From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

Everyone’s favorite Yawn has picked up this piece from Reuters. Army has reminded Nawaz who is the pita ji :hehe:

‘From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’ - Pakistan - DAWN.COM](http://www.dawn.com/news/1126545/from-czar-like-prime-minister-to-deputy-commissioner-type-character)

ISLAMABAD: Besieged Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been assured by military that there will be no coup, but in return he must “share space with the army”, according to a government source who was privy to recent talks between the two sides.

Last week, as tens of thousands of protesters advanced on the federal capital to demand his resignation, Sharif dispatched two emissaries to consult with the army chief.

He wanted to know if the military was quietly engineering the twin protest movements by cricket star-turned-politician Imran Khan and activist cleric Tahirul Qadri, or if, perhaps, it was preparing to stage a coup.

According to a government insider with a first-hand account of the meeting, Sharif’s envoys returned with good news and bad: there will be no coup but if he wants his government to survive, from now on it will have to share space with the army.

The army’s media wing declined to comment.

Thousands of protesters marched to parliament on Tuesday, using a crane and bolt cutters to force their way past barricades of shipping containers, as riot police and paramilitaries watched on after being told not to intervene.

Military spokesman General Asim Bajwa tweeted a reminder to protesters to respect government institutions and called for a “meaningful dialogue” to resolve the crisis.

Even if, as seems likely, the Khan and Qadri protests eventually fizzle out due to a lack of overt support from the military, the prime minister will emerge weakened from political crisis.

Sharif may have to be subservient to the generals on issues he wanted to handle himself — from the fight against Taliban to relations with India and Pakistan’s role in neighbouring, post-Nato Afghanistan.

“The biggest loser will be Nawaz, cut down to size both by puny political rivals and the powerful army,” said a government minister who asked not to be named.

“From this moment on, he’ll always be looking over his shoulder.”

A year ago, few would have predicted that Sharif would be in such trouble: back then, he had just swept to power for a third time in a milestone poll that marked the first transition from one elected government to another.

But in the months that followed, Sharif — who had crossed swords with the army in the past — moved to enhance the clout of the civilian government in a country that has been ruled by the military for more than half of its history.

He irked the generals by putting former military head Pervez Musharraf, who had ended Sharif’s last stint as prime minister in a 1999 coup, on trial for treason.

Sharif is also said to have opposed a military offensive to crush Taliban insurgents and sought reconciliation with India.

India rapprochement at risk
Sources in Sharif’s government said that with civilian-military relations in such bad shape, Sharif suspected that the street protests to unseat him were being manipulated from behind the scenes by the army.

He also feared that if the agitations turned violent, the army would exploit the situation to seize power for itself.

However, the two close aides who went to see army chief Raheel Sharif in the garrison town of Rawalpindi last Wednesday were told that the military had no intention of intervening.

“The military does not intend to carry out a coup but … if the government wants to get through its many problems and the four remaining years of its term, it has to share space with the army,” said the insider, summing up the message they were given.

“Sharing space” is a familiar euphemism for civilian governments focusing narrowly on domestic political affairs and leaving security and strategic policy to the army.

The fact that the military is back in the driving seat will make it harder for Sharif to deliver the rapprochement with India that he promised when he won the election last year.

Indian media speculated this week that Sharif had already been forced by the generals to scuttle peace talks.

New Delhi on Monday called off a meeting between foreign ministry officials of the two countries, which had been set to take place on Aug 25, because Pakistan announced its intention to consult Kashmiri separatists ahead of the meeting.

The Himalayan region of Kashmir has been a bone of contention between India and Pakistan since both gained independence in 1947. The two nations have fought three wars, two of them over Kashmir, and came close to a fourth in 2001.

The Pakistani army’s predominance could also mean it could torpedo the government’s relationship with Afghanistan, where a regional jostle for influence is expected to intensify after the withdrawal of most foreign forces at the end of this year.

Paying the price
Few believed that the army would back Khan’s bid for power even if it used him to put Sharif on the defensive.

“Even the army knows that Imran Khan may be a great pressure cooker in the kitchen, but you can’t trust him to be the chef,” said a former intelligence chief who declined to be named.

Sharif may now pay the price for miscalculating that the military may have been willing to let the one-time cricket hero topple him.

