Re: Israel’s strike options agaisnt Iran
hahahaha. Pull out with it’s “tail between it’s legs”. Yer an idiot. Read the article you posted. It says that the US is *reducing *fleet in the Gulf from two carrier battle groups to one. Each one of those battle groups has more air power than the entire country of Iran.
As far as an attack on Irans nuclear facilities, Israel has the ability to set back the Iranian program 5 years. That may be good enough to justify the risk for the Israelis. I disagree that the Israeli airforce could not do the job. If you accept that the objectives are limited, then they could do a great deal of damage, and buy time.
If the Iranians retaliate with WMD, or against civilians, Iran can expect to have it’s oil refineries obliterated. Refineries are very easy and flamable targets. Iran only has refinery capacity that meets 50% of it’s internal needs. The entire country, including Iran’s military would grind to a halt without fuel. They can lob all the scuds they want into Israel, but the Iranian economy, not exactly a miracle to begin with, would go back to the stone ages. Would the Arabs help the stupid Persians? Hardly. The idea of Iran with Nukes is hardly popular in the Arab world.
With it’s refinery capacity wiped out, Iran would have to spend virtually every dollar earned by producing oil to buy back refined products. Unemployment in Iran is already 30% among the young. You can bet President Nutjob would have a rebellion on his hands if the middle class could not get gasoline.
Despite it’s bluster, Iran is in a very fragile situation.