Election predictions 2013

[rangoli]

Re: Election predictions 2013

@mYsTeRiOuS_gUy

Likely scenario:

Punjab (148 seats on offer)

PMLN - 75
PTI - 45
PPP - 15
PMLQ - 10
Others - 3

Sindh (60 seats on offer)

PPP - 30
MQM - 15
PMLN - 2
PTI - 5
Nationalists/JI/Others - 8

KPK (47 seats on offer)

PTI - 20
ANP - 5
PMLN - 4
PPP - 2
JUI - 5
JI - 3
Others - 8

Balochistan (14 seats on offer)

PTI - 4
PMLN - 1
PPP - 1
BNP - 4
Others - 4

In my opinion Imran Khan will NOT become our next Prime Minister as he is not ready to form an alliance with any of the parties in current government.
Even if he forms an alliance with JI, Baloch nationalists, Sindh nationalists and even JUI/MQM (highly unlikely but for argument’s sake) he will still not be able to form the government as he needs at least 170+ seats in total. Even if Imran takes 100 NA seats somehow, there is no way he will find coalation partners who can bring another 70+ NA seats.

PPP will form an alliance with anyone you can remotely think of to come back to power so it is likely that they will return but i still can’t see their government if they don’t form an alliance with PTI or PMLN. Same scenario for PMLN as well as they will get around 80 - 85 NA seats in total so they will need to join hands with either PPP or PTI.

Conclusion: No party will be able to form the next government (open secret) so the most likely scenario is PMLN forming an alliance with PPP, MQM and some others.

Punjab - PMLN government
Sindh - PPP & MQM
KPK - PTI (Possible alliance with JI)
Balochistan - PTI + Nationalists

strong possibility, we will see this happening!
its just almost impossible that PTI will sweep the next elections!