Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Peace will pay big dividends between the 2 countries.

Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery - Bloomberg

Billionaire Lakshmi N. Mittal and an Indian oil (IOCL) company are formally opening a $4 billion refinery on the northern border with Pakistan as the countries that have fought three wars seek to stimulate trade.

Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is slated to inaugurate the plant tomorrow, a project of Mittal Energy Investments Pte and Hindustan Petroleum Corp. (HPCL), the venture said in an e-mail. The unit, which can process 9 million metric tons a year of crude oil at Bathinda in the northern Punjab state, will help boost India’s exports and may open fuel sales to Pakistan, said Nisha Taneja, professor at the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations in New Delhi.

The project marks a thaw in relations between the nuclear- armed neighbors. India, which bars investment from Pakistan, is preparing to lift the ban and broaden their reconciliation. The two nations, which waged two of their wars over conflicting claims to the territory of Kashmir, have agreed in recent months to increase trade, expand travel across their frontier and grant more business visas.

“The refinery is the tangible asset that shows India is serious about trading with Pakistan and can help meet its demand for energy,” said Jagannadham Thunuguntla, a strategist at SMC Global Securities Ltd. (GLBS) in New Delhi. “Robust trade is the basic building block of a healthier relationship between the two.”

India is ready to allow investment from Pakistan, India’s commerce minister, Anand Sharma, said April 13. This followed Pakistan’s cabinet approving a plan to dismantle tariffs on about 8,000 items for imports from India by Dec. 31, with all restrictions being lifted by 2013, according to a Feb. 29 statement from Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani.

Mittal’s First Refinery

The Bathinda project will be the first investment in crude processing by Mittal, chairman of the world’s biggest steelmaker, ArcelorMittal. (MT) Mittal Energy has a venture with India’s Oil & Natural Gas Corp. (ONGC), which has offshore oil exploration blocks in Nigeria, according to ONGC’s overseas unit.

Hindustan Petroleum, majority owned by India’s government, operates a refinery in Mumbai that processes 6.5 million tons a year of crude, and an 8.5 million-ton facility in Visakhapatnam in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh, according to its website.

Pakistan allows imports of fuels including gasoline and diesel from India, after removing non-tariff barriers on Nov. 2, Taneja said by phone on April 26. The distance between Bathinda and the Pakistani city of Lahore is about 100 miles (161 kilometers). Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL)’s refining complex, the world’s biggest, is located in Gujarat state, near the border with Karachi, Pakistan’s most populous city.

‘Quantum Jump’

“This refinery will bring a quantum jump in trade and economic relations and help the peace process,” Taneja said. “The pace at which economic relations between the two nations is increasing is great. Diplomatic and political relations will now determine how far business can go.”

Hindustan Petroleum is the second-best performer on the BSE Oil & Gas index this year, rising about 17 percent, compared with the 10-member Indian benchmark’s 4.9 percent gain.

The new refinery in Bathinda, operated by HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd., in which Hindustan Petroleum and Mittal Energy own 49 percent each, comes at a time other Asian refiners are expanding capacity, resulting in lower profit from processing crude as economies from China to Europe slow. PetroChina Co. (857) is adding capacity at its Hohhot plant and plans to start a new plant in Pengzhou this year, the International Energy Agency said.

Refinery Margins

The average benchmark profit in Singapore that complex refiners, capable of processing inexpensive and heavy grades of crude, are making from turning Dubai crude into fuels this year is $4.50 a barrel, compared with $5.17 a barrel last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Reliance Industries Ltd., which operates the world’s largest refining complex in the western state of Gujarat, reported $7.60 a barrel profit from refining in the three months ended March 31, 17 percent lower than a year earlier, the company said April 20.

Total trade between India and Pakistan was $2.7 billion in the year ended March 2011, according to data on the Indian trade ministry’s website. Sugar was the biggest export from India to Pakistan, followed by cotton, according to the data.

Pakistan’s fuel imports rose 24 percent to 9.8 million tons in the nine months ended March 31 from a year earlier, according to government data. The nation spent $7.4 billion for the purchases, 58 percent higher than a year earlier.

Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and India’s Singh pledged to find “practical and pragmatic solutions” to differences following their “constructive” talks when Zardari came to India on April 8 in the first visit by a Pakistani head of state in seven years.

India’s Excess Oil

India’s crude oil refining capacity exceeds demand as companies including Indian Oil and Essar Oil Ltd. (ESOIL) plan further expansions. Indian Oil is building a 15 million ton plant in the eastern state of Odisha and Essar Oil, the second-biggest non- state processor, will expand its 18 million ton plant to 20 million tons by September. Hindustan Petroleum also plans add a 15 million ton plant in Maharashtra, according to K. Murali, director in charge of refinery operations.

To contact the reporters on this story: Rakteem Katakey in New Delhi at [email protected]

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Make me understand the maths here, unless there is something sinister going on again behind the scenes, as Zardari is involved in negotiations.

