Re: IRI survey sees opposition sweeping polls
The percentages reported by these international survey organizations are too frivolous to be believed. Can someone share their modus ope*****? My guess is that they use some Pakistani front-organizations to carry out the actual sawaal-jawaab and to pick a sample. My firm belief is that any sample done in big cities (Karachi, Lahore, Isloo etc - even Multan, Faisalabad) does not give you a fair representation of people of Pakistan. A majority of our population lives in villages. A fair and correct sample will factor those in too. I doubt its done. I doubt they scientifically pick the people they want to talk to.
Mushy and Pervez Elahi have 8% and 5% respectively, approval to solve country's problems. Even though I agree that neither of them is capable of solving our problems, the percentages are ridiculous.
Unlike the fairy tale put together by this survey, I do not expect any kind of landslide by opposition in the elections. Small time rigging is inevitable in any Pakistani (or third world) elections. All the indicators are pointing towards a large scale rigging to get 70-80 seats to PML-Q. No Exit polls being allowed is just one indication. Ineffective election commission not moving to resolve pre-election rigging and complaints is another.
It will get much worse before it gets better.
Truth is if these elections were free or fair, Mushy and Co would be demoloshed. In fact PML-Q might not even win 10 seats.
Reality on the other hand.... they will do quite well winning as many as 70 seats. As you've stated their will be significant rigging.
I think what we need to look towards now is prepare for significant conflict after the election.