Re: Multan By election
I will be surprised if Hashmi would win the election. But then, it would be one big election result for both PMLN and PPP, and that means, both would like to see Hashmi win.
In last (2013) election:
Hashmi (PTI) got ~ 84000 votes.
Sh Tariq Rasheed (PMLN) got ~ 74000 votes
Amir Dogar (PPP) got ~ 21000 votes.
Now … Hashmi is contesting the election again and have support of both PMLN and PPP. Amir Dogar who got 21000 votes is supported by PTI.
Since South Punjab electoral politics is election of electables and Hashmi is considered as one of the electables, it would be very odd result if Dogar wins … but if he does then it would be big achievement of PTI … especially when PMLN is in government and both PMLN and PPP are rigging masters.
I think if Hashmi loses and Doger wins, then it would be big set-back for both PMLN and PPP in entire Punjab. On the other hand, if margin would be 10000 votes plus than it would mean last nail in the coffin of PMLN and PPP politics from South Punjab and big set-back in Punjab.
The way things are moving, my feeling is that whenever next election would be held, both PMLN and PPP would get wiped out of Punjab politics (actually Pakistan politics). PMLN may get less than 10 seats (if they are lucky) and PPP might get less than 5 seats from Punjab. It is also possible that in next election we might see PPP getting wiped out of Sindh too (from both National assemblies and provincial assemblies).