Re: Three way split in Iraq on the Horizon
Aqua... how familiar are you with internal US politics surrounding the Iraq war? When I look at my crystal ball, US will start limited withdrawl of troops next year (which is an election year in the US, by the way). More rapid withdrawl will take place in 2009 (when a new President is in place). There will remain some form of US military presence in Iraq for the forseeable future, but my guess is, it will be more strategic and likely be a US base of some kind, and not so much as day to day rounding up people and fighting freedom fighters. Iraq war is extremely unpopular inside US, and the new US president will find it impossible maintain the status quo.
Iraq to be be divided into 3 regions is a realistic scenario. Whether that will help reduce or inflame the ongoing civil/sectarian war remains to be seen. The sunnis in the middle of Iraq will be left as a landlocked mass with no oil and hostile neighbors on all sides. Not a pleasant scenario by any stretch of imagination.