Re: An ode to Shaukat Aziz
Obviously you are not wrong ![]()
Electricity production … what I know, most of dams that are made during last 8 years, they added to Pakistan hydro electricity production capacity of Pakistan plus there was increase in conventional electricty generation too (especially electricity from coal) and Pakistan added some nuclear electricity capacity too.
Here is report: If you want to see how much electicity generation has increased during last 8 years … go to page 7 of 11 page report on Pakistan.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/Pakistan/pdf.pdf
Anyhow since it is given in graph … let me give the figures (estimated from the graph)
1989 (start of corrupt political periods after death of Zia): Pakistan total electricity generation capacity = 40 billion KWhs
Hydro = 18 billion KWhs
conventional (gas, oil, coal) = 22 billion KWhs
1999 (end of corrupt political period)= 60 billion KWhs
[Your data shows that in 1998 it was 59 billion KWhs … near enough (mine is estimate from graph for 1999) … seems there was no increase in electricity generation in 1999]
Hydro = 20 billion KWhs
conventional (gas, oil, coal) = 40 billion KWhs
2004 = 82 billion KWhs
[your reported data shows that it was 80.5 billion KWhs in 2004 or an increase of 4.32 percent on 2003 … close enough … mine is estimate from graph … my estimating error :)]
Hydro = 30 billion KWhs
conventional (gas, oil, coal) = 50 billion KWhs
Nuclear= 2
Note: It would have been higher but as you can read the report … in earlier days there was excess supply of electricity generation capacity … but fortunately since Pakistan per capita income grew very fast, consumption demand also increased fast and thus electicity today is short.
I do not know exactly what is generation capacity in 2007 (I could find that too and I believe it would be much more than 82 billion KWhs. The thing to note is that Hydro electricity generation capacity increased substantially … a right direction. One can see that during 11 years of corrupt political (BB and NS) rule, hydro electric generation increase from around 18 billion KWhs to 20 billion KWhs … just 2 billion KWhs.
But during first 5 years of Musharraf rule … it increased from 20 billion KWhs … to 30 billion KWhs … or 10 billion KWhs. Over all electricity generation in first 5 years increaded by 22 billion KWhs … much more than 11 years of political corrupt rule when electricity production just increased by 20 billion KWhs.
In 2005 … there was another increase of 6.5 billion KWhs as production went to 88.42 BKWhs = 88.42 Trillion Whs (wikipedia source given below)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Pa…city_production
But … obviously rapid and unprecedented economy growth and very high rate of per capita income growth … energy demand is increasing very fast too.
For instance in 2005-2006 Pakistan imported $6.7 billion worth of crude oil … (I believe that in 1999 Pakistan was importing around $1 billion of crude oil or less … ).