**PML-N keeps edge in latest survey
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By Tariq Butt
ISLAMABAD: A survey conducted by Gallup Pakistan has found that the first choice of 39 per cent of the respondents in the May 11 general elections would be the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N).
As per the poll carried out in March, 18 per cent said they would vote for the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), while 7 per cent vouched for the Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI), and 5 per cent for the PML-Q.
Gallup Pakistan conducted the survey for an international organisation and has not officially released its findings. However, a source provided its results to this correspondent.
According to the latest survey, in Punjab, 54 per cent of the respondents said they would vote for the PML-N, followed by 13 per cent for the PPP, 8 per cent for the PTI and 7 per cent for the PML-Q.
But the PML-N has slided a bit in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) to 35 per cent while that of the Jamiat Ulemae Islam (JUI) of Maulana Fazlur Rehman went up to 19 per cent.
The findings said that the PML-N could grab a considerable vote share everywhere except for Sindh where only 8 per cent of the respondents sided with the party.
The PPP dominated at 34 per cent, followed by the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) at 19 per cent.
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The PTI has taken a deep plunge in KPK, with just 11 per cent backing it while in the November 2012 IRI poll it had 32 per cent, followed by PML-N at 12 per cent and JUI at 5 per cent.**
The PPP and PML-N continued to dominate the rural landscape. However, in the urban areas, the MQM and PTI remained stronger.
Thirteen per cent of the urban population stood with the MQM while 10 per cent said they would vote for PTI.
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The survey noted a very little variation among age groupings: only 9 per cent of the under-30 population said they would vote for the PTI, and 37 per cent said they would vote the PML-N.**
However, the PTI’s popularity went up to 11 per cent among respondents with high levels of education.
I have no idea how these surveys are being conducted as I have seen the ground realities myself that speak differently. It is understandable if the competition is between the Noon League and the PTI, but how on earth can you believe that people will prefer PPP over the PTI? And that too with over 100% margin? The survey has almost wiped the PTI off the electoral map in virtually every corner of the country. I am sure even Noon League will find it overdone.