Direction & Promises - Is Pakistan Govt., Delivering on Both?

[RC_Cola]

In 2013; election campaign of current ruling party touted that experienced team (1990, 1993, 1996) will start work from day 1 and inexperienced teams referring to opposition parties; does not have capacity to carve out miracles that PMLN is capable of and flaunted the subsequent glittery promises on which the whole election campaign was built:

**1. Ending Load Shedding within 6 months to 24 months.
*** (Referring to 8-10 hours/Day loadshedding in PPP’s Govt.,)
*

**2. Bullet Train from Karachi to Lahore & Lahore to Peshawar within 5years. **
*(Referring to no/little focus of PPP Govt. re infrastructure).
*

**3. Motorways from Karachi to all major cities of Pakistan within 5 years. **
*(Referring to no/little focus of PPP Govt. re infrastructure).
*

**4. Breaking the begging bowl (Kashkol) within 2 years in power **
*(Referring to enormous debt pile up by PPP – Debt Per Capita was Rs.37,170 in 2008, and Rs.80,000 when PPP completed its tenure).
*

**5. Rooting out corruption. **
*(Referring to Rs.6Billion/Day as referenced by then NAB Chairman Fasih Bukhari)
*
Objectively analyzing - PPP had a weak coalition Govt., and PMLN has almost 2/3[SUP]rd[/SUP] majority and has clear majority on its own in NA thus no blackmailing from regional parties indirectly allowing it sweeping powers vis-à-vis federation and federal decisions.

After it has presented 4 budgets in it’s more than 3 years of its 5 year tenure; what is your take on its performance vis-à-vis dreams & promises to the voters?

[RC_Cola]

Re: Direction & Promises - Is Pakistan Govt., Delivering on Both?

I guess no one want’s to take a first shot by letting us know what are his/her views on performance; so let me take the first crack.

Govt., has completed 62% of its term as of today.

1. Load shedding – Current State as of June 16th, 2016: 8-10 hours / Day in Cities, and 14-16 hours / Day in areas classified as Rural Areas. Effectively meaning that cities are without power for 40% of the day while rural areas are sans power for 60% of the day.

Performance of PPP and PMLN is pretty much the same - Is it not?

**2. Bullet Train –
**
No comment

**3. Motorways all over in Pakistan –
**
No comment

**4. Debt (Internal + External) Per Head
**
As of today total per capita debt is estimated to be around Rs.115,000/Person – also take into account population growth rate of 2.07%. It was Rs.80,000 per head when PPP handed it over to PMLN.

As for Public Debt to GDP it was 58.9 percent in 2011, reflecting the tenure of Shaukat Tarin as the Finance Minister to 63.3 percent when Dr Hafeez Sheikh was Finance Minister in PPP’s Govt.,. During Dar’s tenure, total debt to GDP ratio rose to 63.5 percent in 2014 and 64.8 percent in 2016 (based on contentious statement of Dar that GDP growth rate is 4.7%).

**5. Rooting out (loss) corruption
**
NAB Chairman - in his recent statements have claimed per day corruption as between Rs.14-16 billion – however most credible economists estimate it to be in excess of Rs.20billion/Day.

They estimate currently; magnitude of black economy of Pakistan is Rs.20 trillion. Pakistan is suffering a loss of Rs.3,000 billion every year due to below capacity recovery of taxes the country sustains loss of another Rs.5,000 billion a year; hence the total loss reaches Rs.8,000 billion a year effectively meaning Rs.22 billion a day.

When Respected High Highness Nawaz Sharif suddenly came to address the nation aka National Emergency Situation last month; he just remembered three privileged children which he valiantly defended and cared for but perhaps forgot to speak even a single line for the children of a lesser god:

• 25 million children (aged between 5 – 16 years) that do not have access to education
• 250,000 children under the age of 5 that die every year due to water borne diseases.
• 10 million children with stunted growth
• 4 million suffering from acute malnutrition

Indeed priorities are right and promises are dreams.

In 2018; Bullet Trains will be so 2013 so let’s up the ante and promise supersonic jet airliners to the likes of this little girl. For those who believe; selling their vote for such dreams is not a bad deal – at least the dream maker is living their dreams!

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Restored attachments:

[Silaaj]

Re: Direction & Promises - Is Pakistan Govt., Delivering on Both?

@RC_Cola

In 2013; election campaign of current ruling party touted that experienced team (1990, 1993, 1996) will start work from day 1 and inexperienced teams referring to opposition parties; does not have capacity to carve out miracles that PMLN is capable of and flaunted the subsequent glittery promises on which the whole election campaign was built:

1. Ending Load Shedding within 6 months to 24 months. *Everyone knew it was merely a vote getting gimmick, and it seemed to work for PMLN. Noone realistically expected this to happen in 6 months, a year, 2 years, or even 5 years. Loadshedding is a long term issue, and needs to be resolved with long term measures, which will realistically take a long time to set up. But since PMLN is a party of quick fixes, it resorted to such slogans. Result: No tangible move forward so far. All of the projects in process are either those started by Musharraf or PPP, or are heavily reliant on China, or are terribly expensive or unfeasible. Loadshedding will not end in 2018, as claimed by PMLN. Yes, they will clear the circular debt a couple of months before elections, resulting in no loadshedding for a couple of months. That is their plan. *

*2. Bullet Train from Karachi to Lahore & Lahore to Peshawar within 5years. *Another gimmicky promise, which probably NS laughed at even as he made it.

*3. Motorways from Karachi to all major cities of Pakistan within 5 years. **Something that PMLN has always succeeded at. Though they havent made motorways from KHI to all cities, but given a few years, this is one thing they can and will accomplish. *

*4. Breaking the begging bowl (Kashkol) within 2 years in power * *(Referring to enormous debt pile up by PPP – Debt Per Capita was Rs.37,170 in 2008, and Rs.80,000 when PPP completed its tenure). Just the other day, Ishaq Dar claimed that they would not need to go to IMF anymore. Maybe, maybe not. But not going to the IMF does not mean that Pakistan will be free from all loans. The major reason for not going to IMF again could be a tactical move. IMF will require a complete audit of the current loan and its reviews before issuing a new loan, and no doubt, will discover lots of number fudging that may very well result in penalties. No doubt Pakistan will be going to other foreign lenders. *

*5. Rooting out corruption. * *2 Steps back in that regard. PMLN commits white collar crime, as opposed to PPP, which follows the blue collar model. White collar crime is sophisticated, and harder to detect. *

PMLN's motive in this term seemed to revolve around getting to the next election, and preparing their next breed of 'leaders', which explains their myopic targets. Maryam will surely be a feature in the next elections, and Hamza may very well be a candidate for Punjab CMship the next time around, while Shahbaz vies for PM, in case NS is disqualified....or decides to sideline himself on health pretexts.

[RC_Cola]

Re: Direction & Promises - Is Pakistan Govt., Delivering on Both?

@Silaaj

PMLN's motive in this term seemed to revolve around getting to the next election, and preparing their next breed of 'leaders', which explains their myopic targets. Maryam will surely be a feature in the next elections, and Hamza may very well be a candidate for Punjab CMship the next time around, while Shahbaz vies for PM, in case NS is disqualified....or decides to sideline himself on health pretexts.

I am so relieved to know that future of Pakistan is so bright and sharif too!