Election predictions 2013

[Ali_Syed]

Re: Election predictions 2013

@hanibal

Contrary to that, signs are that there is already an understanding between PTI and PPP, the recent by-election of Multan can be quoted as an example of such understanding… PTI and PPP will be having seat adjustment in Central and Northern Punjab and they would be together contesting against PML-N, where on surface the candidate will be from PTI but would be supported and backed by PPP and vice verse in Southern Punjab, Makhdoom Javed Hashimi, Mehmood ur Rasheed and few others are in favor of such understanding… but Shah Mehmood and Jahangeer Tareen kind of people are against such collation.. the final word is not out yet but such understanding would certainly dent PML-N big time in Punjab!!!

On top of this, to damage PML-N further, Fazl ur Rehman on instructions of Zardari has already started his campaign to revive MMA… if this happens then PML-N would be out of the game unless the voters understand what is going on and they reject such thing… there is little chance for PML-N!!!

In Sindh, things would be almost the same, MQM would contest elections on their own, strictly speaking they don’t need any electoral alliances, atmost they can loose two or three seats but that would be worst case scenario… here MQM might join hands with PTI to play them against Pakhtoon vote bank, i.e. denting ANP’s vote back in Karachi, this might enable PTI to win a seat or two from Karachi as well… all in all, PPP would be the major winner in the Sindh both in provincial and federal level…

In Balochistan, it is again depend on what would be army thinking about it, if nationalist parties decides to take part in election then they will sure throw PPP and PML-Q out of the game!!!

KPK would be most interesting to watch, with JUI-F and JI may be making an alliance ( if fails to revive MMA) would secure some good seats from the province, with Ameer Muqam on PML-N’s side, PML-N have fair chance here… but lot would be depending on the ANP, whom side they are going to be in this elections!!! no matter they look weak performance wise but the attitude of voters in KPK normally do not look for such things, had it based on the performance, JUI-F might have been out of electoral politics long time ago!!!

Now the most interesting part will come after the elections as it will be a hung parliament again and making of Govt and opposition would be interesting game!!! that is where most will be exposed, like PTI have shown their hatred towards PML-N and have shown kind of anger towards PPP but whom would they be joining??? would they be part of govt or opposition, that is some thing the higher circle of PTI cannot agree on that is why IK continous with the mantra that they will clean sweep elections, just to avoid this question from press and public!!!

MMA has the capacity to damage PTI in KP as well. Other than that it would Pretty much be a hung parliament.