Re: India-China conflict expected this century
Contest of the century. The highly respected British magazine The Economist featured a front-page article in their 21 August issue about the possibility of a major war between China and India. India believes China is trying to strategically encircle it. To the west, Pakistan; to the north, Tibet; to the east, Burma. To the south, China is busy cultivating Sri Lanka.
**As China and India rise in tandem, their relationship will shape world politics. Shame they do not get on better **
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http://economist.com/node/16846256
China’s longer-term contest is with that other recovering economic behemoth: India. These two Asian giants, which until 1800 used to make up half the world economy, are not, like Japan and Germany, mere nation states. In terms of size and population, each is a continent—and for all the glittering growth rates, a poor one.
Autocrats in Beijing are contemptuous of India for its messy, indecisive democracy. But they must see it as a serious long-term rival—especially if it continues to tilt towards America. As recently as the early 1990s, India was as rich, in terms of national income per head. China then hurtled so far ahead that it seemed India could never catch up. But India’s long-term prospects now look stronger. While China is about to see its working-age population shrink , India is enjoying the sort of bulge in manpower which brought sustained booms elsewhere in Asia. It is no longer inconceivable that its growth could outpace China’s for a considerable time. It has the advantage of democracy—at least as a pressure valve for discontent. And India’s army is, in numbers, second only to China’s and America’s: it has 100,000 soldiers in disputed Arunachal Pradesh (twice as many as America will soon have in Iraq). And because India does not threaten the West, it has powerful friends both on its own merits and as a counterweight to China.
Yet another indian with his head in the sand, dreaming golden dreams for india which in reality is a cockroach infested, urine smelling, wretched poor country with dozens of separatist movements. Its a shame really that pakisan and china are not concentrating on supporting these separatists (thanks to a corrupt govt in pak), otherwise it will not take a lot of time to disintegrate india and make asia a peaceful place