Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

**A nightmare for Syasi Yateems of PTI , PML-Q and TuQ

As Economic Indicators are showing improvement …

PTI walo ko gham khae ja rha hai ke hmari 14 August wali Notanki ka kya hoga … ! **:confused:

Moody’s puts positive outlook for Pakistan’s economy

By Dawn.com | Reuters
Updated 3 days ago

[TABLE=“class: media media–left one-whole palm–one-whole, width: 650”]

  • File photo

KARACHI: Global rating agency Moody’s on Monday upgraded the outlook of Pakistan’s economy to stable from negative, DawnNews reported.

In a report published by the agency on the progress of Pakistan’s economy, Moody’s said the country’s foreign exchange reserves had significantly improved and its current account deficit was also under control.

The report added that the issuance of euro bonds had given a support of $2 billion to Pakistan’s economy.
Measures taken by the Pakistani government for economic reforms have also enhanced the country’s chances of receiving the next loan tranche from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Pakistan sovereign dollar bonds due in 2019 were half a point higher at 103.5-104.5 cents on the dollar for a yield of around 6.3 per cent. The bonds due in 2024 were also half a point higher at 104.75-105.75 for a yield of around 7.5 per cent.

Moody’s said the government’s issuer rating and senior unsecured rating remained at Caa1.

“Moody’s decision to revise the outlook on Pakistan’s foreign currency rating is primarily based on a stabilisation in the country’s external liquidity position, supported by the government’s strong commitment to reforms under an ongoing programme with the International Monetary Fund,” the firm said.

Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves increased to $9.0 billion by the end of June 2014 from a low of $2.9 billion in early February 2014.

The country benefited from a new IMF programme, bilateral assistance and government deals that included the auctioning of 3G and 4G licences. A Eurobond sale in April also raised $2 billion.

Moody’s had previously given a negative outlook on Pakistan’s economy. On May 7, Moody’s Investors Service in its review on the ‘Credit Analysis on Government of Pakistan’ stated that Pakistan’s ‘Caa1’ government bond rating with a negative outlook reflected its “very low institutional and fiscal strength, its weakened external position and large government financing needs”.

In its latest report, the rating agency also noted that the country had managed to attract foreign investment on improved financial indicators and with a steady economic performance, there was the possibility of credit rating improvement.

[HR][/HR]Dar welcomes Moody’s bond upgrade to stable

[HR][/HR]

Finance Minister Ishaq Dar hailed the move as the “fruits of reform.”

Finance Minister Dar said the upgrade was a vote of faith in the government’s reform programme in a statement issued by the ministry.

“As a result of hard work, commitment and financial discipline introduced by the government that the world has changed its outlook towards Pakistan,” he said.

The IMF programme will disburse $6.7 billion over three years if the government institutes reforms. Those include privatising some loss-making state industries, closing some tax loopholes and reforming the country’s troubled energy sector.

Almost all wealthy Pakistanis, including most legislators, pay extremely small amounts of tax. Recent initiatives to increase tax collection have disproportionately hit poor Pakistanis. Daily blackouts are crippling the economy, leading to widespread unemployment and unrest.

Reform will be difficult, Moody’s acknowledged, but “a stalling of the ongoing IMF program, a deterioration in the external payments position or a worsening political environment would be viewed as credit negative.”

Eleven out of 12 IMF programs since 1998 have been scrapped or abandoned because Pakistan failed to institute reforms.

http://www.dawn.com/news/1119172/moodys-puts-positive-outlook-for-pakistans-economy

Re: Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

Now stable: Moody’s changes outlook for five banks

Published: July 17, 2014
**

LIMASSOL: **Moody’s Investors Service has affirmed the B3 long-term local-currency deposit ratings of five Pakistani banks and changed the outlook on these ratings to stable from negative.

