2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

UZ · March 24, 2011, 8:13am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

http://ourtwosense.blogspot.com/2011/01/home-field-advantage-update.html

I just read an article about home field advantage in Sports Illustrated titled “What’s Really Behind Home Field Advantage?” by Tobias J. Moskowitz and L. Jon Wertheim. They have also co-authored the book titled Scorecasting, which I think I might purchase soon. I couldn’t find the article I read online anywhere otherwise I would post a link although they do have a new article outThe Curse of the #1 Draft Pick on the Sports Illustrated website. Back to the point. They took four of the most popular myths of home field advantage and basically disproved the myths. It really is quite the article, just a damn that Auburn is on the front cover. If you really want to read I may be able to scan and send via e-mail.

Myth #1: Home Teams Win Because Their Crowds Boost Players’ Performance

To eliminate this myth they took a look at all situations that isolated one player and the crowd (free throws, shootouts, punts, field goals and pitch accuracy). They proved that these statistics are nearly identical no matter home or away. Example in NBA free throw percentage for away teams is 75.9% and for home teams…75.9%. Because I am trying to keep this somewhat brief I will move on.

Myth #2: Home Teams Win Because The Rigors Of Travel Doom Visitors

This is a popular myth and one that I thought might be a factor but they analyzed a TON of games and compared the win percentages of typical away teams to “away” teams playing in their own city or stadium (Lakers vs Clippers, White Sox vs Cubs, etc.) and the numbers once again were nearly identical. I often times think of the west coast teams losing on the east coast in the NFL as an example of this, but if you think about it east coast teams are a lot better as of late in the NFL. Every NFL game this past weekend was played east of the Mississippi.

Myth #3: Home Teams Win Because They Benefit From a Kinder, Gentler Schedule

Moskowitz basically said that scheduling benefits occur in certain sports like college football and basketball with powder puffs, or “little sister’s of the poor” as Ohio State’s President would say, but not in other sports like baseball, soccer and the NFL so it doesn’t provide any explanation at all across the board.

Myth #4: Home Teams Benefit From Unique “Home” Characteristics

They used to statistics to prove that home teams in cold-weather climates playing at home and warm-weather teams playing at home in those particular conditions are no more likely to win that the average home field advantage. They also dispelled the myth that teams tailor their teams to meet the dimensions of their ballparks. Teams from “hitting ballparks” batted no better than teams from “pitching ballparks”.

Conclusion

It all comes down to officiating. They started with soccer and analyzed extra time. Across the board in every sport home teams had a significant advantage in penalties, strikeouts, walks, etc. They also analyzed when the games weren’t in doubt such as teams up by multiple touchdowns, runs, etc. and games that were crucial like tie ballgames, bases loaded and two outs. In the blowout situations the home team advantage disappeared and in the crucial situations it improved. They also provided statistics to prove that the larger the crowd the more advantage the home team had with referee decisions. Example: A meaningless baseball game between Pittsburgh and San Diego isn’t going to have as much home field advantage as Boston or New York. Probably the most telling study they did came from the QuesTec cameras implemented in several ballparks. In those ballparks, in which the umpires realized the cameras were present, the home field advantage in strikeouts and walks not only disappeared but actually slightly favored the away team.

Why?

Psychologists refer to the powerful effect popular opinion has on people as conformity. It influences peoples behavior without them even realizing it. Even being placed in a secluded room soccer officials proved a bias when just the crowd noise was played on a TV. They did not provide a bias to the home team when the sound was muted.

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Does this apply to cricket too?

Oh KaKA apnay aap ko tassali do ham to match enjoy karein gay

kakaballi · March 24, 2011, 8:15am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

^ Just something to read about before the match starts :P

UZ · March 24, 2011, 8:16am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

I will better read this
http://www.espncricinfo.com/icc_cricket_worldcup2011/content/current/story/507670.html

IS · March 24, 2011, 8:22am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

1.55 pm Pitch report Sourav Ganguly says it is pretty dry on one side of the wicket, and it could start turning as the game goes on. Lot of spin from the Pavilion end, and lot of pace from the other end, he says. "Looking at the heat and the drier part of the pitch", win toss and bat first.

lahori99 · March 24, 2011, 8:30am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

well..australia has won the toss and decided to bat 1st
Game on!

Zero_one · March 24, 2011, 8:37am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Don't worry dear Neighbours u will spank Aussies today as Mr. Lorgat seems to predict coz Sachin plays only in the Indian team so be assured of the Final Spot :D

Ok that aside i think and hope it'll be a good contest cricket wise

All the best to India :)

Southie · March 24, 2011, 8:38am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

^ Shukran!

lahori99 · March 24, 2011, 8:40am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

I hope India wins today. I don't want to see Australia in semi.
Then hopefully for the first time Pakistan will beat India in World Cup.

manbearpig · March 24, 2011, 8:43am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

time for australia to punish indian bowlers!!

Zero_one · March 24, 2011, 8:45am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Atleast i can watch todays match without bein nervous :D

Yesterday i had to drink more just to compensate for the 6 hours long sweat hands :D

Southie · March 24, 2011, 8:46am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Bad toss to lose. Australia bats in the afternoon and bowls at night. Wicket supposed to assist spin in the 2nd half of the inning.

There, excuse is ready in case.................

Oleander · March 24, 2011, 8:53am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Go India Go...

Get Out

Southie · March 24, 2011, 8:59am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Decision to play Raina in only one game before this may come back to bite us

Oleander · March 24, 2011, 9:00am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

kaka_in_usa · March 24, 2011, 9:02am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

so it begins.
we need to restrict them below 300 to have any chance of winning.

Good bowling so far.
Aus 4/0 in 2 ov

goodname · March 24, 2011, 9:02am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

goodname · March 24, 2011, 9:04am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

But yes the bowling so far has been unexpectedly good

kaka_in_usa · March 24, 2011, 9:05am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

a 4 on last ball.

9/0 3 ov

Southie · March 24, 2011, 9:07am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

Ump gave official warning to Zaheer for stepping on pitch. Apparently one normally gets an unofficial warning as standard practice.

kaka_in_usa · March 24, 2011, 9:09am

Re: 2nd Quarter-Final: India v Australia at Ahmedabad, Thurs March 24

another 4 on last ball.

14/0 in 4 ov.

wickets guys wickets
:indiaflag: