Re: Could this be the exit strategy??
^^ There is 3rd option to it..
US out of picture and the regional powers, i..e Russia, China, Iran and Pakistan take control of thing and jointly sort out the mess, US is not in the region nor does it borders with Afghanistan... even Russia would like to have no role in Afghanistan.. so it is immediate neighbors of Afghanistan who should be there and not some one for land far far away...
US's target in Afghanistan was not Taliban govt, Taliban were there way before US came and i would say, with the full support of US as well... so taliban was not problem back then, taliban won't be problem in future as well because Mulla Omer have already stated that they'll make sure no body uses their land for terrorism..
So here is the scenario, US leaves Afghanistan, with its liking or not, things will get back to normal, after all , Afghanistan never had friendly relation with Pakistan, it was until Russians invaded and Afghanies were left no where to go but Iran and Pakistan...
Pakistan had the third option, immedieately after Soviet left and we all know how that went. Pakistan has not demostrated the maturity to constructively help a country to it's feet. If anything it should be competing with India in Afghanistan to build roads, govenrment buildings and developing mines etc. The world (mainly west) has every reason to think, pakistan will compromise Afghanistan's interest by treating it as a play ground or sell it to China who may exploit its resources.
As to your point about Taliban not being the US target, you may be way off target there. Taliban is the reason for Al Queda's growth and survival after Sudan threw OBL out and even in the initial days after 9/11 Taliban were given a chance to give up OBL, they refused and even today they may be working together. Although Al Queda may be a spent force in Af-Pak, Taliban is still a menance. Afghanisthan under Taliban would become a safe haven even more so now.
Unfortunately, it is difficult to believe anything Taliban ledership says. The situation is such, they are on the run. But for Pakistan's protection, they could have been eliminated by now. So, it is time for them to show they can work with the world constructively; not mere verbal assurances.
Iran is a wrong choice. In fact, it will create more problems for Pakistan than it has now, if the recent bombing of shrines in Afghanisthan is of any indication. Russia is not interested in any of it's neighbors, they politicians having too much fun.
Therefore only option is for Pakistan to work with rest of the world in making Afghanistan to a moderate state (democracy or not). The longer this conflict drags, the moderate state of Pakistan (I still think it is) will become a theocratic (or even a radical) state. Pakistan, Iran and Turkey are the countries blessed with people who have roots in ancient civilizations that is known for free thinking. They are the best bet to carry the torch of Islam to the future.