

The Freeest and Fairest elections have opened up more questions and concerns, rather than solutions.

All The Tough Questions: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan—The fairest election in Pakistan’s history has restored respect for the Pakistani military, transferred the rising burden of governance to politicians, cut Musharraf’s false allies to size, and empowered the coming parliament to guard Pakistan’s strategic interest in the wider region.

It’s a welcome transition. Only two inherent threats to democracy exist now.

The first one stems from disturbing signals coming from politicians that indicate a desire to pursue politics of revenge. This includes the unnecessary digging into the past—Mr. Asif Zardari demanding an ‘apology’ for the judicial trial and hanging of former premier Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto – from who? – and Mr. Nawaz Sharif demanding the return of a deposed chief justice.

The second inherent threat comes from disturbing secessionist tendencies that may not reflect party lines but were still expressed in indirect ways. The ANP, which is projected to rule NWFP, appears to have closer ties to the Karzai administration in Kabul than to Islamabad. When Pakistan was pro-West during the cold war, ANP was pro-Soviet. And in Punjab and Sindh, Pakistanis were aghast to see PML-Q at one point try to whip up provincialism to counter PPPP’s equally shocking veiled threats of separatism in case of election fraud.

Nationalist Pakistanis were alarmed by the conduct of both parties who later retracted under the force of public opinion—PML-Q apologized openly and PPPP atoned by calling for national unity.

While it has become fashionable to thrash President Musharraf, it is the United States that is in the worst position on the Pakistani chessboard. It’s fascinating to see Washington trying again to prop up Mr. Musharraf when, last year, it tried its best to execute a political coup against him by attempting to replace him with the late Benazir Bhutto.

Now with PPPP falling short of a simple majority by a staggering 86 seats and forced to ally with a nationalist Nawaz Sharif, the Americans must be regretting the day they decided to destabilize the Musharraf administration.

With no party capable of single handedly pushing the U.S. agenda, the Americans are again falling behind Mr. Musharraf as the safest bet. The Presidential Office emerges once again as the only real constant address for U.S. interests in Pakistan and the region. [Mr. Musharraf winked back at Washington, saying U.S. support is still important for Pakistan.]

The one good thing about the new Pakistani parliament is that it is in a position to put up the same kind of opposition to the United States that the Turkish parliament did in the run up to the Iraq invasion. Pakistani legislators, like their Turkish counterparts, are expected to remain sensitive to their voters who are generally angry at U.S. blunders in the region.

At the same time, it is important to mention that no single party achieved a simple majority, let alone an absolute one. It is a ludicrous claim that the entire Pakistani nation voted for specific agendas, like restoring the judges or ousting Musharraf, based on an election where less than half the population voted, in a mandate divided among four or five major parties with different agendas. The majority claimed by the anti-Musharraf parties is really carved out of a minority.

In this case, this result hardly affects the position of President Musharraf. The domestic calls for his resignation in this case are more revenge politics than anything else. The external calls for his resignation, like the one made by U.S. senator Joseph Biden, are better ignored.

Although President Musharraf may not say this publicly, he took a strategic decision to ditch his unfaithful allies in the so called ‘king’s party’ the day he decided to strike a deal with Benazir Bhutto. And for good reason. The PML-Q abandoned Musharraf during all the important crises of the past five years: The A.Q. Khan scandal, the Bugti rebellion, the Red Mosque insurgency, and the ex-chief justice case.

At one point, President Musharraf got so frustrated with the spineless attitude of his allies that he summoned the PML-Q government spokesman and scolded him for not publicly defending the action against Bugti’s rebellion against the State.

President Musharraf has no problem with fluctuating popularity ratings and – by becoming a civilian president – has spared the military unnecessary criticism for tough and unpopular political decisions. He simultaneously understands the concerns of the military and the politicians. If nothing else, this alone makes him a perfect president for the transitional period.

If Mr. Musharraf’s impeachment is a spurious issue, it is not the only one. The question of the restoration of the anti-Musharraf retired judges is another secondary issue that threatens to overshadow the real problems that the winning parties need to focus on.

Some of the winners in the election claim their voters gave them a mandate to pursue these issues. The question is, who is to decide if the PPPP won more votes because of the judges’ issue or because of the sympathy vote after the Bhutto assassination? Who is to decide if PML-N won more seats because of its demand to restore the anti-Musharraf judges or because of the last-minute energy and staple food crises that drowned the ruling PML-Q?
Apart from the genuine calls for an independent judiciary, it is not clear how restoring judges who became politicized and openly vindictive against a sitting president is essential to a functioning democracy. The issue appears to be more a question of settling scores than anything else. A classic case of revenge politics.