At the same time, the rating agency has affirmed the banks’ Caa2 foreign-currency deposit ratings and Not- Prime short-term ratings. The banks’ standalone E financial strength ratings corresponding to caa1 baseline credit assessments (BCA) have also been affirmed.

The affected banks are: Allied Bank Limited, Habib Bank Ltd, MCB Bank Limited, National Bank of Pakistan and United Bank Ltd.

The rating actions follow Moody’s decision on July 14 to affirm the Caa1 rating for the Pakistan and change the outlook on the sovereign rating to stable from negative.

The bank rating actions take into account a stabilisation of the government’s risk profile and its capacity to support the banks, and the high underlying inter-linkages between the banks’ standalone credit risk profiles and that of the sovereign, owing to their high lending concentrations to the government and to government related entities.
**

Rating rationale**

The affirmation and outlook change on the five banks’ B3 deposit ratings primarily reflects Moody’s view of a stabilisation of the sovereign’s risk profile and its capacity to support the banks.

Moody’s notes that the government’s implementation of structural reforms agreed with the International Monetary Fund support a gradual shift to a higher growth trajectory and strengthen its capacity to support the banks.

The banks’ B3 deposit ratings incorporate one notch of support from their caa1 standalone BCAs, reflecting Moody’s view of the likelihood that support would be forthcoming for these banks given their systemic importance as the five largest banks in Pakistan, with deposits market shares ranging from 8% to 14%.

The affirmation of the banks’ standalone credit profiles also takes into account both the on-going challenges the five banks are facing in terms of concentrations to sovereign and quasi-sovereign risk and stability provided by their predominately deposit funded profiles and high levels of liquidity.
*
Published in The Express Tribune, July 17[SUP]th[/SUP], 2014.*

Re: Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

Pakistan charms Moody’s | Business Recorder

Re: Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

licking that begins mudslinging of other parties... what else to expect from someone hired for propaganda without brain to discuss.

Re: Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

Well said.
According to Moody's, the stable rating is because of the IMF loan, which has allowed for a better balance of payments. Moody's is a ratings firm, and gauges credit worthiness of countries, so naturally, their main focus is on banks.

According to Moody's, among the things that could affect Paksitan's credit worthiness, one is
***Default history: At least one default event (on bonds and/or loans) has been recorded since 1983; these events occurred in 1998 and 1999.


Not sure if Moody's is aware that the same party was in power back then. And it was Ishaq Dar's lies(sorry joshe khitabat) and number fudging (sorry, typing errors) that led Pakistan to an abyss, and Pakistan was even penalized. Moodys has probably not caught on to the recent number play (sorry typing error)

Re: Moody put Positive Outlook for Economy & 5Banks

At least one default?
Nahi yaar, two defaults … one in late 1998 and other in Mid 1999.

Both when PMLN was in power, Thug Liar Shareef was PM and Figure Fiddler Ishaq Daar was Finance minister. I really feel surprised how people can trust economy in the hands of Liar Thug as PM and Figure Fiddler as Finance Minister.

Actually, Pakistan in entire history only defaulted twice and that also when when PMLN was ruling, Thug Nawaz the Liar was PM, and Figure fiddler Daar was Finance Minister.

Here is table with list of defaulting countries with years … between 1981 and 2003.

Above is name of countries that defaulted between 1981 and 2003. Check date 1998 and 1999 … you will see Pakistan mentioned as country that defaulted. First time in 1998 and second time in 1999. Default was so bad in 1999 that World bank came to rescue Pakistan.

Let me give more information on Pakistani default: Pakistan missed an interest payment in Nov 1998 but came out of default within grace period. Pakistan defaulted again in July 1999 and resolved the matter later.

PS: Even though Pakistan defaulted both in Nov 1998 and July 1999 … at places Nov 1998 default is not mentioned because Pakistan came out of default within grace period … and that happened as I believe when Saudi Arabia gave in bheek some dollars to Pakistan … and Pakistan figure fiddler Darr did every thing to hide SA ‘Bheek’.