Pakistanis in Dera Ghazi Khan and surrounding villages fear that, as the government continues its crackdown on Taliban militants along the Afghan border, fleeing Taliban fighters may attempt to establish themselves in southern Punjab.
“No one is serious about preventing the Talibanization of our area,” said Khawaja Mudasar Mehmood, a Dera Ghazi Khan politician with the ruling Pakistan People’s Party. “We face spillover from South Waziristan. Taliban militants are already passing into this area, and the border military police can’t prevent it.”
In Sargodha, the link to the Taliban is Mohammed Tayyab, who heads the Punjabi Taliban cell in Miram Shah and had close ties with Mahsud, said Anwar, the Sargodha police chief. Tayyab has been accused of engineering the November 2007 suicide bombing attack on a Pakistani air force bus in Sargodha that killed eight people.
After several raids, Tayyab and his militant group are keeping a lower profile in Miram Shah, but they still tap Sargodha for fresh recruits and train them in Waziristan, Anwar said. A primary conduit for recruitment was a madrasa, or Islamic seminary school,run by the father of four brothers who were arrested by Sargodha police in August, accused of planning an attack on the cellphone tower.
**"Likely recruits at the madrasas are teens, 14 or 15, without strong links to family," Anwar said. “Poverty is a factor, but having no social links, no future, is the main cause.”
Law enforcement officials say the military offensive in South Waziristan has accelerated collaboration among Punjabi militants, the Pakistani Taliban and Al Qaeda. Punjabi militants have been waging the attacks on behalf of their Taliban and Al Qaeda allies, government officials say, hoping to erode popular backing for military operations in Waziristan.
The problem with battling militancy in Punjab is that the government cannot undertake a crackdown on the scale of the offensives against the Taliban in northwestern Pakistan’s Swat Valley or in Waziristan, experts say. Punjab is too densely populated and many in the province still cling to the belief that Pakistan’s next-door enemy, India, is behind much of the terrorism in Punjab.
“People don’t really recognize Punjabi militants as a threat, or they think these terrorist groups are agents of foreign countries,” said Rizvi, the analyst. "So when you start arguing that the roots of the problem lie outside Pakistan, then you don’t recognize the threat actually emerging here."