“Thinking that Imran could be a game-changer, Nawaz has conceded the maximum to the army,” a Sharif aide said.

“From a czar-like prime minister, they (the army) have reduced him to a deputy commissioner-type character who will deal with the day-to-day running of the country while they take care of the important stuff like Afghanistan and India. This is not a small loss.”

But Sharif’s aides say a stint in jail under Musharraf, followed by exile from Pakistan and five years as leader of the opposition party, have made him realise that he needs to share power to survive.

“This is not the old Nawaz, the wild confrontationalist,” said an adviser to the prime minister in Lahore, the capital of his Punjab province power base.

“This is the new Nawaz who has learnt the hard way that politics is about living to fight another day.”

Re: From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

Army to take over from Ganjas yet again

#PakArmyZindabad](http://www.paklinks.com/gs/usertag.php?do=list&action=hash&hash=PakArmyZindabad)

Re: From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

I am sure PML-N has more qualified and capable leaders who deserve the top slot than these dumb sharif borthers. I remember back in '90s when NS became the PM the first time, late Akbar Bugti had said that Nawaz is not even qualified to hold a secretary level of post, what to talk about being the CEO of Pak govt.

Re: From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

^ This is not a norm in PK politics. Unless NS is not removed from top slot , he will remain the PM. Thats how the politics of pakistan works.

Re: From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

Whether these protests manage to get a resignation out of him or not, but one this for sure, his position has been weakened quite severely. There's now a massive and unrepairable dent on his authority. He has been exposed and he has been disgraced.

Re: From czar-like prime minister to deputy commissioner-type character’

Nawaz Sharif: The New Karzai In Islamabad

August 22, 2014 at 10:44pm
***Weakened, bruised, and humiliated; even the Police and Army won’t listen to him. Pakistan’s Sharif is the New Karzai.


