Theory:
Bangladesh’s chances of winning a cricket match is inversly proportional to the number of overs they are allowed to bat in that cricket match.
Probability of bangladesh winning a game P Proportinal 1/Number of overs(N)
P= K/N, where K is the probablilty Constant.
After further research it was found that value of K is 5
P=5/N
Probablity in winning test matches = 5/180 = 0.028
Probability of winning in ODI = 5/50 = 0.1
Probability of winning in Twenty20 = 5/20 = 0.25
Re: Bangladesh Explained
The equation holds for all other teams as well. Only the value of K (which is 5 for Bangladesh) would need to change.
We have always known that cricket allows for lots of flukes, but better teams and better players prevail as the duration of the game increases. This is why Test cricket is supposed to be the real "test" of a team's capabilities, and ODI (and now 20/20) just entertaining roulettes.
Re: Bangladesh Explained
The equation holds for all other teams as well. Only the value of K (which is 5 for Bangladesh) would need to change.
We have always known that cricket allows for lots of flukes, but better teams and better players prevail as the duration of the game increases. This is why Test cricket is supposed to be the real "test" of a team's capabilities, and ODI (and now 20/20) just entertaining roulettes.
Not true..In case of Australi it seems to be directly proportional. :)
Re: Bangladesh Explained
The chance of a fluke result in Cricket is inversely proportional to the length of the game.
As simple as that.
Re: Bangladesh Explained
The chance of a fluke result in Cricket is inversely proportional to the length of the game.
As simple as that.
Spot On!
Stronger teams have gone through close games more often winningthem than less strong teams. It is the history of those teams in which repeatedly they have gone through tough games which have tought them to not to lose self belief and hang in there, wich results in that team winning at end.
Biggest example is India- Pak cricket, where Pak since has always played more close games in its history and been in situation where nobody knows who is going to win till final few moments, aganst the stronger teams, all that gives Pak an edge in Indo-Pak cricket coz Indians for the most part in their history either win easily against weaker teams or lose easily to stronger ones.
Re: Bangladesh Explained
Bangladesh explained again...
Probability of hitting a boundry on a ball in Twenty20 : 35%
Probability of a dotball when batting in a twenty20 : 40%
Probability of Bong bastmen getting out on a ball in twenty20: 10%
Probabity of a single run on a ball in twenty20 : 10%
Probaibilty of 2 run on a ball in twenty20: 5%