Re: World T20, 2nd Semi-Final: India v South Africa at Dhaka, Apr 4, 2014
Senanayake and Herath seems much better bowler than any of Indian slow/spin bowlers in T20 type games … be that in terms of averages or economy. In T20, Ashwin is worse bowler than Senanayake or Hearth in every way. Here are records of T20 for relevant bowlers.
[TABLE]
Team
Bowlers
Bowler type:
matches
wickets
T-20
Averages
Economy
SL
Senanayake
ROB
15
18
14.00
5.25
Herath
SLAO
8
11
13.72
5.92
India
Ashwin
ROB
24
24
27.75
7.22
Mishra
LB
6
10
13.6
6.18
Jadeja
SLAO
20
13
37.15
7.13
Anyhow, I am not saying that SL would win just because they have better bowlers. What I believe is that SL would win because they have better balanced team. Even when it comes to batting, SL is not too far behind India. Sangakara and Jayawardene, with test averages above 50 and long experience, are easily better proven batsmen then any Indian batsmen playing (Sangakara is probably the best batsman subcontinent has ever produced).
India has no comparable fast bowlers in the team too. It also seems India is relying on part time bowlers like Jadeja and Raina to fulfill bowling quotas (as one bowler cannot bowl more than 4 overs), that could backfire anytime.
Still, one cannot write off India chance of winning the final. In my opinion (and estimate) there is more chances that SL would win than India. I think there is 60 percentage chances that SL would win, that is all. Till now, my estimates are proving right. Even before tournament started, I was expecting that final would be between India and SL. You can check it here #491](http://www.paklinks.com/gs/cricketnama/637791-t20-world-cup-2014-a-28.html#post9978817)
But then, my estimate could be wrong. You can believe differently and there is no problem in that.