It would be a good idea for Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to fight back and remain in power if there is any chance that he will recover in the days ahead and restore his former glory.
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However, there is little evidence that he will be the same powerful prime minister that he was ten days ago.*
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Which raises the question: why is he adamant to remain in power at the cost of unnecessary humiliation?*
The crisis has reduced him to becoming dependent on smaller politicians; including those he would not shake hands with ten days ago.
If he survives the mass demonstrations by young Pakistanis and by the newly politically-active middle class, Sharif is doomed to spend the rest of his days in office as a “deputy commissioner-type character.”
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This description does not come from his opponents. It comes from within his inner circle, from a close aide who spoke to Reuter’s news service. The quote could indicate how much respect Sharif has lost inside his own party.*
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But a closer analysis of the rapid downfall in Sharif’s fortunes paints a different, more ominous picture.*
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Nine days into the massive protests at the Azadi Square, Nawaz Sharif today could be the new ‘Mayor of Islamabad’ along the lines of Karzai, who is spoofed as a president whose authority is limited to the capital Kabul.*
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Sharif has seen a rapid downfall from power in less than a week.*
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He has been weakened, bruised and humiliated. No Pakistani prime minister since 1947 faced the kind of denigration that is heard daily on loudspeakers at Azadi Square in front of the Parliament and the federal government secretariat. A sizable chunk of young Pakistanis, the largest segment of the population, see the Sharif family as representative of everything wrong in Pakistani political system: the nepotism, corruption and organized violence.*
Tuesday, August 19, 2014 will go down in Pakistani history as the day the federal Police, the provincial Punjab Police, and the Army all refused Sharif’s orders to use force against anti-Nawaz protesters.
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Police officers declined to take telephone orders to attack the crowd and demanded written ones, which none of Sharif’s ministers were ready to give. The Army refused to confront the protesters and limited itself to guarding key federal offices and buildings, including the Prime Minister House.*
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The legendary Lawyers Movement in 2007 took four months of nonstop protest demonstrations to force the government to reinstate the chief justice. But in PTI’s Azadi March and PAT’s Inqilab March, it took the activists about a week, starting Aug. 14, to bring Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif on the verge of collapse.*
In just seven days, the swagger and arrogance that marked Sharif’s one-year in office disappeared. Key ministers, like Saad Rafiq and Ahsan Iqbal, who openly scorned the opposition, are now forced to sit on the negotiating table with PAT and PTI.
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Sharif finds himself begging the military to support him. This is the same military that was a target of an organized PMLN defamation campaign months earlier.*
The verdict on Sharif government’s ineptitude was sealed at 12:27 AM on Aug. 20, when the military spokesman released a statement urging the government and the protesting opposition to resolve the crisis peacefully.
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The statement was especially embarrassing for Nawaz Sharif. The implicit message: his government was unable to manage the problem thereby forcing the military to intervene.*
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There is, however, a larger context to this story, linked to Sharif’s ability to run Pakistan.*
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For some time, Sharif managed to have the media and political parties promote a conspiracy theory that linked the military to PAT/PTI protest. Sharif did this through incentives to amenable journalists and television anchors. This helped whip up anti-military sentiments thereby inviting likeminded parties to support Sharif against the military. *
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This is how Sharif shifted the debate from his own political failures to an alleged military coup in the making.*
The fact is that this whole crisis is about one thing: government ineptitude. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has exhibited a gross inability to manage a crisis. His closest aides in the cabinet, who are known elements of instability, pushed him toward confrontation with the opposition and nearly led the country to a dangerous divide.
Sharif allowed an average political issue [alleged electoral fraud in a handful of constituencies] snowball in one year into a major political crisis that forcing opponents to the streets to seek justice.
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His attitude as the chief executive of the country is characterized by recklessness. He manipulated the media and some sections of the judiciary.*
When PAT and PTI decided to launch a long march to Islamabad, Sharif showed no interest in averting the march. Instead he created another crisis in the country by seizing commercial cargo containers to block roads, caused a bloodbath in Lahore, and nearly caused a bigger one in Islamabad. He did all this to stop the opposition from protesting peacefully inside the Red Zone of Islamabad. Ironically, Sharif and his party protested at the same place merely four years earlier, in 2011, against then President Zardari. No one stopped Sharif. There were no containers and no roadblocks.
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Politicians sympathetic to Sharif concede today that the prime minister showed indecisiveness and a lack of acumen in managing a political crisis.*
The icing on the cake came on Friday, Aug. 22, when Sharif asked rabid religious extremists to come out in his support and engage the PAT/PTI protesters. PAT being a follower of a certain sect, this had the potential to ignite a sectarian conflict. Sharif knew this but went ahead anyway because the resulting chaos would take the heat off of his back. In another incident on the same day, Sharif sent hooligans armed with sticks to intimidate a peaceful sit-in in Lahore by women and children demanding Sharif resign.
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These examples of mismanagement come from a seasoned, third-time elected Prime Minister of Pakistan. The quality of leadership that Nawaz Sharif brings to top echelons of power in Islamabad is disturbing.*
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If Prime Minister Sharif fails, it will fall to Pakistan’s military to clean up the mess, one way or the other.*
In this case, should the military live with a weakened Sharif, hope that he will mend his ways? Or should the military help PTI, PAT and the country’s activist middle class introduce a new political culture in Pakistan?
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The first option seems more plausible, and safer. The only problem is that Sharif is a vengeful man. There is little chance he will repent. His 29-year record in politics shows that the only person he did not clash with while in power was President Zia, his mentor. Apart from that, Sharif’s governments are a tale of confrontations and battles. *
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Sharif spells trouble, and there is no telling what a bruised and humiliated Sharif will do. His eyes are set on Pakistan’s military. Under his watch, the ISI and its chief were humiliated on a local TV channel in April. *
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Another anomaly is that the Sharif family controls the party that founded Pakistan in 1947. This is preventing natural change and the rise of fresh blood.*
*The business empire of the Sharifs now stands at the intersection of State’s interests and family interests. It is clear to many watchers that the Sharifs are integrating Pakistan’s regional interests with their own business interests. The latter precedes the former in priority and importance.
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The second option would mean that the military would lend support to a civilian government of professionals that would implement tough administrative and electoral reforms, redesign the political system, and then hold elections. Ideas developed by PTI, PAT and other stakeholders would be incorporated.
Sharif has been in power in Pakistan for 29 years, three times as Prime Minister and three times as Chief Minister of Punjab, the province with the most seats in Parliament. That is a long time for one man and one family by any democratic standard. *
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This may just be the right time for him to make an exit.

*Whatever he decides today would mean the difference between saving his family fortunes and losing everything.
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**The author is a fellow at Project for Pakistan in 21st Century. Follow him @AQpk **