Interestingly, some politicians demanding the return of deposed judges are not completely devoid of personal interest.

Take Mr. Nawaz Sharif for example. With one stroke, Mr. Sharif is hoping to get a judge who will remove Musharraf, strike down his disqualification to run for office, and, while at it, remove the ban on third-time premiership. No one can deliver this feat except a judge holding a grudge against President Musharraf.

The only other two names rallying around the dismissed judges, Mr. Aitezaz Ahsan and Mr. Imran Khan, appear more like spoilers than campaigners. They mistakenly chose to boycott the election under the assumption it would be rigged. Now they are trying to blackmail the winning parties with a stark choice: Pay attention to our demands or we will declare you traitors of our cause. Why should the two take part in politics for the next five years when they chose to stay out of the fray?

I feel sorry for the reinvigorated Pakistani civil society because it wants to support genuine democracy and participation but is confused about who to support. The civil society needs to widen its scope of criticism to include, in addition to the sitting President, the rest of the politicians. And it needs to ask all the hard questions.

One question that nobody cared to ask is this: How are we, as Pakistanis, better off by recycling old, tried, tested and failed faces? Why a vibrant nation of 160 million Pakistanis cannot generate new leadership and new faces?

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

There are few other people in the world beside you who like Mush. Including Bush, Condi, Advani and this columnist.

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Oh the reality has dawned on people Allright! That's why you see Q out and P and N in. Musharraf couldn't even safeguard his own home city from suicide bombers, how can anyone expect him to safeguard the entire nation.

pssssssttttt...the ACTUAL reality is dawning on people, and day by day everyone's coming around to accepting Force is not the only option. It's one of the options. Only democratic forces can ensure stability in Pakistan at this important juncture in its history with another lesson learned under the dictatorship that has brought nothing but chaos to the country from the inside and outside.

Everytime the peace talks were held in the tribal region, a bomb would drop and there goes the dialogue. Shamelessly Pakistani forces under the command and order of Musharraf would come forth and accept the blame for it to save face although the bombs dropped were probably and most likely from American drones. Talk about protecting sanctity.

The cat-mouse game of Musharraf is up and the west knows it too. That's why you hear less about Musharraf and more about the vital future of Pakistan with new faces and ideologies in the making. One thing's for sure, atleast this time the Government has the people's mandate and wasn't forced on people.

Even the new COAS has said that he will not let Army be dragged into civil matters and that he will and does support a diplomatic solution to the problems facing the country from within while the Army returns to do its job of protecting the borders from outside.

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Teggy bhaijan. I believe you have not been keeping up with the news. Pakistan is no longer under the leadership of an Army General, but a civilian President. Of-course the Army is not involved in the civilian matters and matters, and will not be involved in the civilian matters until it is asked to, or decides to do so. Do you expect the great COAS General Pervez Kiyani to say that the Army is still involved in the civilian matters and will continue to be involved in the civilian matters. :)

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

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Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan?
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lol...ya its safe from being "peaceful land"

is that what ya asking? :D

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

An illegal president cannot be safe bet for anyone. Desperate measures by desperate supporters of the drillmaster.

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Daleel bhai. Mashallah. The alleged illegal President will be swearing in the government very soon. Members from PPP and other parties forming the govt will be very proud to take the oath from great President Musharaf after becoming MNA's in the Freeest and Fairest elections held in Pakistan's history. :)

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

There's no such thing as a safe bet. NS will not rest until he gets some revenge against musharaf.

That one dynamic will force numerous issues on a daily basis leading to bombs, airplane mishaps and the like.

Dangerous times for pakistan govt and politiciaNs

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

wardi is the only bet

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Slowly slowly the jhanda is disapearing. Things are not as they use to be. Time teaches every one. :)

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Pakistani politics without Wardi is like Nihari without meat. An essential ingredient. :)

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Aalsi bhai sooch lain phele k app likhana kia chaha rahay hain :p

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

:vivo:is ek post ko parh k post karnay say behtar hai main cafe ki 15 ko parh kar 30 min flooding kar loon:hayaa:

:@:Musharraf uncle chale gae ab unko choor do

2 Likes

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

bohot bhook lag rahi ho to insaan aisay hi sochta bolta hai :)

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Zobia baji, Pakistani politics in any guise (whether civilian or not) will not be without the influence of its greatest institution - the Army.

The point is, Pakistan has a civilian President (the great President Musharaf) who has had a military background, which bodes very well for governing and understanding the complexities that lie within Pakistani political structure. As the author points out, that makes him the 'Safer Bet for Pakistan' in its current critical juncture.

The veiled threats yesterday by COAS, the great General Prevez Kiyani, to all the politicians, should be a warning to them that they must not cross the line and take Pakistan towards chaos.

Re: Why Musharraf Is A Safer Bet For Pakistan.

Musharraf has taken the country 30 years back.. I never liked Mushy.

Musharraf a safer bet/Musharraf departure better for Pakistan (merged)

Pakistan needs Musharraf to go for democracy and stability to take hold in the country.

Musharraf’s departure would give Pakistan a chance to grow up

Two things are needed for the current train of events in Pakistan to have a happy ending. One is that ex-general and more-or-less-president Pervez Musharraf accepts his rejection by Pakistan’s voters gracefully and leaves office without too much fuss.
“This is the people’s verdict against him . . .. He should accept the facts and he should not create hurdles and rifts,” as former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, whom Musharraf overthrew in 1999, put it. The other necessary condition of a happy outcome is that the White House, Musharraf’s enthusiastic backer ever since the terrorist attacks of September, 2001, doesn’t try to save him.
Hanging onto the commander-in-chief’s job for 10 years, until he was three years past the obligatory retirement age, did not endear Musharraf to his fellow generals, nor was his perceived subservience to American interests popular among them. When the new commander in chief, General Ashfaq Kayani, said after last month’s election that the army would stay out of the political process, he probably meant it.
In that case, Musharraf’s problems are probably terminal. In the parliamentary elections of Feb. 18 (postponed for six weeks after the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in December), the ex-general’s tame political party, the PML-Q, won only 15 percent of the seats. That share roughly corresponds to the level of popular approval for him personally in the opinion polls, so he really doesn’t have much to work with.
In retrospect, last autumn’s successful campaign to force Musharraf to doff his uniform was exactly the right tactic, since without the power to command the army directly he has become much more vulnerable to public opinion. He managed to get himself “re-elected” to the presidency anyway, mainly by keeping his uniform on until the old parliament (where his supporters were the largest faction and others could be bought) had chosen him again as president - but that just created a different vulnerability.
**The Pakistani constitution forbids military officers from running for the presidency for two years after they leave the armed forces, but Musharraf did not dare retire from the army until he was safely re-elected president last October. Since that made his re-election illegal, in November he fired the chief justice and 12 other members of the Supreme Court whom he suspected of planning to enforce the law against him (plus some 50 other judges), and declared a state of emergency, allegedly about terrorist threats, to give his action political cover. **
He got away with that at the time, but now it is coming back to bite him. The state of emergency was lifted in December to hold the parliamentary election, in which Musharraf expected Benazir Bhutto’s Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) to win - and to make an alliance with him. One cannot know what Benazir Bhutto actually intended, but it was certainly Washington’s plan that she would become prime minister, and thus save Musharraf’s presidency, by giving it a more or less democratic facade.
Her assassination guaranteed that the PPP, now led by her husband Asif Ali Zardari, would win a majority in the election on a sympathy vote, but it also voided whatever deal there may have been between her and Musharraf. The PPP duly won almost half the seats when the election was finally held last month - and the party led by the man Musharraf overthrew in 1999, former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, won more than a quarter.
These two parties have now agreed to form a government together, and to reinstate all the judges whom Musharraf removed from office within 30 days. If they do that, then those judges will surely do what Musharraf intervened to stop them from doing in November: They will rule that his “re-election” in October contravened the constitution, and order him to leave office.
** Left to its own devices, Pakistan’s army is unlikely to lift a finger to save Musharraf. Although it has ruled the country for half the time since independence, it is always careful to safeguard its popularity with the public: It only moves to intervene at times of despair, and this is a time of hope. It may be false hope, but the voters feel they have accomplished something, and it would be a grave mistake for the army to defy them. **
Could the United States persuade the army to save Musharraf? Not at the corporate level. It might find a few ambitious colonels, but all previous military interventions in Pakistan have been done by the entire military establishment, acting under the authority of its legally appointed commanders. The few ambitious colonels would be repudiated and crushed.
So Pakistan is going to be a democracy again, at least for a while. The coalition is made up of people who do not like or trust one another and the economy needs urgent attention. But at the very least it is better than more of Musharraf. At best, it is a chance for a nuclear-armed country of 160 million people to stop playing zero-sum political games and start taking itself seriously.