What are the chances of a rebel uprising in Iran against the current regime?
Re: Iran and rebels
Iran is the ultimate target...but Iran is not going to be a walk in the park.
Re: Iran and rebels
Iran is the ultimate target...but Iran is not going to be a walk in the park.
Are you referring to Israel's expected attack?
Re: Iran and rebels
What are the chances of a rebel uprising in Iran against the current regime?
Non-existent. Apart from a discontent urban minority, Iran's government is popular enough, particularly in urban areas.
Re: Iran and rebels
Are you referring to Israel's expected attack?
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Re: Iran and rebels
Are you referring to Israel's expected attack?
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Re: Iran and rebels
Are you referring to Israel's expected attack?
Israel will not attack, and is in no position to attack. Iran is a country that it most fears in that region. It will encourage America to attack instead which the U.S is currently resisting at least before the elections. The U.S knows that the cost of more adventurism will be very high, although the U.S is supporting some elements in Iran to cause trouble in order to appease Israel. It will try to use proxies and try to destabilise Iran from within. However before they can gear up attacks on Iran they need to gain control of Syria and through it Lebanon, because through these countries Iran can retaliate.
Re: Iran and rebels
It makes sense. :k:
Re: Iran and rebels
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Israel will not attack, and is in no position to attack. Iran is a country that it most fears in that region. It will encourage America to attack instead which the U.S is currently resisting at least before the elections. The U.S knows that the cost of more adventurism will be very high, although the U.S is supporting some elements in Iran to cause trouble in order to appease Israel. It will try to use proxies and try to destabilise Iran from within. However before they can gear up attacks on Iran they need to gain control of Syria and through it Lebanon, because through these countries Iran can retaliate.
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IMHO Israel will attack next year sometime, especially if the Republlicans return to power, even if they do not. Israel probably does not have the might to go it alone and the Americans will be forced to defend its ally. I don't think the West will be interested in occupying Iran, but carpet bombing it to a state where Iran will pose no threat to Israel or its Sunni Arab neighbours thus maintaining American superiority in the region.
Re: Iran and rebels
I agree that if Romney wins then chances of war increase. I agree that large scale ground operation is unlikely, as trying to occupy Iran will make Iraq war look like a picnic. Aerial bombing will not really bring any long term benefit, and there is a strong possibility of retaliation by Iran or Hezbullah targeting Israel and U.S bases in the region. Anti missile systems are not as good as they are being made out to be. There are sizeable Shia minorities in many muslim countries and the whole region could be destablised.
Governments want people to see war as a drama of good over evil. War is about infliction of death. Wars represent the failure of politicians.
Re: Iran and rebels
I think any Irani retaliation will be limited to rocket strikes and the sponsoring of terror attacks in the West.
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Governments want people to see war as a drama of good over evil. War is about infliction of death. Wars represent the failure of politicians.
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Hear, hear!
Re: Iran and rebels
I think any Irani retaliation will be limited to rocket strikes and the sponsoring of terror attacks in the West.
Hear, hear!
1 million soldiers, self sufficient in weapons production. Holding the key to Iraq not going back into chaos and having enough missles to flatten israel i think your analysis is bit off.
Iran and rebels
If you mean rebellion then thats already been tried and quashed. It wasnt as popular as the west tried to portray.
Re: Iran and rebels
USrael terrorism stand no chance - Eyran is a big country with vast resources and some very juicy anti-ship missiles, thanks to Russkies. This USrael attack/shak is lots and lots of noise and nothing more. They say when the caravan moves the dogs bark - NoKo is closer to amreeka than Eyran may be amreeka should take care of things that are closer to home.
May be Eyran is or is not going nuclear who knows but an attack on Eyran means Eyran will go nuclear - Any one with half brain can put 2 + 2 together.
BTW - The terror groups Amreeka is supporting inside Eyran don't stand a chance either - they are too small.
Re: Iran and rebels
IMHO Israel will attack next year sometime, especially if the Republlicans return to power, even if they do not. Israel probably does not have the might to go it alone and the Americans will be forced to defend its ally. I don't think the West will be interested in occupying Iran,** but carpet bombing it to a state where Iran will pose no threat to Israel** or its Sunni Arab neighbours thus maintaining American superiority in the region.
You are forgetting one thing, we are not talking about Afghanistan or Iraq who had no air-defense at all.
Re: Iran and rebels
Who is saying that America would fight on Irani terms? Did you see the lightning up of Baghdad in 1991 gulf war? I think that it is the aftermath i.e. iranian proxies unleashing terror and perhaps an occupation to achieve a regime change like in syria that is not considered PR favorable in the west.
Re: Iran and rebels
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1 million soldiers, self sufficient in weapons production. Holding the key to Iraq not going back into chaos and having enough missles to flatten israel i think your analysis is bit off.
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You are forgetting one thing, we are not talking about Afghanistan or Iraq who had no air-defense at all.
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OK maybe I was being too simplistic by comparing Iran with Iraq . I remember reading some comments made by Colin Powell who said that Iran knows exactly what the US is capable of and the extent of the threat its poses to Iran. He suggested the Iranis were not worried about any US retaliation that was clear as the Iranis continued with their activities.
Maybe there is some truth to the theory that the US and Israel are just sending out empty threats but based on previous campaigns I am not so certain. If it is true these threats are just idle what will be US and Israeli policy, are they just going to sit back and wait for Iran to be a nuclear power? If that does happen then the West will never be able to take down Iran so in my opinion it won't just sit back and watch.
Re: Iran and rebels
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Re: Iran and rebels
OK maybe I was being too simplistic by comparing Iran with Iraq . I remember reading some comments made by Colin Powell who said that Iran knows exactly what the US is capable of and the extent of the threat its poses to Iran. He suggested the Iranis were not worried about any US retaliation that was clear as the Iranis continued with their activities. Maybe there is some truth to the theory that the US and Israel are just sending out empty threats but based on previous campaigns I am not so certain. If it is true these threats are just idle what will be US and Israeli policy, are they just going to sit back and wait for Iran to be a nuclear power? If that does happen then the West will never be able to take down Iran so in my opinion it won't just sit back and watch.
you do know United states and Iran "so called enemies" cooperated with each other over the iraqi occupation by US forces.
without iranian help the US would have been sitting ducks in Iraq and any time they want Iran can cause chaos for US interests on massive scale again!
who do you think is holding back the forces of moqtada al sadr and badr forces in iraq, it is not that simplistic as watching CNN that you will know how the chess game works my dear fellow.
Iran and rebels
Israel reminds me of those midgets at school who hangs around with bigger bullies and then goes around picking on people. He only behaves when the big mates are not there cuz he knows he'll be sat on in no time!