Re: August 14 azadi march/revolution/inqilab
^^^ Well, results following Pakistani situations has own dynamics. One cannot predict them easily, as they are not only surprising but unpredictable. We cannot say really (or predict) what would happen in near future after any event, just like:
No one could have expected that Bhutto with around 25 percent seats in 1971 National assembly would become Martial Law administrator and then Prime Minister.
No one in early 1977 could have expected that Bhutto, probably the most popular leader of Pakistan (Punjab and Sindh) at the time with over whelming majority in 1977 National Assembly election would be out of power within few months and Zia would be in power.
No one could have expected that an unknown entity like Shareef would take over Pakistan on the backing of army alone, and later would change Pakistani environment of personal agenda and interest to ‘phek haddi deakh tamasha’ type of society that allowed them to not only rule Pakistan but to loot, plunder, stark nepotism, to murder without any accountability … such that nepotism (Subayeet and Aqraba Parwari) of rulers became so ‘stark naked and shameless’ that today we only have ministers, top bureaucracy, and even cricket team from one area of Pakistan, that is mostly Lahore and area surrounding Lahore. [Before that … every ruler distributed power bases all over country].
No one could have expected that in 1999, army mostly belonging to area this thug (Nawaz Shareerf) made ruler and whole Pakistan his colony, would revolt against him and would send him to gallows.
No one could have expected that Musharraf would be so idiot that he would shed his uniform and even though he must be knew each and every top army officers personally, would select an army officer to become army chief who was not loyal to him.
No one would have expected that Musharraf would trust BeNazir and others so much that he would bring NRO and would let thugs get back to Pakistan to torment Pakistanis.
No one could have expected that 2008 election would get rigged massively, such that whole Pakistan would get divided into compartments, where provinces seems as different countries, and Pakistan would get ruled by a party who got most of their assembly seats from people of only one province (Punjab).
No one … I mean no one could have said many things during past situations … and same is true this time. Only one can speculate and talk about resolve situation that may not come true.
So … let speculate on what can happen for best resolve of situation that exists today. As far as I am concerned:
Speculation: I think we are on brink of big bloodshed, surprisingly not on basis of provincialism, but on basis of sectarianism and between vested interests.
Hope: One can hope that people (especially thugs in political uniform) comes to their senses, and things get resolved peacefully. That in my opinion could happen in three ways:
1: 65 percent chance: PMLN keep insisting that they have right to rule Pakistan on basis of last election result, regardless of it being rigged or not … and that would keep increasing the heat and resulting turmoil in the country, causing unrest and bloodshed. Eventually army would be forced to take over the country, change constitution completely and rule the country for foreseeable future. In this situation, it is possible that army might punish a lot of politicians and may even hang Shareef brothers along with many from his party and police officers on murder charges (17[SUP]th[/SUP] June event).
2: 30 percent chance: All realise that result of last election was rigged and has become controversial. All would accept that accepting last election result would only increase turmoil, mistrust, and bloodshed in the country. So, parties would come off rhetoric mind-sets about last election, so would cease accepting last election result. Would accept that it is best that a non-controversial election is held under army and new election commission, and after that new election, all accept the result. With agreement of all parties, few (qurbani kay bakrays from police) may also end up in jail on charges of 17[SUP]th[/SUP] June murder.
3: Though very unlikely, maybe 5 percent chance is that … PTI, PAT (TUQ), PML, Sunni tehreek, Wahdatul Muslameen and others who are looking for change, accepts their defeat (very unlikely) after a lot of turmoil, and let PMLN rule until next election.
That is what I think could happen, though Allah knows best.
ohhh mein to bhol gia u bhi burger ho, IK key dewanay 
