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*Originally posted by Faisal: *
By the way, polls released today by CNN show no bounce for Kerry after the convention. Infact, both sides have hardened their positions. There are only 5% undecided anyway, so I am not sure what all the hooplah about "Convention Bounce" is all about. Republican convention should be the same.
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Not necessarily so. I've seen some polls that look at the level of intensity of each candidates support. The DEMs nominated Kerry because they felt he was the guy most likely to beat Bush. He was not nominated because people supported him with great intensity. GW's support, on the other hand, is much more loyal and steadfast.
The GOP convention could chip away at Kerry's support more so than the DEM convention chipped away at GW's support.
Well, seems like we have two die-hard supporters of both parties here, so I should leave well enough alone :)
Anyway, lets plough on.
Myvoice, I am sure that is precisely you and other Bush-supporters are hoping too. More power to you! However, you do realize that Bush has lost some right-wing support through his inept handling of Iraq affair as well as his immigration plan. However, to be fair the right-wing voters are loath to support Kerry, so despite not liking Bush all that much, they may still end up voting for Bush in November.
So, in all fairness, both Bush and Kerry will be getting anti- votes.
Not necessarily so. I've seen some polls that look at the level of intensity of each candidates support. The DEMs nominated Kerry because they felt he was the guy most likely to beat Bush. He was not nominated because people supported him with great intensity. GW's support, on the other hand, is much more loyal and steadfast.
The GOP convention could chip away at Kerry's support more so than the DEM convention chipped away at GW's support.
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Myvoice,
I dont think it will be any different than what happened after DNC simply because there arnt enough people available for a big swing( That is why I think " I am uniter not divider" slogan might work ). Country is very strongly divided and there are very few people who are undecided and barring any terrorist attack or any major scandal I dont think it is going to change. I dont see more than 5-6% swing after RNC either. It is going to go down to wire come november.