Refined oil in India sells for an average of $1.48 a liter. In Pakistan, it sells for Rs. 104/liter ($1.15/liter).
Will Mittal be selling fuel to Pakistan at a cheaper rate than he would to India?* I dont think so.*
Will Pakistan govt be buying fuel at a higher cost from India, and then subsidizing it for Pak residents by selling it for the same rate of $1.14? *They will be stupid to do so, and in any case, I dont think they will do it.
*
Then what is the logic behind buying oil that is visibly more expensive than what Pakistan is getting right now? And even if this is a long term project, with long term implications, oil prices in India will always remain higher than those in Pakistan, because India's transport bills will remain higher.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

^^^ That isn't relevant. He is building $4 billion refinery on border in hope selling fuel to Pakistan. Also, as noted, we already import fuel from India.

Btw, there are many reasons why prices are different & it often has to do with amount of taxes that are added on. In the US gas prices different from state to state & in many cases with in the state.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

A trade agreement like NAFTA or EU is in the best interest of both countries. I think time is ripe to strike a trade agreement with India. Railways can be improved considerably if any understanding is reached with India.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

The government already buys oil at a higher price and subsidizes it for public consumption. That's why you get the uproar about fuel prices going up every so often - it's not that the government is making more money from fuel, it is that the government tries to cut the amount of subsidy.

The difference in the cost of refined oil between Pakistan and India is driven by the fact that India's government subsidises oil less than that of Pakistan. The oil companies sell at the same price to both governments, it is the government which then determines the market price by the subsidy level.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

^ If that were the case the oil and gas companies wouldnt have made a lot of profit in the last quarter. The government has not been able to diversify the tax base, the only earnings that they are getting for the past few years is by raising the prices of oil, gas and electricity.

Gas, oil producers record robust growth in profits | DAWN.COM

A news related to the recent hike in prices:

**
With the increase, the government is likely to pocket Rs25 billion in the month of April in the form of heads of GST and petroleum levy, an FBR official revealed to The News. “On account of GST, the government will earn Rs18 billion and Rs7 billion because of the petroleum levy,” the official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said on Saturday. **

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

The final price at a petrol pump in India depends on lot of factors. Central taxes, state taxes, transportation cost, distrubuters profit etc etc.
when exporting all those will be waived or wont be applicable. so you may not get the petrol at the said price but will be lower

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

So it turns out my information was slightly outdated. The government stopped subsidizing petroleum products last year.

Pakistan unable to continue fuel subsidies | DAWN.COM

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Not only have they stopped the subsidies but on top of it making profit at the expense of the poor of the country.

As far as electricity bills are concerned they are charging fuel surcharge on top of the bill, for example on a bill of Rs 1500 there is an extra 3000 as fuel surcharge, and still there is no electricity, thanks to the government. The fuel surcharge is an additional jagga tax, even disregarding that the electricity bills have soared during the past few years.

http://news.one.com.pk/2012/04/24/fuel-adjustment-surcharge-pindi-traders-warn-of-countrywide-agitation/

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Unlikely. There will be an uproar in India if it turns out that Mittal is selling petrol to Pakistan at a discount compared to what they are charging local suppliers. Indo-Pak trade makes sense only for items that are produced locally in these countries. Anything else and you can bet there are kickbacks involved.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Mittal won't be required to pay IRS14.78 levies on every litre he sells in India. The cost will thus come down to $1.19 as compare to Pakistan's $1.15. There must be some other variables as well that will come up for counting if such a huge business decision is made.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Looks like some masala news from a media group based in new york.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Is Laxmi Mittal stupid? Does he not realise that smallest little zhagda between Pakistan and India and poof goes his refinery!

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

You are right. Why don’t you give him some advice? :hmmm:

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Brings me back to my previous argument.
Petrol is selling in India at $1.48. If the waivers and other variables that you mentioned allow the price for Mittal to come down to $1.19 or even lower, just so that he can sell it to Pakistan at a cheaper rate, in order to keep his sell price at par with what Pakistanis are currently paying, then would that go down well with Indians?
That sounds like a Zardari-esque deal. Export sugar for less..Charge Pakistanis more for it locally.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Actually tax/levies come into effect when you sell a product in India. So if you make a product and sell it abroad, you can avoid tax/levies, whether 'junta' likes it or not, but that's a worldwide business rule.

But there is another point, if the oil is sold in Pakistan, local tax/levies would apply on Mittal's oil and the price will go up, maybe as close to as what you mentioned. So effectively, we are back to square one of $1.48.

Now if Pakistan waive tax/levies on Mittal's oil, it may not go well with local businesses and people as well. This is again an issue.

But at the end, I don't think a businessman like Mittal will start a lose-making venture. There must be something for him to take home.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

Yes, I have advice for him and Mukeshbhai (with his 2 billion dollar house in Mumbai)…

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

So india is going to sell us the oil that we could have drilled for ourselves anyway if we had better elite. That oil can be drilled from this side of the border as well.

Re: Billionaire Mittal Pushes Pakistan Detente With Refinery

^^ no. india is not selling crude oil. it is planning to sell petrol and deisel.

india doesnt produce enough crude oil to export. i think we just produce 40% of our own needs.