Pakistan's Balkanization

I don't think so.

Any soft collapse will include a mass migration/expulsion of peoples.

  • There are more ethnic Baluchis outside of Baluchistan than inside. Do you think that this Pakistani "rump" state will tolerate their presence? I don't think so.

  • What about the Pakhtun population in Karachi? Surely there will be warfare there.

  • Also you can't just assume that Baluchis and Pakhtuns will be in the same boat. Although culturally and socially we might constitute a larger nation, more so than Punjabis, and Sindhis, I see additional conflicts ahead if independence was a reality.

I think that Pakistan has done a poor job with respect to Pakhtunkhwa and Baluchistan. Eventhough I support Pakistan to the fullest, there is that element of marginalization, questioning of patriotism, and the massive amounts of ethnic slurs/hatred that is freely espoused by many Pakistanis. The Baluchis are in much worse shape with their voices going unheard.